Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
 Contents Glossary




 

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

A. NUMBER OF DISABILITY INSURANCE (DI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.A5—Workers Insured in the Event of Disability as a Percent of Fully Insured
(By age and gender, as of December 31, 1975-2010)
Year
  15-19
  20-24
  25-29
  30-34
  35-39
  40-44
  45-49
  50-54
  55-59
  60-64
  65-NRA 1
  Total
Male
1975
93.56
88.24
88.74
89.46
90.99
91.49
90.87
90.05
89.22
89.33
...
89.86
1976
91.67
86.77
89.45
87.49
89.55
91.85
90.69
90.37
89.19
90.32
...
89.35
1977
91.94
86.56
88.76
88.05
89.29
90.74
90.93
89.97
90.55
88.37
...
89.12
1978
93.93
90.05
88.56
87.53
89.89
90.37
90.87
90.37
89.65
90.07
...
89.79
1979
96.30
93.12
89.34
87.19
89.27
91.38
90.38
90.16
90.22
87.61
...
90.31
1980
96.92
93.97
90.39
86.66
89.16
90.51
90.20
90.53
89.62
84.00
...
90.16
1981
95.73
92.33
91.50
88.39
87.77
89.43
91.05
90.09
90.67
85.23
...
90.15
1982
94.71
90.72
91.42
88.70
89.05
89.47
90.31
90.16
91.20
87.46
...
90.14
1983
93.94
90.02
91.21
88.46
88.48
90.08
89.86
89.97
91.46
85.31
...
89.71
1984
93.82
90.54
91.22
88.98
88.31
89.78
90.51
89.66
90.56
87.75
...
89.91
1985
95.46
91.95
91.55
89.60
87.91
89.90
90.28
89.90
90.46
86.96
...
90.18
1986
95.76
92.51
91.47
90.23
89.48
88.26
88.89
90.50
89.54
87.51
...
90.27
1987
95.01
92.54
91.59
90.01
89.24
89.29
88.54
89.30
89.13
86.99
...
90.11
1988
94.79
93.23
91.49
90.03
89.25
89.01
89.46
88.80
88.96
87.50
...
90.20
1989
94.99
93.13
91.03
89.79
89.59
89.00
89.29
89.61
88.76
86.18
...
90.07
1990
94.39
92.91
90.87
89.68
89.98
88.76
89.58
89.61
89.06
85.34
...
89.98
1991
93.16
91.78
91.16
89.37
90.55
90.21
88.77
88.56
89.88
84.71
...
89.90
1992
91.76
90.33
91.53
90.09
90.79
90.24
90.09
88.97
89.11
85.58
...
90.04
1993
92.24
90.26
91.63
90.80
91.12
90.34
90.10
89.96
89.01
85.34
...
90.27
1994
93.22
91.33
91.06
91.26
91.20
90.91
90.26
89.96
89.57
86.40
...
90.61
1995
94.18
91.88
90.82
91.20
91.63
91.48
90.10
90.07
89.57
85.56
...
90.73
1996
94.95
91.90
90.87
91.16
91.71
91.89
90.72
90.25
88.67
86.91
...
90.92
1997
95.08
92.33
90.82
91.08
91.65
91.74
90.53
90.67
89.33
85.48
...
90.88
1998
95.01
92.25
90.74
90.74
91.80
91.53
90.50
90.66
89.84
86.30
...
90.90
1999
95.01
92.35
91.32
90.66
90.34
90.43
90.42
89.89
88.62
85.96
...
90.40
2000
95.21
93.40
91.43
90.50
90.80
91.24
90.58
90.10
89.28
86.05
...
90.77
2001
95.10
93.99
91.59
90.86
90.84
91.35
90.46
89.92
88.77
85.83
...
90.80
2002
95.17
94.16
91.65
90.83
90.51
91.20
90.42
89.94
88.58
86.01
...
90.74
2003
95.22
94.23
91.73
90.90
90.27
91.12
90.41
89.97
88.38
86.22
81.27
90.69
2004
95.28
94.29
91.78
90.92
90.19
90.99
90.40
90.00
88.30
86.20
81.20
90.63
2005
95.35
94.35
91.84
90.91
90.10
90.82
90.36
90.00
88.09
85.94
81.00
90.54
2006
95.41
94.38
91.87
90.89
89.99
90.68
90.30
90.01
88.03
85.80
81.00
90.45
2007
95.48
94.41
91.91
90.84
89.98
90.43
90.26
90.00
88.03
85.96
81.00
90.38
2008
95.55
94.43
91.94
90.78
89.97
90.13
90.23
89.99
88.01
86.08
81.00
90.31
2009
95.63
94.47
91.96
90.70
89.89
89.97
90.15
89.97
87.99
86.01
81.00
90.25
2010
95.70
94.51
91.99
90.67
