Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
Contents Glossary




 

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

A. NUMBER OF DISABILITY INSURANCE (DI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.A19—DI Disabled Workers With Benefits Withheld
(By age and gender, as of December 31, 1975-2010)
[In thousands]
Year
  15-19
  20-24
  25-29
  30-34
  35-39
  40-44
  45-49
  50-54
  55-59
  60-64
  65-NRA1
  Total
Male
1975
0.2
0.4
0.4
0.5
0.7
1.2
1.9
2.8
3.9
...
11.9
1980
.5
1.1
1.0
.9
.9
1.0
1.2
1.3
1.1
...
9.0
1985
.8
2.3
2.8
2.8
2.3
2.1
2.4
2.8
2.5
...
20.7
1990
.9
4.1
5.5
5.5
4.8
3.7
3.3
3.5
3.1
...
34.3
1991
.8
3.8
5.6
5.8
5.2
4.1
3.4
3.5
3.1
...
35.2
1992
.8
3.5
5.6
6.0
5.5
4.4
3.5
3.4
3.0
...
35.8
1993
1.0
3.6
5.9
6.6
5.9
4.8
3.8
3.6
3.0
...
38.1
1994
1.1
4.0
6.7
7.6
6.9
5.6
4.3
3.9
3.2
...
43.3
1995
1.3
4.6
7.9
9.7
9.2
7.3
5.4
4.7
3.7
...
53.8
1996
1.3
5.5
9.5
12.1
11.7
9.3
6.7
5.3
4.3
...
65.7
1997
1.2
5.5
8.9
11.7
11.6
9.4
7.3
5.7
4.0
...
65.3
1998
1.1
5.2
9.1
12.4
12.8
10.7
8.3
6.4
4.3
...
70.3
1999
1.1
5.0
8.7
12.9
13.4
11.4
8.9
7.0
4.8
...
73.3
2000
1.2
4.2
7.9
11.9
13.5
11.8
9.3
7.1
4.7
71.7
2001
1.3
4.4
8.2
12.4
15.0
14.0
9.6
7.4
4.9
77.3
2002
1.4
4.5
7.9
11.9
15.0
14.5
9.8
7.9
5.2
78.2
2003
1.5
4.7
7.7
11.5
15.0
15.0
10.1
8.3
5.5
.1
79.4
2004
1.6
4.9
7.5
11.1
14.9
15.4
10.4
8.7
5.8
.2
80.5
2005
1.6
5.2
7.3
10.9
14.6
15.7
10.7
9.2
5.9
.4
81.6
2006
1.6
5.5
7.2
10.8
14.3
16.0
11.1
9.5
6.3
.5
82.7
2007
1.6
5.8
7.3
10.6
13.9
16.1
11.4
9.6
6.8
.7
83.8
2008
1.6
6.0
7.6
10.4
13.5
16.2
11.7
9.9
7.1
.9
84.9
2009
1.6
6.1
7.9
10.2
13.2
16.3
11.9
10.2
7.5
.9
85.9
2010
1.7
6.3
8.3
10.0
13.2
16.1
12.1
10.6
7.8
.9
86.9
Female
1975
.1
.1
.1
.2
.4
.7
1.0
1.4
...
4.0
1980
.1
.3
.3
.2
.3
.3
.4
.5
.4
...
2.9
1985
.3
.7
.8
.8
.6
.7
.9
1.0
.8
...
6.5
1990
.3
1.4
1.7
1.9
2.0
1.7
1.5
1.6
1.3
...
13.5
1991
.3
1.3
1.8
2.0
2.2
1.9
1.6
1.6
1.3
...
14.0
1992
.3
1.2
1.8
2.1
2.3
2.1
1.7
1.7
1.3
...
14.5
1993
.3
1.3
1.9
2.2
2.5
2.4
2.0
1.8
1.3
...
15.7
1994
.4
1.4
2.2
2.5
2.7
2.8
2.3
2.0
1.4
...
17.7
1995
.4
1.6
2.5
3.0
3.2
3.2
2.6
2.3
1.5
...
20.4
1996
.4
1.8
2.8
3.6
3.9
3.6
3.1
2.4
1.7
...
23.2
1997
.4
1.8
2.9
3.8
4.2
4.1
3.5
2.7
1.8
...
25.3
1998
.4
1.9
3.2
4.3
4.8
4.7
4.0
3.1
1.9
...
28.4
1999
.4
2.0
3.1
4.5
5.1
5.0
4.4
3.6
2.2
...
30.2
