Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
 Contents Glossary




 

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.B14—Insured Aged Widows and Widowers With Benefits Withheld, as a Percentage of Insured Aged Widow(ers) In Force
(By age and gender, as of December 31, 1975-2010)
Year
  60-61
  62-64
  65-69
  70-74
  75-79
  80-84
  85-89
  90-94
  95 or
older
  Total
Male
1975
0.000
0.840
1.180
0.623
1.493
1.111
3.252
3.279
11.765
1.343
1980
13.101
11.263
31.429
33.189
49.223
53.368
53.886
75.275
85.714
26.667
1985
10.821
15.472
51.949
55.782
63.564
63.439
62.284
79.265
89.024
36.550
1990
9.373
16.553
56.248
70.232
73.534
71.296
69.144
83.433
91.250
44.738
1991
8.602
15.829
52.952
72.260
81.800
70.844
67.188
79.293
89.437
44.839
1992
8.555
18.617
50.400
71.250
86.476
79.347
77.495
80.462
82.710
46.527
1993
8.031
18.709
49.397
70.838
87.777
80.633
78.477
81.438
84.255
46.617
1994
8.685
18.995
49.005
70.565
88.373
80.126
75.488
69.691
75.000
47.477
1995
8.660
19.626
47.020
69.251
87.959
82.188
73.272
77.694
81.308
46.870
1996
8.800
19.521
43.966
62.393
77.829
85.004
74.584
73.875
78.723
45.925
1997
7.841
18.705
47.663
66.767
81.752
87.099
81.143
76.156
82.759
49.183
1998
8.018
18.726
48.390
66.653
81.862
88.947
82.397
77.720
85.017
49.841
1999
8.964
19.783
49.840
72.725
84.866
92.039
89.428
85.594
90.066
52.861
2000
8.441
18.631
50.085
74.860
84.083
90.448
92.336
91.000
95.265
53.116
2001
8.426
18.637
50.096
74.842
84.072
90.448
92.302
91.050
95.265
52.266
2002
8.414
18.639
50.020
74.824
84.056
90.422
92.280
91.020
95.265
51.287
2003
8.433
18.639
49.979
74.856
84.066
90.352
92.262
90.958
95.265
50.218
2004
8.453
18.633
49.974
74.837
84.006
90.274
92.290
90.944
95.265
49.393
2005
8.447
18.650
49.976
74.829
83.975
90.238
92.357
90.898
95.265
48.852
2006
8.391
18.665
49.961
74.830
83.951
90.255
92.370
90.946
95.265
47.975
2007
8.407
18.664
49.889
74.808
83.933
90.261
92.299
90.951
95.265
46.793
2008
8.454
18.632
49.895
74.806
83.965
90.256
92.156
90.959
95.265
45.907
2009
8.438
18.650
49.965
74.806
83.955
90.312
92.067
90.940
95.265
45.276
2010
8.436
18.684
50.019
74.797
83.942
90.332
92.039
90.875
95.265
44.594
Female
1975
2.892
3.661
2.767
1.089
.754
.834
1.694
2.513
8.235
2.249
1980
2.050
2.847
3.249
1.167
.893
.968
1.618
2.157
9.831
2.110
1985
2.939
3.948
7.029
4.189
4.027
4.004
4.124
4.046
6.667
4.790
1990
2.849
5.554
9.826
9.792
9.499
5.864
5.046
3.237
4.839
8.018
1991
3.960
4.767
10.513
10.232
10.364
7.604
5.493
5.594
8.333
8.647
1992
3.441
3.858
10.045
9.488
10.566
8.430
4.835
4.899
3.529
8.234
1993
3.167
5.225
10.632
10.675
12.049
9.851
6.507
4.762
5.263
9.299
1994
3.596
5.047
9.709
10.454
11.551
10.555
7.143
5.134
6.667
9.067
1995
4.024
5.135
9.683
10.679
11.894
11.407
8.423
7.432
6.087
9.445
1996
3.700
4.679
10.147
10.973
12.081
11.978
9.680
8.298
4.167
9.780
1997
3.397
5.048
13.383
18.442
18.256
20.942
16.522
9.553
4.800
14.719
1998
2.761
6.156
14.081
