Detailed Single Year Tables
Description of Proposed Provision:
E3.1: Increase the taxable maximum such that 90 percent of earnings would be subject to the payroll tax (phased in 2020-2029). Provide benefit credit for earnings up to the revised taxable maximum.
Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program
| Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
|||||||
|
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
| 2019 | 13.91 | 12.85 | -1.06 | 273 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2020 | 13.94 | 13.01 | -0.93 | 260 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 0.14 | ||
| 2021 | 14.09 | 13.17 | -0.91 | 246 | -0.00 | 0.28 | 0.28 | ||
| 2022 | 14.23 | 13.32 | -0.91 | 232 | -0.00 | 0.40 | 0.40 | ||
| 2023 | 14.40 | 13.45 | -0.95 | 219 | 0.00 | 0.51 | 0.51 | ||
| 2024 | 14.59 | 13.58 | -1.01 | 205 | 0.00 | 0.61 | 0.61 | ||
| 2025 | 14.79 | 13.69 | -1.10 | 192 | 0.00 | 0.71 | 0.70 | ||
| 2026 | 14.99 | 13.91 | -1.08 | 180 | 0.00 | 0.80 | 0.79 | ||
| 2027 | 15.20 | 14.01 | -1.19 | 168 | 0.01 | 0.88 | 0.87 | ||
| 2028 | 15.44 | 14.13 | -1.32 | 156 | 0.01 | 0.95 | 0.94 | ||
| 2029 | 15.64 | 14.22 | -1.43 | 145 | 0.02 | 1.03 | 1.01 | ||
| 2030 | 15.83 | 14.24 | -1.59 | 134 | 0.02 | 1.03 | 1.01 | ||
| 2031 | 15.99 | 14.25 | -1.74 | 123 | 0.03 | 1.03 | 1.01 | ||
| 2032 | 16.14 | 14.26 | -1.88 | 112 | 0.03 | 1.03 | 1.00 | ||
| 2033 | 16.27 | 14.27 | -2.00 | 101 | 0.04 | 1.03 | 0.99 | ||
| 2034 | 16.37 | 14.28 | -2.09 | 89 | 0.05 | 1.04 | 0.99 | ||
| 2035 | 16.46 | 14.29 | -2.17 | 77 | 0.06 | 1.04 | 0.98 | ||
| 2036 | 16.53 | 14.30 | -2.23 | 65 | 0.07 | 1.04 | 0.97 | ||
| 2037 | 16.59 | 14.30 | -2.29 | 52 | 0.07 | 1.04 | 0.97 | ||
| 2038 | 16.65 | 14.31 | -2.34 | 39 | 0.08 | 1.04 | 0.96 | ||
| 2039 | 16.70 | 14.32 | -2.38 | 25 | 0.10 | 1.04 | 0.95 | ||
| 2040 | 16.72 | 14.32 | -2.40 | 12 | 0.11 | 1.05 | 0.94 | ||
| 2041 | 16.73 | 14.32 | -2.40 | ---- | 0.12 | 1.05 | 0.93 | ||
| 2042 | 16.72 | 14.32 | -2.39 | ---- | 0.13 | 1.05 | 0.92 | ||
| 2043 | 16.69 | 14.32 | -2.37 | ---- | 0.14 | 1.05 | 0.91 | ||
| 2044 | 16.67 | 14.33 | -2.34 | ---- | 0.15 | 1.05 | 0.91 | ||
| 2045 | 16.65 | 14.33 | -2.32 | ---- | 0.16 | 1.06 | 0.90 | ||
| 2046 | 16.62 | 14.33 | -2.30 | ---- | 0.17 | 1.06 | 0.89 | ||
| 2047 | 16.61 | 14.33 | -2.28 | ---- | 0.18 | 1.06 | 0.88 | ||
| 2048 | 16.60 | 14.33 | -2.27 | ---- | 0.20 | 1.06 | 0.86 | ||
| 2049 | 16.59 | 14.33 | -2.26 | ---- | 0.21 | 1.06 | 0.85 | ||
| 2050 | 16.59 | 14.33 | -2.26 | ---- | 0.22 | 1.06 | 0.84 | ||
| 2051 | 16.60 | 14.34 | -2.26 | ---- | 0.24 | 1.07 | 0.83 | ||
| 2052 | 16.61 | 14.34 | -2.27 | ---- | 0.25 | 1.07 | 0.82 | ||
| 2053 | 16.63 | 14.34 | -2.29 | ---- | 0.26 | 1.07 | 0.81 | ||
| 2054 | 16.66 | 14.35 | -2.31 | ---- | 0.28 | 1.07 | 0.80 | ||
| 2055 | 16.70 | 14.35 | -2.35 | ---- | 0.29 | 1.07 | 0.78 | ||