2000
.5
1.7
2.7
4.1
5.0
5.0
4.4
3.5
2.1
29.0
2001
.5
1.7
2.9
4.3
5.6
5.7
4.6
3.7
2.2
31.3
2002
.6
1.8
2.9
4.3
5.7
6.0
4.8
4.0
2.4
32.5
2003
.6
1.9
2.9
4.3
5.8
6.3
5.0
4.3
2.6
.1
33.7
2004
.6
2.0
2.9
4.2
5.9
6.5
5.3
4.6
2.8
.1
34.8
2005
.6
2.1
2.8
4.2
5.9
6.7
5.5
4.9
2.9
.2
35.8
2006
.6
2.2
2.8
4.3
5.8
6.9
5.8
5.1
3.1
.3
36.8
2007
.6
2.3
2.9
4.3
5.8
7.0
6.0
5.2
3.4
.4
37.9
2008
.6
2.3
3.0
4.3
5.7
7.2
6.2
5.5
3.6
.5
38.9
2009
.6
2.4
3.1
4.3
5.7
7.2
6.4
5.7
3.8
.5
39.6
2010
.6
2.4
3.2
4.2
5.7
7.3
6.5
5.9
4.1
.5
40.5
Total
1975
.2
.5
.5
.6
1.0
1.5
2.5
3.8
5.3
...
15.9
1980
.6
1.4
1.3
1.1
1.1
1.3
1.6
1.9
1.6
...
11.9
1985
1.0
2.9
3.6
3.5
2.9
2.8
3.3
3.8
3.3
...
27.2
1990
1.2
5.5
7.1
7.4
6.9
5.5
4.7
5.0
4.4
...
47.8
1991
1.1
5.1
7.4
7.8
7.3
6.0
5.0
5.1
4.3
...
49.2
1992
1.1
4.8
7.5
8.1
7.7
6.5
5.3
5.1
4.3
...
50.4
1993
1.3
4.9
7.8
8.8
8.3
7.1
5.8
5.5
4.3
...
53.8
1994
1.5
5.4
9.0
10.2
9.7
8.4
6.5
5.9
4.5
...
61.0
1995
1.7
6.2
10.4
12.7
12.4
10.5
8.0
7.0
5.3
...
74.2
1996
1.7
7.2
12.4
15.7
15.6
12.9
9.8
7.7
6.0
...
88.9
1997
1.6
7.3
11.8
15.5
15.9
13.5
10.8
8.4
5.8
...
90.6
1998
1.6
7.2
12.3
16.6
17.6
15.4
12.2
9.5
6.2
...
98.7
1999
1.6
7.0
11.8
17.4
18.6
16.5
13.3
10.5
6.9
...
103.6
2000
1.7
5.9
10.7
16.1
18.5
16.9
13.7
10.5
6.8
100.7
2001
1.8
6.1
11.1
16.7
20.5
19.8
14.3
11.1
7.1
108.7
2002
2.0
6.3
10.8
16.2
20.7
20.6
14.6
11.9
7.6
110.7
2003
2.1
6.6
10.6
15.8
20.8
21.3
15.1
12.6
8.1
.2
113.1
2004
2.2
6.9
10.3
15.3
20.8
21.9
15.6
13.3
8.5
.3
115.3
2005
2.2
7.3
10.1
15.1
20.5
22.4
16.2
14.1
8.8
.6
117.4
2006
2.2
7.7
10.0
15.1
20.1
22.8
16.8
14.6
9.4
.8
119.5
2007
2.2
8.0
10.2
14.9
19.6
23.1
17.4
14.9
10.2
1.1
121.7
2008
2.2
8.3
10.5
14.7
19.2
23.4
17.8
15.4
10.7
1.4
123.8
2009
2.3
8.5
11.0
14.5
18.9
23.5
18.2
15.9
11.3
1.4
125.5
2010
2.3
8.7
11.5
14.3
18.9
23.4
18.6
16.5
11.9
1.4
127.4

1 See Glossary for definition of "Normal retirement age."

2 Fewer than 50.

Sources:

· Historical figures computed by subtracting disabled workers in current-payment status from disabled workers in force at end of year.

· Projected figures computed by applying projected withheld rates to disabled workers in force at end of year.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.


Contents Glossary


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December 26, 2001