20.387
19.917
23.087
19.707
14.258
9.231
16.392
1999
4.413
5.641
14.630
21.611
20.717
22.965
22.030
16.387
11.029
17.198
2000
3.486
5.492
15.208
22.555
21.160
23.101
24.373
20.522
19.375
17.930
2001
3.501
5.492
15.227
22.500
21.169
23.134
24.320
20.466
19.375
17.940
2002
3.516
5.492
15.173
22.486
21.159
23.097
24.453
20.527
19.375
17.926
2003
3.506
5.481
15.199
22.527
21.176
23.177
24.394
20.410
19.375
17.920
2004
3.496
5.458
15.232
22.501
21.136
23.277
24.395
20.812
19.375
17.900
2005
3.503
5.455
15.228
22.492
21.161
23.254
24.447
20.764
19.375
17.870
2006
3.555
5.484
15.237
22.535
21.154
23.249
24.460
20.548
19.375
17.816
2007
3.546
5.495
15.212
22.548
21.133
23.255
24.368
20.694
19.375
17.706
2008
3.505
5.441
15.222
22.520
21.148
23.309
24.350
20.812
19.375
17.601
2009
3.518
5.402
15.256
22.544
21.151
23.269
24.358
20.904
19.375
17.456
2010
3.518
5.450
15.289
22.574
21.152
23.281
24.283
20.884
19.375
17.314
Total
1975
2.889
3.657
2.765
1.088
.755
.835
1.715
2.553
8.824
2.247
1980
2.288
3.019
3.528
1.443
1.318
1.473
2.553
4.893
19.012
2.432
1985
3.258
4.282
7.713
4.863
4.631
4.813
4.908
5.667
10.936
5.386
1990
3.192
5.890
10.559
10.767
10.271
6.796
6.083
4.657
7.013
8.748
1991
4.237
5.136
11.163
11.222
11.459
8.496
6.368
6.601
9.902
9.390
1992
3.774
4.372
10.689
10.481
11.750
9.488
5.977
6.106
5.474
9.050
1993
3.486
5.720
11.240
11.626
13.216
10.947
7.633
5.956
7.170
10.097
1994
3.927
5.595
10.424
11.592
12.876
11.496
8.072
5.891
7.869
9.941
1995
4.332
5.710
10.358
11.700
13.087
12.399
9.228
8.260
7.461
10.270
1996
4.042
5.288
10.763
11.851
13.291
13.304
10.513
9.095
5.599
10.606
1997
3.690
5.624
14.010
19.233
19.499
22.318
17.647
10.477
6.394
15.532
1998
3.116
6.690
14.737
21.101
21.093
24.430
20.839
15.190
10.868
17.177
1999
4.723
6.237
15.371
22.397
21.931
24.378
23.279
17.444
12.746
18.050
2000
3.819
6.055
15.977
23.370
22.288
24.492
25.662
21.686
21.040
18.778
2001
3.848
6.060
15.996
23.321
22.227
24.449
25.623
21.557
20.464
18.763
2002
3.880
6.067
15.952
23.314
22.152
24.368
25.704
21.619
20.283
18.728
2003
3.892
6.065
15.985
23.390
22.106
24.382
25.583
21.487
20.385
18.704
2004
3.897
6.053
16.026
23.379
22.034
24.424
25.553
21.846
20.224
18.669
2005
3.911
6.058
16.032
23.386
22.060
24.301
25.593
21.781
20.275
18.628
2006
3.961
6.090
16.050
23.444
22.062
24.232
25.544
21.578
20.120
18.560
2007
3.957
6.103
16.036
23.474
22.051
24.180
25.415
21.682
20.216
18.438
2008
3.922
6.060
16.054
23.462
22.104
24.175
25.339
21.745
20.206
18.323
2009
3.928
6.031
16.093
23.496
22.126
24.110
25.298
21.808
20.109
18.172
2010
3.926
6.080
16.129
23.532
22.146
24.127
25.140
21.781
20.144
18.023

Sources:

· Historical percentages computed by dividing number withheld by number in force.

· Future percentages projected based on historical trends.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.

Contents Glossary

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December 26, 2001