Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
Contents Glossary




 

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

A. NUMBER OF DISABILITY INSURANCE (DI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.A13—DI Disabled Worker Termination Rates Due to "Other" Reasons
("Other" terminations per thousand beneficiaries, by age and gender, calendar years 1975-2010)
Year
  15-19
  20-24
  25-29
  30-34
  35-39
  40-44
  45-49
  50-54
  55-59
  60-64
  65-NRA 1
  Total
Male
1975
4.84
5.91
4.36
4.19
4.07
3.28
2.37
2.11
1.88
2.40
24.39
3.23
1980
1.45
2.62
1.68
1.13
1.22
1.26
.95
.87
.68
.92
8.68
1.21
1985
5.87
2.20
1.54
1.17
1.05
1.22
1.00
.72
.68
1.44
8.91
1.38
1990
3.78
2.45
2.19
1.64
1.66
1.48
1.19
.94
.76
2.74
3.04
1.70
1991
4.78
2.38
1.78
1.32
1.38
1.32
1.15
1.02
.85
2.81
3.61
1.66
1992
.00
1.30
.93
.57
.42
.33
.30
.36
.33
3.10
21.61
1.64
1993
1.50
1.38
.81
.57
.43
.39
.32
.30
.35
3.05
23.54
1.61
1994
1.76
1.30
.75
.57
.46
.39
.33
.32
.37
3.04
22.74
1.53
1995
1.91
2.50
1.43
1.17
.93
.82
.61
.49
.40
2.84
23.83
1.73
1996
4.06
2.54
1.36
1.11
.85
.69
.54
.50
.36
2.75
22.00
1.59
1997
.00
1.45
.74
.54
.39
.28
.29
.24
.26
2.79
23.17
1.38
1998
2.00
1.98
.96
.81
.43
.41
.32
.29
.29
2.51
24.54
1.39
1999
7.87
2.99
1.73
1.33
1.09
1.13
.98
.84
.58
2.81
24.20
1.87
2000
.00
1.69
2.44
1.60
1.62
1.54
1.41
1.19
.77
3.01
32.33
2.34
2001
.00
1.20
1.75
1.14
1.16
1.10
1.01
.84
.55
2.13
23.12
1.66
2002
.00
1.20
1.75
1.14
1.16
1.10
1.01
.84
.54
2.12
23.12
1.66
2003
.00
1.20
1.75
1.13
1.16
1.10
1.00
.84
.54
2.11
22.66
1.82
2004
.00
1.20
1.76
1.13
1.16
1.10
1.00
.85
.55
2.16
22.00
1.97
2005
.00
1.20
1.75
1.14
1.16
1.10
1.00
.85
.55
2.21
21.53
2.13
2006
.00
1.20
1.75
1.15
1.16
1.10
1.00
.85
.55
2.15
21.13
2.29
2007
.00
1.20
1.75
1.15
1.16
1.10
1.00
.85
.55
2.06
20.68
2.48
2008
.00
1.20
1.75
1.15
1.16
1.10
1.00
.85
.55
2.11
20.59
2.69
2009
.00
1.20
1.75
1.15
1.16
1.10
1.00
.85
.55
2.20
23.28
2.87
2010
.00
1.20
1.75
1.16
1.16
1.10
1.00
.84
.55
2.18
23.13
2.82
Female
1975
9.35
6.96
5.16
4.34
2.90
2.23
1.46
1.29
1.37
1.75
17.08
2.28
1980
.00
2.85
1.65
1.11
.81
.77
.57
.53
.49
.64
5.40
.82
1985
.00
2.94
1.38
.89
.89
.97
.68
.61
.53
.98
5.09
.98
1990
.00
3.11
1.87
2.00
1.64
1.41
.97
.86
.55
1.66
4.81
1.38
1991
6.67
1.91
2.13
1.47
1.62
1.24
.88
.96
.75
1.96
4.20
1.42
1992
2.73
.45
.97
.50
.40
.36
.38
.30
.34
1.78
16.70
1.16
1993
.00
1.48
1.00
.64
.41
.35
.25
.29
.40
1.95
17.63
1.18
1994
.00
1.52
.77
.54
.36
.33
.34
.37
.29
2.11
16.85
1.14
1995
3.17
1.21
1.54
1.02
.78
.55
.47
.38
.34
1.88
19.33
1.25
1996
6.30
1.34
1.27
.97
.72
.59
.46
.39
.35
1.75
17.41
1.15
1997
.00
.95
.55
.53
.36
.35
.21
.28
.23
1.64
17.41
.94
