Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
Contents Glossary




 

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.B10—Retired Workers With Benefits Withheld
(By age and gender, as of December 31, 1975-2010)
[In thousands]
Year
  62-64
  65-69
  70-74
  75-79
  80-84
  85-89
  90-94
  95 or
older
  Total
Male
1975
24.5
345.5
63.2
2.6
2.4
2.2
1.3
1.1
442.9
1980
23.1
287.8
46.1
2.0
2.0
2.0
1.8
2.2
366.9
1985
22.6
256.9
5.5
2.2
2.0
1.8
1.7
3.5
296.1
1990
23.0
216.2
8.2
2.9
2.4
2.1
1.8
4.9
261.6
1991
23.4
208.6
6.7
2.7
2.3
2.1
1.8
5.1
252.8
1992
23.9
195.6
7.3
2.7
2.4
2.1
1.8
5.4
241.2
1993
25.5
191.9
8.2
2.9
2.5
2.2
1.9
5.8
240.9
1994
25.3
189.5
7.9
2.9
2.5
2.2
1.9
6.0
238.1
1995
26.4
194.1
8.2
3.4
2.7
2.4
1.9
6.4
245.5
1996
28.9
196.2
8.3
3.8
2.8
2.3
1.9
6.7
251.0
1997
26.5
184.6
7.8
3.6
2.7
2.2
1.9
6.9
236.2
1998
27.7
179.1
8.5
3.8
2.8
2.3
1.9
7.3
233.4
1999
27.4
173.1
8.7
4.0
2.9
2.4
2.0
7.5
228.0
2000
27.4
18.4
8.0
4.2
3.3
2.5
2.1
7.8
73.7
2001
27.8
6.5
5.3
4.1
3.1
2.5
2.0
7.8
59.1
2002
28.6
6.6
5.3
4.2
3.1
2.5
2.1
8.0
60.5
2003
29.3
8.5
5.3
4.3
3.2
2.6
2.1
8.2
63.5
2004
30.8
10.0
5.3
4.3
3.3
2.6
2.2
8.4
66.9
2005
32.6
11.5
5.4
4.3
3.3
2.6
2.3
8.6
70.6
2006
33.8
13.1
5.5
4.3
3.3
2.7
2.3
8.8
73.8
2007
33.8
15.3
5.6
4.3
3.3
2.8
2.3
9.1
76.5
2008
35.3
16.9
5.8
4.2
3.3
2.8
2.3
9.4
80.0
2009
38.6
16.9
6.0
4.2
3.3
2.8
2.4
9.7
84.0
2010
41.9
17.0
6.2
4.2
3.3
2.8
2.4
9.9
87.9
Female
1975
12.3
93.1
15.7
1.3
1.2
.9
.4
.2
125.2
1980
11.5
69.5
9.5
.8
1.0
1.0
.7
.4
94.3
1985
14.4
85.9
3.0
1.1
1.1
1.0
.7
.8
108.0
1990
14.8
72.8
3.5
1.8
1.9
1.8
1.3
1.4
99.2
1991
15.8
72.6
3.0
1.5
1.6
1.5
1.1
1.5
98.7
1992
15.8
68.1
3.1
1.5
1.7
1.6
1.2
1.7
94.6
1993
16.4
67.8
3.5
1.6
1.9
1.8
1.4
1.8
96.2
1994
15.9
67.9
3.3
1.5
1.7
1.6
1.3
2.0
95.1
1995
16.8
71.0
3.7
1.7
2.0
1.9
1.5
2.2
100.8
1996
19.4
71.2
3.6
1.8
2.0
2.0
1.5
2.3
103.7
1997
17.1
65.0
3.5
1.7
1.7
1.8
1.3
2.5
94.6
1998
18.5
62.0
3.6
1.8
1.7
1.8
1.5
2.7
93.4
1999
18.6
61.1
3.9
1.9
1.7
1.9
1.5
2.9
93.5
2000
18.6
9.3
3.6
2.1
1.9
2.0
1.7
3.0
42.1
2001
20.6
3.0
2.2
1.9
1.8
2.0
1.7
3.2
36.4
2002
21.8
3.1
2.2
1.9
1.9
2.1
1.7
3.3
37.9
2003
22.7
4.6
2.2
1.9
1.9
2.1
1.8
3.5
40.6
2004
24.3
6.0
2.2
1.9
1.9
2.1
1.8
3.6
43.9
2005
26.0
7.5
2.3
1.9
2.0
2.2
1.9
3.7
47.4
2006
27.3
9.2
2.3
1.9
2.0
2.2
1.9
3.8
50.5
2007
27.8
11.2
2.4
1.9
2.0
2.2
2.0
4.0
53.4
2008
29.7
12.8
2.4
1.9
2.0
2.3
2.0
4.1
57.1
2009
33.0
12.5
2.5
1.9
1.9
2.3
2.0
4.2
60.4
2010
36.3
12.4
2.5
1.9
1.9
2.4
2.0
4.3
63.8
Total
1975
36.8
438.7
79.0
4.0
3.6
3.1
1.7
1.3
568.1
1980
34.5
357.3
55.6
2.8
3.0
2.9
2.4
2.6
461.2
1985
37.0
342.8
8.5
3.3
3.2
2.8
2.4
4.2
404.2
1990
37.8
289.0
11.7
4.7
4.3
3.8
3.1
6.3
360.7
1991
39.2
281.2
9.7
4.3
3.9
3.6
2.9
6.7
351.5
1992
39.7
263.6
10.4
4.2
4.1
3.7
3.0
7.1
335.8
1993
41.9
259.7
11.7
4.5
4.4
4.0
3.3
7.6
337.0
1994
41.2
257.3
11.1
4.4
4.2
3.8
3.1
8.0
333.2
1995
43.2
265.1
11.9
5.1
4.7
4.2
3.3
8.6
346.2
1996
48.3
267.4
11.9
5.5
4.8
4.3
3.4
9.0
354.7
1997
43.6
249.6
11.3
5.3
4.4
4.0
3.3
9.4
330.9
1998
46.2
241.0
12.1
5.6
4.5
4.1
3.4
10.0
326.8
1999
46.0
234.2
12.6
5.9
4.6
4.3
3.5
10.4
321.5
2000
46.1
27.8
11.6
6.3
5.1
4.5
3.8
10.8
115.9
2001
48.4
9.5
7.6
5.9
4.9
4.5
3.7
11.0
95.5
2002
50.5
9.6
7.5
6.1
5.0
4.6
3.8
11.3
98.4
2003
52.0
13.1
7.5
6.2
5.1
4.7
3.9
11.7
104.1
2004
55.1
16.0
7.6
6.2
5.2
4.7
4.0
12.0
110.8
2005
58.6
19.0
7.7
6.2
5.3
4.8
4.1
12.3
117.9
2006
61.0
22.3
7.8
6.2
5.2
4.9
4.2
12.6
124.3
2007
61.7
26.5
8.0
6.2
5.3
5.0
4.3
13.1
129.9
2008
64.9
29.6
8.2
6.1
5.3
5.1
4.3
13.5
137.1
2009
71.6
29.4
8.5
6.1
5.3
5.2
4.4
13.9
144.3
2010
78.2
29.4
8.8
6.2
5.3
5.2
4.5
14.2
151.7

Sources:

Historical figures from SSA administrative records.

Future figures computed by applying withheld rate to number in force.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.


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December 26, 2001