Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A. |
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III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS
B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES
Table III.B2—OASI Workers Who Are Fully Insured, Age 60 or older
(By age and gender, as of December 31, 1975-2010)
[In thousands]
| Year |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Male |
|
|
1,791.2 |
2,487.0 |
3,426.2 |
2,413.2 |
1,569.6 |
927.3 |
396.8 |
111.0 |
19.0 |
13,141.3 |
|
|
1,918.0 |
2,649.3 |
3,762.4 |
2,751.3 |
1,776.1 |
992.6 |
471.1 |
146.2 |
30.0 |
14,497.0 |
|
|
1,992.4 |
2,868.9 |
3,991.3 |
3,066.5 |
2,047.7 |
1,138.7 |
511.2 |
177.0 |
42.2 |
15,835.9 |
|
|
1,949.3 |
2,873.5 |
4,338.5 |
3,299.3 |
2,316.7 |
1,331.5 |
594.9 |
192.9 |
51.6 |
16,948.2 |
|
|
1,908.7 |
2,874.0 |
4,317.6 |
3,410.8 |
2,364.4 |
1,371.9 |
619.4 |
196.5 |
53.3 |
17,116.6 |
|
|
1,855.1 |
2,822.6 |
4,337.3 |
3,486.3 |
2,404.9 |
1,418.5 |
645.2 |
206.6 |
54.5 |
17,231.0 |
|
|
1,834.9 |
2,804.2 |
4,334.4 |
3,541.7 |
2,455.2 |
1,458.1 |
668.0 |
214.5 |
55.2 |
17,366.2 |
|
|
1,865.9 |
2,700.9 |
4,300.1 |
3,622.1 |
2,479.7 |
1,506.6 |
688.5 |
221.5 |
55.3 |
17,440.6 |
|
|
1,924.4 |
2,700.4 |
4,307.1 |
3,638.2 |
2,556.0 |
1,548.9 |
709.3 |
228.8 |
57.3 |
17,670.4 |
|
|
1,925.4 |
2,680.4 |
4,276.7 |
3,627.9 |
2,654.0 |
1,585.1 |
732.2 |
236.6 |
58.1 |
17,776.4 |
|
|
1,963.6 |
2,766.8 |
4,231.9 |
3,650.8 |
2,720.3 |
1,618.1 |
757.9 |
245.6 |
60.1 |
18,015.1 |
|
|
2,017.1 |
2,759.8 |
4,170.0 |
3,655.8 |
2,772.4 |
1,660.1 |
782.2 |
253.6 |
61.8 |
18,132.8 |
|
|
2,071.8 |
2,830.4 |
4,166.6 |
3,634.2 |
2,841.1 |
1,682.5 |
809.8 |
260.4 |
63.0 |
18,359.8 |
|
|
2,123.3 |
2,867.2 |
4,141.2 |
3,650.6 |
2,861.9 |
1,744.9 |
833.8 |
267.4 |
64.3 |
18,554.6 |
|
|
2,213.9 |
2,955.7 |
4,163.3 |
3,633.9 |
2,861.7 |
1,818.8 |
854.4 |
276.3 |
63.4 |
18,841.4 |
|
|
2,390.9 |
3,046.6 |
4,218.4 |
3,606.8 |
2,886.4 |
1,866.9 |
874.3 |
287.1 |
65.0 |
19,242.4 |
|
|
2,568.8 |
3,155.6 |
4,334.8 |
3,563.3 |
2,898.0 |
1,907.0 |
900.2 |
297.0 |
66.7 |
19,691.4 |
|
|
2,592.4 |
3,355.0 |
4,436.8 |
3,568.2 |
2,887.0 |
1,957.0 |
914.9 |
308.7 |
68.3 |
20,088.3 |
|
|
2,557.2 |
3,576.4 |
4,553.5 |
3,570.7 |
2,901.7 |
1,973.1 |
951.0 |
317.9 |
70.3 |
20,471.8 |
|
|
2,771.7 |
3,712.9 |
4,719.1 |
3,596.1 |
2,893.8 |
1,977.8 |
994.0 |
325.3 |
72.1 |
21,062.8 |
|
|
3,173.2 |
3,728.1 |
4,964.0 |
3,649.6 |
2,878.0 |
1,998.8 |
1,020.7 |
333.0 |
74.8 |
21,820.2 |
|
|
3,299.3 |
3,912.9 |
5,222.6 |
3,755.4 |
2,848.1 |
2,010.2 |
1,043.1 |
342.9 |
77.0 |
22,511.5 |
|
|
3,276.3 |
4,300.1 |
5,431.9 |
3,849.0 |
2,857.6 |