1998
.00
1.45
.63
.52
.42
.36
.33
.34
.31
1.72
19.96
1.03
1999
.00
2.01
1.74
1.32
1.17
1.11
.75
.48
.29
1.60
19.27
1.28
2000
2.87
.91
1.90
1.47
1.76
1.48
1.16
.65
.30
1.38
21.86
1.46
2001
2.07
.65
1.36
1.05
1.26
1.06
.83
.46
.22
.97
15.63
1.03
2002
2.07
.65
1.36
1.05
1.26
1.06
.83
.47
.22
.96
15.63
1.03
2003
2.07
.65
1.36
1.06
1.26
1.06
.83
.47
.22
.96
15.31
1.12
2004
2.06
.64
1.36
1.06
1.26
1.06
.83
.47
.22
.99
14.86
1.21
2005
2.07
.64
1.36
1.06
1.25
1.05
.83
.47
.22
1.01
14.52
1.30
2006
2.06
.64
1.36
1.05
1.25
1.05
.83
.47
.22
.98
14.25
1.39
2007
2.06
.64
1.36
1.05
1.25
1.05
.83
.47
.22
.93
13.91
1.52
2008
2.06
.64
1.36
1.05
1.26
1.05
.83
.47
.22
.96
13.85
1.64
2009
2.06
.64
1.36
1.04
1.26
1.06
.83
.46
.22
1.01
15.66
1.74
2010
2.07
.64
1.36
1.04
1.26
1.06
.83
.46
.22
1.00
15.60
1.71
Total
1975
5.76
6.15
4.55
4.23
3.76
2.99
2.11
1.86
1.71
2.19
22.21
2.94
1980
1.05
2.68
1.67
1.12
1.10
1.12
.83
.76
.62
.82
7.59
1.08
1985
4.35
2.41
1.49
1.09
1.00
1.14
.90
.69
.63
1.29
7.61
1.25
1990
2.55
2.66
2.09
1.75
1.65
1.46
1.11
.91
.69
2.37
3.66
1.59
1991
5.39
2.23
1.89
1.37
1.46
1.29
1.06
1.00
.81
2.51
3.81
1.58
1992
.99
1.01
.94
.54
.42
.34
.33
.34
.34
2.63
19.90
1.47
1993
.97
1.42
.88
.59
.42
.38
.29
.30
.37
2.66
21.45
1.46
1994
1.13
1.38
.75
.56
.43
.36
.33
.34
.34
2.70
20.61
1.39
1995
2.38
2.03
1.47
1.12
.88
.72
.56
.44
.38
2.48
22.20
1.55
1996
4.93
2.09
1.33
1.06
.80
.65
.51
.46
.36
2.37
20.30
1.42
1997
.00
1.26
.67
.54
.38
.31
.26
.26
.24
2.34
21.00
1.20
1998
1.29
1.78
.83
.69
.43
.39
.32
.31
.30
2.19
22.78
1.24
1999
4.96
2.61
1.73
1.32
1.12
1.12
.88
.69
.45
2.32
22.27
1.63
2000
1.10
1.38
2.22
1.54
1.68
1.52
1.30
.95
.56
2.33
28.16
1.97
2001
.80
.98
1.59
1.10
1.20
1.08
.93
.68
.40
1.64
20.06
1.39
2002
.80
.98
1.58
1.10
1.20
1.08
.93
.68
.40
1.62
20.00
1.38
2003
.80
.98
1.58
1.10
1.20
1.08
.93
.67
.40
1.61
19.55
1.51
2004
.79
.98
1.58
1.10
1.20
1.08
.93
.67
.40
1.64
18.96
1.63
2005
.79
.98
1.58
1.10
1.20
1.08
.93
.67
.40
1.68
18.50
1.75
2006
.79
.98
1.58
1.10
1.20
1.08
.92
.67
.40
1.63
18.15
1.88
2007
.78
.98
1.58
1.10
1.20
1.08
.92
.67
.39
1.55
17.72
2.04
2008
.78
.98
1.58
1.10
1.20
1.08
.92
.67
.39
1.59
17.61
2.21
2009
.78
.98
1.58
1.10
1.21
1.08
.92
.67
.39
1.66
19.89
2.35
2010
.78
.98
1.58
1.10
1.21
1.08
.92
.67
.39
1.64
19.77
2.30

1 See Glossary for definition of "Normal retirement age."

Sources:

Historical rates computed as the ratio of (a) age-specific "other" terminations, to (b) exposure of disabled worker in force population.

Future rates projected by historical trend and judgment.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.


Contents Glossary


List of Studies
December 26, 2001