Description of Proposed Provision:
B7.10: Replace the current-law WEP with a new calculation for most OASI and DI benefits based on covered and non-covered earnings, phased in for beneficiaries becoming newly eligible in 2024 through 2033. For this new approach, compute a PIA based on all past earnings (covered and non-covered), and multiply by the "non-covered earnings ratio." This ratio is equal to the current-law concept of the average indexed monthly earnings computed without non-covered earnings divided by a modified average indexed monthly earnings that includes both covered and non-covered earnings in our records.
Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program
| Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
|||||||
|
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
| 2017 | 13.41 | 13.03 | -0.38 | 298 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2018 | 13.49 | 12.93 | -0.56 | 287 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2019 | 13.70 | 12.95 | -0.75 | 273 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2020 | 13.85 | 12.96 | -0.89 | 259 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2021 | 14.02 | 12.99 | -1.03 | 245 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2022 | 14.26 | 13.02 | -1.23 | 230 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2023 | 14.54 | 13.05 | -1.50 | 215 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2024 | 14.83 | 13.08 | -1.74 | 199 | -0.00 | -0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2025 | 15.10 | 13.10 | -2.00 | 182 | -0.00 | -0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2026 | 15.37 | 13.14 | -2.24 | 165 | -0.00 | -0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2027 | 15.62 | 13.15 | -2.46 | 148 | -0.00 | -0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2028 | 15.85 | 13.17 | -2.68 | 130 | -0.00 | -0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2029 | 16.06 | 13.18 | -2.88 | 112 | -0.00 | -0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2030 | 16.26 | 13.20 | -3.07 | 94 | -0.00 | -0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2031 | 16.44 | 13.21 | -3.24 | 75 | -0.00 | -0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2032 | 16.60 | 13.22 | -3.38 | 56 | -0.01 | -0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2033 | 16.73 | 13.23 | -3.51 | 37 | -0.01 | -0.00 | 0.01 | ||
| 2034 | 16.84 | 13.23 | -3.61 | 17 | -0.01 | -0.00 | 0.01 | ||
| 2035 | 16.92 | 13.24 | -3.68 | ---- | -0.01 | -0.00 | 0.01 | ||
| 2036 | 16.98 | 13.24 | -3.73 | ---- | -0.01 | -0.00 | 0.01 | ||
| 2037 | 17.01 | 13.25 | -3.76 | ---- | -0.02 | -0.00 | 0.01 | ||
| 2038 | 17.00 | 13.25 | -3.76 | ---- | -0.02 | -0.00 | 0.02 | ||
| 2039 | 16.98 | 13.25 | -3.73 | ---- | -0.02 | -0.00 | 0.02 | ||
| 2040 | 16.94 | 13.25 | -3.69 | ---- | -0.02 | -0.00 | 0.02 | ||
| 2041 | 16.89 | 13.24 | -3.65 | ---- | -0.02 | -0.00 | 0.02 | ||
| 2042 | 16.83 | 13.24 | -3.59 | ---- | -0.03 | -0.00 | 0.02 | ||
| 2043 | 16.78 | 13.24 | -3.54 | ---- | -0.03 | -0.00 | 0.03 | ||
| 2044 | 16.73 | 13.24 | -3.49 | ---- | -0.03 | -0.00 | 0.03 | ||
| 2045 | 16.69 | 13.24 | -3.45 | ---- | -0.03 | -0.00 | 0.03 | ||
| 2046 | 16.65 | 13.23 | -3.41 | ---- | -0.03 | -0.00 | 0.03 | ||