2,005.8 |
1,070.0 |
348.3 |
81.0 |
23,220.0 |
|
|
3,330.8 |
4,638.8 |
5,600.5 |
3,955.5 |
2,866.1 |
2,020.0 |
1,079.4 |
362.8 |
82.9 |
23,936.8 |
| Female |
|
|
1,320.4 |
1,914.8 |
2,777.7 |
1,971.5 |
1,378.6 |
834.6 |
355.4 |
91.2 |
14.4 |
10,658.6 |
|
|
1,502.7 |
2,161.6 |
3,195.0 |
2,445.7 |
1,698.0 |
1,063.0 |
537.4 |
172.0 |
32.2 |
12,807.6 |
|
|
1,594.5 |
2,386.0 |
3,515.8 |
2,822.1 |
2,111.0 |
1,325.3 |
697.0 |
266.9 |
63.3 |
14,781.9 |
|
|
1,572.5 |
2,415.5 |
3,831.2 |
3,099.9 |
2,436.9 |
1,642.6 |
877.7 |
340.0 |
98.9 |
16,315.2 |
|
|
1,561.6 |
2,382.3 |
3,815.4 |
3,206.4 |
2,493.5 |
1,700.2 |
925.3 |
354.6 |
107.1 |
16,546.4 |
|
|
1,521.5 |
2,345.7 |
3,838.5 |
3,281.7 |
2,541.3 |
1,758.6 |
979.0 |
383.6 |
114.4 |
16,764.3 |
|
|
1,505.2 |
2,355.2 |
3,840.0 |
3,334.6 |
2,607.5 |
1,804.7 |
1,026.7 |
406.5 |
120.2 |
17,000.6 |
|
|
1,528.5 |
2,307.5 |
3,817.0 |
3,414.9 |
2,626.3 |
1,868.1 |
1,069.4 |
429.4 |
125.1 |
17,186.2 |
|
|
1,590.0 |
2,297.1 |
3,818.6 |
3,454.7 |
2,691.0 |
1,920.8 |
1,104.9 |
452.0 |
132.7 |
17,461.8 |
|
|
1,607.8 |
2,277.9 |
3,798.7 |
3,443.2 |
2,790.1 |
1,965.1 |
1,139.2 |
474.0 |
137.5 |
17,633.5 |
|
|
1,659.1 |
2,381.9 |
3,780.3 |
3,489.1 |
2,873.2 |
2,017.7 |
1,181.3 |
497.1 |
145.5 |
18,025.2 |
|
|
1,721.5 |
2,406.4 |
3,745.0 |
3,500.1 |
2,926.8 |
2,075.2 |
1,214.5 |
518.2 |
151.9 |
18,259.6 |
|
|
1,785.9 |
2,481.8 |
3,750.4 |
3,467.9 |
3,000.5 |
2,093.4 |
1,253.1 |
534.4 |
157.0 |
18,524.4 |
|
|
1,845.5 |
2,546.3 |
3,754.2 |
3,457.6 |
3,034.7 |
2,148.7 |
1,284.7 |
546.3 |
164.2 |
18,782.2 |
|
|
1,935.7 |
2,626.9 |
3,804.5 |
3,430.3 |
3,025.1 |
2,226.2 |
1,314.1 |
564.0 |
173.6 |
19,100.4 |
|
|
2,099.9 |
2,713.8 |
3,868.3 |
3,413.4 |
3,037.0 |
2,272.0 |
1,343.0 |
582.9 |
184.0 |
19,514.3 |
|
|
2,267.9 |
2,819.6 |
3,983.6 |
3,378.9 |
3,040.5 |
2,308.8 |
1,380.1 |
600.6 |
191.6 |
19,971.6 |
|
|
2,315.1 |
3,010.8 |
4,086.5 |
3,398.1 |
3,008.7 |
2,365.6 |
1,395.0 |
624.2 |
198.8 |
20,402.8 |
|
|
2,306.8 |
3,225.3 |
4,193.7 |
3,430.5 |
2,992.0 |
2,392.2 |
1,434.4 |
642.1 |
205.1 |
20,822.1 |
|
|
2,520.7 |
3,373.8 |
4,350.6 |
3,477.8 |
2,970.1 |
2,387.3 |
1,489.7 |
656.6 |
211.6 |
21,438.2 |
|
|
2,908.0 |
3,419.8 |
4,584.6 |
3,536.7 |
2,957.4 |
2,398.4 |
1,521.6 |
671.5 |
218.3 |
22,216.3 |
|
|
3,059.4 |
3,616.8 |
4,840.3 |
3,641.8 |
2,928.9 |
2,402.7 |
1,547.8 |
691.0 |
224.4 |
22,953.1 |
|
|
3,073.4 |
3,999.3 |
5,061.1 |
3,735.7 |
2,947.1 |
2,378.7 |
1,586.2 |
698.5 |
236.9 |
23,716.9 |
|
|
3,157.4 |
4,349.9 |
5,251.6 |
3,833.8 |
2,977.2 |
2,367.9 |
1,605.2 |
719.5 |
242.5 |
24,505.0 |
| Total |
|
|
3,111.6 |
4,401.8 |
6,203.9 |
4,384.7 |
2,948.2 |
1,761.9 |