89.86
89.82
90.03
89.94
87.94
85.78
81.00
90.18
Female
1975
92.86
77.63
65.14
52.37
53.24
60.99
67.11
69.59
71.31
68.60
...
66.75
1976
91.11
77.00
67.76
53.20
53.71
62.43
68.22
70.15
71.88
68.74
...
67.34
1977
91.53
77.67
69.06
55.85
55.17
62.74
69.95
71.08
73.16
68.21
...
68.36
1978
93.53
81.97
70.96
57.99
56.70
64.52
71.28
72.66
72.99
69.86
...
70.46
1979
97.30
86.30
73.69
60.68
58.61
66.59
72.82
74.71
74.36
68.58
...
72.83
1980
96.40
87.38
75.90
62.48
60.73
68.03
73.04
75.18
73.94
65.52
...
73.59
1981
95.31
86.49
78.29
66.34
62.37
69.38
75.07
76.69
75.80
68.76
...
75.01
1982
94.30
84.97
79.49
68.76
66.39
71.99
76.16
79.00
77.62
72.09
...
76.32
1983
93.75
83.54
80.37
70.35
68.18
73.27
77.97
79.91
79.01
70.52
...
76.73
1984
93.81
84.37
80.39
72.20
69.79
74.40
79.01
80.60
79.73
72.88
...
77.61
1985
95.45
86.68
81.06
73.70
70.79
75.50
79.99
81.12
80.46
73.13
...
78.65
1986
95.73
88.13
81.95
74.80
72.64
75.27
80.01
82.05
80.88
74.17
...
79.49
1987
95.36
88.46
82.97
75.39
73.11
76.43
80.69
81.42
81.95
74.61
...
80.01
1988
95.28
89.19
83.05
76.45
73.80
77.04
81.35
82.55
82.39
75.63
...
80.61
1989
95.09
89.62
83.61
76.84
75.07
77.66
81.97
83.52
83.05
75.51
...
81.15
1990
94.60
89.59
84.25
77.45
75.99
78.30
82.58
84.24
83.34
75.23
...
81.55
1991
94.03
87.93
85.00
78.40
76.88
80.05
82.19
84.22
84.38
76.54
...
81.97
1992
92.91
86.73
85.55
79.70
77.74
80.41
83.75
85.21
84.15
78.65
...
82.53
1993
92.70
86.83
85.69
80.28
78.93
80.89
84.01
85.79
85.18
78.55
...
82.98
1994
94.11
87.56
85.79
81.18
79.39
81.53
84.52
86.24
85.46
79.86
...
83.56
1995
94.84
88.00
85.84
81.58
79.97
81.92
84.86
86.44
85.97
79.59
...
83.92
1996
95.36
88.72
86.29
81.97
80.44
82.17
85.48
86.50
86.12
80.79
...
84.41
1997
95.38
89.97
85.99
82.17
80.93
82.17
85.27
86.81
86.72
78.95
...
84.56
1998
95.54
90.05
86.58
82.33
80.99
82.55
85.10
86.59
86.42
80.08
...
84.77
1999
94.77
90.11
87.14
83.31
82.21
83.54
86.43
87.99
87.60
80.80
...
85.70
2000
94.86
90.29
87.56
83.79
82.57
83.70
86.24
87.89
87.38
81.45
...
85.91
2001
94.81
90.71
87.91
84.23
83.05
84.13
86.68
88.44
87.86
81.86
...
86.37
2002
94.78
90.71
88.17
84.63
83.48
84.43
86.82
88.60
88.06
82.15
...
86.63
2003
94.70
90.61
88.38
85.00
83.91
84.76
87.10
88.94
88.41
82.38
76.00
86.90
2004
94.61
90.62
88.58
85.36
84.31
85.06
87.29
89.17
88.60
82.48
76.00
87.12
2005
94.56
90.67
88.78
85.71
84.70
85.36
87.51
89.44
88.79
82.43
75.63
87.33
2006
94.51
90.75
88.97
86.05
85.07
85.65
87.71
89.66
88.87
82.57
75.54
87.52
2007
94.45
90.82
89.15
86.36
85.40
85.93
87.90
89.84
88.98
82.95
76.00
87.70
2008
94.39
90.88
89.31
86.66
85.71
86.19
88.08
90.00
89.08
83.04
76.00
87.84
2009
94.35
90.96
89.47
86.95
86.01
86.44
88.27
90.10
89.15
82.95
76.00
87.99
2010
94.32
91.05
89.63
87.22
86.31
86.68
88.46
90.17
89.20
82.75
76.00
88.11

1 See Glossary for definition of "Normal retirement age."

Sources:

· Historical rates computed by dividing number insured for disability by number fully insured.

· Future rates projected by regression on labor force participation rates and time.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.

Contents Glossary

List of Studies
December 26, 2001