Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
Contents Glossary




 

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

A. NUMBER OF DISABILITY INSURANCE (DI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.A15—DI Disabled Worker Terminations Due to Death
(By calendar age terminated and gender, calendar years 1975-2010)
[In thousands]
Year
  15-19
  20-24
  25-29
  30-34
  35-39
  40-44
  45-49
  50-54
  55-59
  60-64
  65-NRA1
  Total
Male
1975
0.1
0.7
1.4
1.6
2.3
4.3
8.3
16.0
26.3
41.1
3.7
105.8
1980
.1
.7
1.4
1.9
2.6
4.0
7.4
14.7
27.4
40.9
4.1
105.1
1985
.5
1.3
2.3
3.2
4.4
6.9
12.4
24.0
39.9
4.8
99.6
1990
.5
2.3
4.6
6.2
7.1
8.4
12.2
21.0
35.1
4.4
101.8
1991
.5
2.5
5.2
7.3
8.4
9.5
12.9
21.0
35.0
4.3
106.6
1992
.5
2.6
5.9
8.0
9.2
10.4
13.7
21.3
34.2
4.8
110.5
1993
.5
2.6
6.6
9.2
10.3
11.4
14.9
22.4
34.5
4.7
117.1
1994
.5
2.5
7.2
9.7
11.3
12.4
15.8
22.4
34.0
4.4
120.2
1995
.4
2.3
6.9
10.1
11.7
13.2
16.0
22.4
33.3
4.4
120.7
1996
.4
1.8
5.2
8.3
10.3
12.9
15.7
22.2
33.7
4.2
114.7
1997
.3
1.3
3.2
5.7
8.3
11.3
15.5
22.5
32.3
4.3
104.6
1998
.4
1.1
2.6
5.1
8.1
11.6
15.9
23.5
33.1
4.0
105.4
1999
.3
1.0
2.4
4.9
8.1
12.0
16.9
24.2
33.3
4.2
107.3
2000
.3
.9
2.2
4.7
8.2
12.4
17.9
24.6
32.9
4.1
108.2
2001
.3
.8
2.0
4.4
8.1
12.6
18.3
25.5
33.7
4.0
109.9
2002
.4
.9
2.0
4.2
8.1
13.0
18.6
26.9
35.4
4.1
113.5
2003
.4
.9
1.9
4.0
8.0
13.4
19.0
28.1
37.4
5.7
118.8
2004
.4
.9
1.8
3.9
7.9
13.6
19.6
29.7
39.2
7.2
124.3
2005
.4
1.0
1.8
3.8
7.8
13.8
20.2
31.5
40.9
8.9
130.0
2006
.4
1.0
1.7
3.7
7.5
13.9
20.8
32.6
43.2
10.9
135.8
2007
.4
1.1
1.7
3.6
7.3
13.9
21.5
33.0
45.8
13.5
141.7
2008
.4
1.1
1.8
3.5
7.0
13.8
22.0
33.7
47.7
15.9
147.1
2009
.4
1.1
1.8
3.4
6.8
13.7
22.3
34.6
50.3
17.6
152.2
2010
.4
1.1
1.9
3.3
6.6
13.4
22.6
35.7
53.2
17.4
155.7
Female
1975
.2
.5
.7
.8
1.6
3.1
5.7
8.8
11.7
1.0
34.1
1980
.3
.6
.9
1.1
1.7
3.0
5.6
9.7
13.2
1.6
37.7
1985
.2
.5
.9
1.5
1.9
2.9
4.8
9.0
13.9
1.6
37.1
1990
.2
.6
1.2
1.9
2.8
3.9
5.5
8.6
13.3
1.5
39.6
1991
.2
.7
1.4
2.1
3.1
4.3
6.1
9.2
13.4
1.5
42.1
1992
.3
.7
1.5
2.4
3.5
4.6
6.5
9.1
13.6
1.7
43.9
1993
.2
.8
1.5
2.6
3.7
5.2
7.1
9.9
14.1
1.7
46.8
1994
.2
.8
1.8
2.8
4.1
5.7
7.7
10.5
14.2
1.8
49.4
1995
.2
.8
1.8
3.0
4.3
6.0
7.9
10.9
14.5
1.7
51.2
1996
.2
.8
1.7
2.9
4.3
6.3
8.4
11.3
14.9
1.7
52.5
1997
.2
.7
1.4
2.7
4.3
6.2
8.9
12.0
15.2
1.7
53.3
1998
.2
.6
1.3
2.7
4.4
6.5
9.4
12.7
15.9