752.2 |
202.2 |
33.4 |
23,799.9 |
|
|
3,420.7 |
4,810.9 |
6,957.4 |
5,197.0 |
3,474.1 |
2,055.6 |
1,008.5 |
318.2 |
62.2 |
27,304.6 |
|
|
3,586.9 |
5,254.9 |
7,507.1 |
5,888.6 |
4,158.7 |
2,464.0 |
1,208.2 |
443.9 |
105.5 |
30,617.8 |
|
|
3,521.8 |
5,289.0 |
8,169.7 |
6,399.2 |
4,753.6 |
2,974.1 |
1,472.6 |
532.9 |
150.5 |
33,263.4 |
|
|
3,470.3 |
5,256.3 |
8,133.0 |
6,617.2 |
4,857.9 |
3,072.1 |
1,544.7 |
551.1 |
160.4 |
33,663.0 |
|
|
3,376.6 |
5,168.3 |
8,175.8 |
6,768.0 |
4,946.2 |
3,177.1 |
1,624.2 |
590.2 |
168.9 |
33,995.3 |
|
|
3,340.1 |
5,159.4 |
8,174.4 |
6,876.3 |
5,062.7 |
3,262.8 |
1,694.7 |
621.0 |
175.4 |
34,366.8 |
|
|
3,394.4 |
5,008.4 |
8,117.1 |
7,037.0 |
5,106.0 |
3,374.7 |
1,757.9 |
650.9 |
180.4 |
34,626.8 |
|
|
3,514.4 |
4,997.5 |
8,125.7 |
7,092.9 |
5,247.0 |
3,469.7 |
1,814.2 |
680.8 |
190.0 |
35,132.2 |
|
|
3,533.2 |
4,958.3 |
8,075.4 |
7,071.1 |
5,444.1 |
3,550.2 |
1,871.4 |
710.6 |
195.6 |
35,409.9 |
|
|
3,622.7 |
5,148.7 |
8,012.2 |
7,139.9 |
5,593.5 |
3,635.8 |
1,939.2 |
742.7 |
205.6 |
36,040.3 |
|
|
3,738.6 |
5,166.2 |
7,915.0 |
7,155.9 |
5,699.2 |
3,735.3 |
1,996.7 |
771.8 |
213.7 |
36,392.4 |
|
|
3,857.7 |
5,312.2 |
7,917.0 |
7,102.1 |
5,841.6 |
3,775.9 |
2,062.9 |
794.8 |
220.0 |
36,884.2 |
|
|
3,968.8 |
5,413.5 |
7,895.4 |
7,108.2 |
5,896.6 |
3,893.6 |
2,118.5 |
813.7 |
228.5 |
37,336.8 |
|
|
4,149.6 |
5,582.6 |
7,967.8 |
7,064.2 |
5,886.8 |
4,045.0 |
2,168.5 |
840.3 |
237.0 |
37,941.8 |
|
|
4,490.8 |
5,760.4 |
8,086.7 |
7,020.2 |
5,923.4 |
4,138.9 |
2,217.3 |
870.0 |
249.0 |
38,756.7 |
|
|
4,836.7 |
5,975.2 |
8,318.4 |
6,942.2 |
5,938.5 |
4,215.8 |
2,280.3 |
897.6 |
258.3 |
39,663.0 |
|
|
4,907.5 |
6,365.8 |
8,523.3 |
6,966.3 |
5,895.7 |
4,322.6 |
2,309.9 |
932.9 |
267.1 |
40,491.1 |
|
|
4,864.0 |
6,801.7 |
8,747.2 |
7,001.2 |
5,893.7 |
4,365.3 |
2,385.4 |
960.0 |
275.4 |
41,293.9 |
|
|
5,292.4 |
7,086.7 |
9,069.7 |
7,073.9 |
5,863.9 |
4,365.1 |
2,483.7 |
981.9 |
283.7 |
42,501.0 |
|
|
6,081.2 |
7,147.9 |
9,548.6 |
7,186.3 |
5,835.4 |
4,397.2 |
2,542.3 |
1,004.5 |
293.1 |
44,036.5 |
|
|
6,358.7 |
7,529.7 |
10,062.9 |
7,397.2 |
5,777.0 |
4,412.9 |
2,590.9 |
1,033.9 |
301.4 |
45,464.6 |
|
|
6,349.7 |
8,299.4 |
10,493.0 |
7,584.7 |
5,804.7 |
4,384.5 |
2,656.2 |
1,046.8 |
317.9 |
46,936.9 |
|
|
6,488.2 |
8,988.7 |
10,852.1 |
7,789.3 |
5,843.3 |
4,387.9 |
2,684.6 |
1,082.3 |
325.4 |
48,441.8 |
Sources:
· Historical figures estimated by Office of Research, Evaluation and Statistics.
· Future figures projected based on historical relationship to population and coverage rates.
Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.
List of Studies
December 26, 2001