| 2047 | 16.61 | 13.23 | -3.38 | ---- | -0.04 | -0.00 | 0.03 | ||
| 2048 | 16.58 | 13.23 | -3.35 | ---- | -0.04 | -0.00 | 0.04 | ||
| 2049 | 16.55 | 13.23 | -3.32 | ---- | -0.04 | -0.00 | 0.04 | ||
| 2050 | 16.53 | 13.23 | -3.30 | ---- | -0.04 | -0.00 | 0.04 | ||
| 2051 | 16.51 | 13.23 | -3.28 | ---- | -0.04 | -0.00 | 0.04 | ||
| 2052 | 16.51 | 13.23 | -3.28 | ---- | -0.04 | -0.00 | 0.04 | ||
| 2053 | 16.52 | 13.23 | -3.29 | ---- | -0.05 | -0.00 | 0.04 | ||
| 2054 | 16.54 | 13.23 | -3.31 | ---- | -0.05 | -0.00 | 0.04 | ||
| 2055 | 16.57 | 13.23 | -3.34 | ---- | -0.05 | -0.00 | 0.05 | ||
| 2056 | 16.61 | 13.24 | -3.37 | ---- | -0.05 | -0.00 | 0.05 | ||
| 2057 | 16.65 | 13.24 | -3.41 | ---- | -0.05 | -0.00 | 0.05 | ||
| 2058 | 16.69 | 13.24 | -3.45 | ---- | -0.05 | -0.00 | 0.05 | ||
| 2059 | 16.73 | 13.25 | -3.49 | ---- | -0.05 | -0.00 | 0.05 | ||
| 2060 | 16.78 | 13.25 | -3.53 | ---- | -0.05 | -0.00 | 0.05 | ||
| 2061 | 16.82 | 13.25 | -3.57 | ---- | -0.05 | -0.00 | 0.05 | ||
| 2062 | 16.87 | 13.26 | -3.61 | ---- | -0.05 | -0.00 | 0.05 | ||
| 2063 | 16.92 | 13.26 | -3.66 | ---- | -0.05 | -0.00 | 0.05 | ||
| 2064 | 16.96 | 13.26 | -3.70 | ---- | -0.06 | -0.00 | 0.05 | ||
| 2065 | 17.01 | 13.27 | -3.74 | ---- | -0.06 | -0.00 | 0.05 | ||
| 2066 | 17.06 | 13.27 | -3.79 | ---- | -0.06 | -0.00 | 0.05 | ||
| 2067 | 17.11 | 13.27 | -3.84 | ---- | -0.06 | -0.00 | 0.05 | ||
| 2068 | 17.16 | 13.28 | -3.89 | ---- | -0.06 | -0.00 | 0.05 | ||
| 2069 | 17.22 | 13.28 | -3.94 | ---- | -0.06 | -0.00 | 0.05 | ||
| 2070 | 17.27 | 13.28 | -3.99 | ---- | -0.06 | -0.00 | 0.05 | ||
| 2071 | 17.31 | 13.28 | -4.03 | ---- | -0.06 | -0.00 | 0.06 | ||
| 2072 | 17.35 | 13.29 | -4.07 | ---- | -0.06 | -0.00 | 0.06 | ||
| 2073 | 17.39 | 13.29 | -4.10 | ---- | -0.06 | -0.00 | 0.06 | ||
| 2074 | 17.42 | 13.29 | -4.13 | ---- | -0.06 | -0.00 | 0.06 | ||
| 2075 | 17.44 | 13.29 | -4.15 | ---- | -0.06 | -0.00 | 0.06 | ||
| 2076 | 17.46 | 13.30 | -4.17 | ---- | -0.06 | -0.00 | 0.06 | ||
| 2077 | 17.47 | 13.30 | -4.17 | ---- | -0.06 | -0.00 | 0.06 | ||
| 2078 | 17.46 | 13.30 | -4.17 | ---- | -0.06 | -0.00 | 0.06 | ||
| 2079 | 17.46 | 13.30 | -4.16 | ---- | -0.06 | -0.00 | 0.06 | ||
| 2080 | 17.45 | 13.29 | -4.16 | ---- | -0.06 | -0.00 | 0.06 | ||
| 2081 | 17.45 | 13.29 | -4.15 | ---- | -0.06 | -0.00 | 0.06 | ||
| 2082 | 17.45 | 13.29 | -4.15 | ---- | -0.06 | -0.00 | 0.06 | ||
| 2083 | 17.45 | 13.29 | -4.16 | ---- | -0.06 | -0.00 | 0.06 | ||
| 2084 | 17.47 | 13.29 | -4.17 | ---- | -0.06 | -0.00 | 0.06 | ||
| 2085 | 17.49 | 13.30 | -4.19 | ---- | -0.06 | -0.00 | 0.06 | ||
| 2086 | 17.52 | 13.30 | -4.22 | ---- | -0.06 | -0.00 | 0.06 | ||
| 2087 | 17.56 | 13.30 | -4.26 | ---- | -0.06 | -0.00 | 0.06 | ||
| 2088 | 17.60 | 13.30 | -4.29 | ---- | -0.06 | -0.00 | 0.06 | ||
| 2089 | 17.64 | 13.31 | -4.34 | ---- | -0.06 | -0.00 | 0.06 | ||
| 2090 | 17.69 | 13.31 | -4.38 | ---- | -0.06 | -0.00 | 0.06 | ||
| 2091 | 17.73 | 13.31 | -4.42 | ---- | -0.06 | -0.00 | 0.06 | ||
| 2092 | 17.78 | 13.31 | -4.47 | ---- | -0.06 | -0.00 | 0.06 | ||
Summarized Estimates
| Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
||
| 2017-2091 | 16.63% | 13.84% | -2.80% | 2034 | -0.03% | -0.00% | 0.03% | ||
1 Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2017 Trustees Report.