| 2056 | 16.75 | 14.36 | -2.39 | ---- | 0.30 | 1.07 | 0.77 | ||
| 2057 | 16.80 | 14.36 | -2.44 | ---- | 0.32 | 1.08 | 0.76 | ||
| 2058 | 16.86 | 14.37 | -2.49 | ---- | 0.33 | 1.08 | 0.75 | ||
| 2059 | 16.92 | 14.37 | -2.55 | ---- | 0.35 | 1.08 | 0.73 | ||
| 2060 | 16.99 | 14.38 | -2.61 | ---- | 0.36 | 1.08 | 0.72 | ||
| 2061 | 17.05 | 14.39 | -2.67 | ---- | 0.37 | 1.08 | 0.71 | ||
| 2062 | 17.12 | 14.39 | -2.73 | ---- | 0.39 | 1.09 | 0.70 | ||
| 2063 | 17.19 | 14.40 | -2.79 | ---- | 0.40 | 1.09 | 0.69 | ||
| 2064 | 17.26 | 14.40 | -2.85 | ---- | 0.41 | 1.09 | 0.68 | ||
| 2065 | 17.32 | 14.41 | -2.91 | ---- | 0.43 | 1.09 | 0.67 | ||
| 2066 | 17.39 | 14.42 | -2.98 | ---- | 0.44 | 1.10 | 0.66 | ||
| 2067 | 17.47 | 14.42 | -3.04 | ---- | 0.45 | 1.10 | 0.65 | ||
| 2068 | 17.54 | 14.43 | -3.11 | ---- | 0.46 | 1.10 | 0.64 | ||
| 2069 | 17.61 | 14.44 | -3.17 | ---- | 0.47 | 1.10 | 0.63 | ||
| 2070 | 17.68 | 14.44 | -3.24 | ---- | 0.48 | 1.10 | 0.62 | ||
| 2071 | 17.75 | 14.45 | -3.30 | ---- | 0.49 | 1.10 | 0.61 | ||
| 2072 | 17.81 | 14.45 | -3.35 | ---- | 0.50 | 1.11 | 0.60 | ||
| 2073 | 17.86 | 14.46 | -3.40 | ---- | 0.51 | 1.11 | 0.60 | ||
| 2074 | 17.91 | 14.46 | -3.45 | ---- | 0.52 | 1.11 | 0.59 | ||
| 2075 | 17.96 | 14.47 | -3.49 | ---- | 0.53 | 1.11 | 0.58 | ||
| 2076 | 17.99 | 14.47 | -3.52 | ---- | 0.53 | 1.11 | 0.58 | ||
| 2077 | 18.02 | 14.47 | -3.54 | ---- | 0.54 | 1.11 | 0.57 | ||
| 2078 | 18.03 | 14.48 | -3.55 | ---- | 0.54 | 1.12 | 0.57 | ||
| 2079 | 18.03 | 14.48 | -3.55 | ---- | 0.55 | 1.12 | 0.57 | ||
| 2080 | 18.01 | 14.48 | -3.54 | ---- | 0.55 | 1.12 | 0.57 | ||
| 2081 | 18.00 | 14.48 | -3.52 | ---- | 0.55 | 1.12 | 0.56 | ||
| 2082 | 17.98 | 14.48 | -3.50 | ---- | 0.56 | 1.12 | 0.56 | ||
| 2083 | 17.96 | 14.48 | -3.48 | ---- | 0.56 | 1.12 | 0.56 | ||
| 2084 | 17.94 | 14.48 | -3.46 | ---- | 0.56 | 1.12 | 0.56 | ||
| 2085 | 17.92 | 14.48 | -3.44 | ---- | 0.56 | 1.12 | 0.56 | ||
| 2086 | 17.90 | 14.48 | -3.42 | ---- | 0.56 | 1.12 | 0.56 | ||
| 2087 | 17.89 | 14.48 | -3.41 | ---- | 0.56 | 1.12 | 0.56 | ||
| 2088 | 17.89 | 14.48 | -3.41 | ---- | 0.56 | 1.12 | 0.56 | ||
| 2089 | 17.90 | 14.48 | -3.42 | ---- | 0.56 | 1.12 | 0.56 | ||
| 2090 | 17.92 | 14.48 | -3.44 | ---- | 0.57 | 1.13 | 0.56 | ||
| 2091 | 17.96 | 14.48 | -3.47 | ---- | 0.57 | 1.13 | 0.56 | ||
| 2092 | 18.00 | 14.49 | -3.51 | ---- | 0.57 | 1.13 | 0.56 | ||
| 2093 | 18.05 | 14.49 | -3.56 | ---- | 0.57 | 1.13 | 0.56 | ||
| 2094 | 18.10 | 14.49 | -3.60 | ---- | 0.57 | 1.13 | 0.55 | ||
Summarized Estimates
| Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
||
| 2019-2093 | 16.87% | 14.81% | -2.06% | 2040 | 0.27% | 1.00% | 0.73% | ||
1 Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2035. |
|||||||||
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2019 Trustees Report.