Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
Contents Glossary




 

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.B11—Retired Workers With Benefits Withheld, as a Percentage of Retired Workers In Force
(By age and gender, as of December 31, 1975-2010)
Year
  62-64
  65-69
  70-74
  75-79
  80-84
  85-89
  90-94
  95 or
older
  Total
Male
1975
2.804
10.478
2.619
0.169
0.256
0.547
1.182
5.978
4.610
1980
2.259
7.892
1.678
.110
.206
.415
1.203
7.275
3.388
1985
1.725
6.707
.179
.108
.180
.352
.936
8.203
2.444
1990
1.694
5.254
.249
.125
.182
.346
.940
9.597
1.974
1991
1.707
5.079
.197
.116
.169
.334
.931
9.663
1.875
1992
1.736
4.726
.209
.114
.166
.329
.877
10.010
1.758
1993
1.860
4.632
.233
.119
.169
.325
.889
10.485
1.734
1994
1.845
4.614
.218
.117
.165
.315
.854
10.956
1.697
1995
1.964
4.732
.226
.134
.176
.333
.820
11.251
1.733
1996
2.186
4.819
.230
.143
.178
.319
.805
11.528
1.759
1997
2.037
4.584
.213
.132
.167
.290
.789
11.594
1.645
1998
2.117
4.514
.233
.137
.168
.295
.764
11.847
1.616
1999
2.068
4.368
.241
.140
.172
.295
.755
11.990
1.566
2000
2.022
.451
.220
.149
.187
.303
.776
12.191
.497
2001
1.999
.159
.147
.142
.169
.290
.743
12.191
.395
2002
2.015
.160
.148
.145
.168
.288
.732
12.191
.401
2003
2.011
.204
.150
.147
.168
.284
.724
12.191
.416
2004
2.011
.236
.150
.148
.168
.282
.716
12.192
.433
2005
2.004
.267
.152
.149
.167
.277
.710
12.191
.450
2006
1.995
.297
.153
.149
.167
.273
.706
12.191
.462
2007
1.992
.332
.154
.149
.166
.271
.697
12.191
.471
2008
2.009
.353
.155
.149
.166
.268
.687
12.191
.482
2009
2.016
.337
.156
.149
.166
.266
.679
12.191
.491
2010
2.002
.328
.157
.149
.165
.264
.667
12.192
.499
Female
1975
1.378
3.960
.868
.106
.157
.263
.476
1.240
1.659
1980
1.105
2.554
.428
.054
.104
.188
.389
1.353
1.026
1985
1.215
2.923
.116
.059
.093
.158
.298
1.226
1.007
1990
1.254
2.307
.129
.081
.125
.221
.400
1.515
.830
1991
1.358
2.303
.106
.068
.106
.182
.341
1.523
.811
1992
1.368
2.144
.109
.065
.107
.177
.341
1.577
.764
1993
1.432
2.135
.121
.068
.117
.195
.366
1.665
.766
1994
1.379
2.163
.110
.063
.102
.171
.324
1.716
.748
1995
1.477
2.271
.123
.072
.117
.190
.358
1.798
.784
1996
1.703
2.288
.121
.072
.112
.192
.349
1.866
.798
1997
1.496
2.088
.117
.068
.094
.168
.298
1.878
.714
1998
1.580
2.002
.119
.070
.090
.160
.311
1.964
.697
1999
1.559
1.954
.128
.075
.091
.168
.316
2.000
.690
2000
1.507
.290
.118
.078
.099
.171
.342
2.045
.306
2001
1.617
.092
.075
.072
.094
.171
.330
2.045
.261
2002
1.665
.092
.075
.072
.094
.171
.329
2.045
.269
2003
1.676
.135
.075
.072
.094
.171
.328
2.045
.284
2004
1.702
.174
.075
.072
.094
.171
.327
2.045
.303
2005
1.710
.213
.075
.073
.094
.170
.326
2.045
.321
2006
1.717
.252
.075
.073
.094
.169
.326
2.045
.336
2007
1.729
.295
.075
.073
.094
.170
.326
2.045
.349
2008
1.763
.320
.075
.073
.094
.170
.325
2.045
.363
2009
1.781
.299
.075
.074
.094
.170
.324
2.045
.372
2010
1.777
.285
.075
.074
.094
.170
.323
2.045
.382
Total
1975
2.085
7.765
1.868
.141
.210
.414
.865
3.942
3.311
1980
1.678
5.610
1.121
.084
.156
.298
.768
4.223
2.303
1985
1.483
5.064
.151
.084
.135
.245
.563
4.053
1.770
1990
1.489
3.975
.194
.104
.152
.274
.606
4.398
1.431
1991
1.547
3.874
.156
.093
.136
.246
.563
4.353
1.371
1992
1.568
3.605
.164
.090
.135
.241
.540
4.435
1.287
1993
1.665
3.548
.183
.094
.141
.250
.558
4.590
1.274
1994
1.632
3.552
.169
.091
.132
.231
.516
4.716
1.246
1995
1.740
3.667
.180
.104
.145
.250
.524
4.825
1.281
1996
1.962
3.723
.181
.109
.143
.245
.511
4.915
1.301
1997
1.784
3.496
.169
.101
.128
.218
.472
4.891
1.198
1998
1.863
3.413
.181
.105
.127
.216
.470
4.996
1.174
1999
1.827
3.304
.190
.109
.129
.221
.470
5.041
1.144
2000
1.776
.380
.174
.115
.141
.226
.494
5.101
.405
2001
1.816
.129
.114
.108
.130
.221
.475
5.014
.331
2002
1.847
.130
.115
.110
.130
.220
.471
5.000
.337
2003
1.850
.173
.116
.111
.130
.219
.467
4.926
.352
2004
1.862
.208
.116
.112
.130
.218
.464
4.912
.370
2005
1.862
.243
.117
.113
.130
.216
.462
4.883
.387
2006
1.860
.276
.117
.113
.130
.214
.461
4.880
.401
2007
1.864
.315
.117
.113
.130
.214
.458
4.865
.412
2008
1.889
.338
.118
.113
.129
.213
.454
4.862
.424
2009
1.900
.320
.119
.113
.129
.212
.452
4.887
.433
2010
1.891
.308
.119
.113
.129
.211
.448
4.875
.442

Sources:

Historical percentages computed by dividing number withheld by number in force.

Future percentages projected based on historical trends.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.


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December 26, 2001