1.7
55.4
1999
.2
.6
1.3
2.6
4.5
6.9
10.1
13.4
16.6
1.9
58.2
2000
.2
.6
1.3
2.6
4.8
7.2
10.8
14.1
17.3
1.9
60.8
2001
.2
.6
1.3
2.6
4.9
7.5
11.3
15.0
18.3
2.0
63.7
2002
.2
.6
1.3
2.6
5.1
7.9
11.8
16.3
19.9
2.1
67.7
2003
.2
.6
1.3
2.5
5.2
8.3
12.4
17.3
21.6
3.0
72.5
2004
.2
.7
1.3
2.5
5.3
8.6
13.1
18.6
23.2
3.9
77.4
2005
.3
.7
1.3
2.5
5.3
8.9
13.8
20.1
24.5
4.9
82.2
2006
.3
.8
1.3
2.5
5.3
9.2
14.5
21.2
26.5
6.1
87.6
2007
.3
.8
1.3
2.5
5.2
9.3
15.0
21.7
28.3
7.7
92.0
2008
.3
.8
1.3
2.5
5.0
9.3
15.3
22.3
29.5
9.1
95.3
2009
.3
.8
1.3
2.5
4.9
9.3
15.6
23.0
31.3
10.1
99.1
2010
.3
.8
1.4
2.4
5.0
9.3
16.1
24.1
33.6
10.1
103.1
Total
1975
.1
.9
1.8
2.3
3.1
5.9
11.5
21.6
35.1
52.7
4.7
139.8
1980
.1
1.0
1.9
2.8
3.7
5.7
10.4
20.3
37.1
54.1
5.7
142.8
1985
.7
1.8
3.2
4.6
6.3
9.8
17.2
33.0
53.8
6.3
136.7
1990
.7
2.9
5.8
8.1
9.9
12.3
17.7
29.7
48.5
5.9
141.4
1991
.8
3.2
6.7
9.4
11.5
13.8
18.9
30.2
48.4
5.8
148.7
1992
.7
3.3
7.4
10.4
12.7
15.0
20.2
30.4
47.8
6.4
154.4
1993
.7
3.3
8.1
11.7
14.1
16.6
22.0
32.3
48.5
6.5
163.8
1994
.7
3.2
9.0
12.5
15.3
18.1
23.5
32.9
48.2
6.2
169.7
1995
.7
3.0
8.6
13.1
15.9
19.2
23.9
33.4
47.9
6.1
171.9
1996
.6
2.5
6.9
11.1
14.7
19.2
24.1
33.6
48.6
5.8
167.1
1997
.5
1.9
4.6
8.4
12.6
17.4
24.4
34.4
47.5
6.0
158.0
1998
.5
1.6
4.0
7.8
12.5
18.1
25.3
36.2
49.1
5.7
160.8
1999
.5
1.6
3.7
7.5
12.6
18.9
27.0
37.7
49.9
6.0
165.4
2000
.5
1.5
3.4
7.3
13.1
19.6
28.7
38.7
50.2
6.0
169.0
2001
.5
1.4
3.3
7.0
13.1
20.1
29.7
40.5
52.0
6.0
173.6
2002
.6
1.5
3.2
6.8
13.1
20.9
30.4
43.1
55.3
6.3
181.2
2003
.6
1.5
3.2
6.6
13.2
21.6
31.5
45.4
59.0
8.7
191.3
2004
.6
1.6
3.1
6.4
13.2
22.2
32.7
48.3
62.4
11.1
201.6
2005
.7
1.7
3.0
6.3
13.1
22.7
34.0
51.6
65.4
13.8
212.2
2006
.7
1.8
3.0
6.2
12.8
23.1
35.3
53.8
69.7
17.0
223.4
2007
.7
1.9
3.0
6.2
12.5
23.2
36.4
54.7
74.0
21.2
233.6
2008
.7
1.9
3.1
6.0
12.0
23.1
37.2
56.0
77.3
25.0
242.4
2009
.7
1.9
3.2
5.9
11.7
23.0
37.9
57.7
81.6
27.7
251.3
2010
.7
2.0
3.3
5.8
11.6
22.7
38.7
59.8
86.9
27.5
258.8

1 See Glossary for definition of "Normal retirement age."

2 Fewer than 50.

Sources:

· Historical figures based on SSA administrative records.

· Projected terminations computed by applying projected death termination rates to exposure of disabled worker in force population.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.


Contents Glossary


List of Studies
December 26, 2001