Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
Contents Glossary




 

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.B2—OASI Workers Who Are Fully Insured, Age 60 or older
(By age and gender, as of December 31, 1975-2010)
[In thousands]
Year
  60-61
  62-64
  65-69
  70-74
  75-79
  80-84
  85-89
  90-94
  95 or
older
  Total
Male
1975
1,791.2
2,487.0
3,426.2
2,413.2
1,569.6
927.3
396.8
111.0
19.0
13,141.3
1980
1,918.0
2,649.3
3,762.4
2,751.3
1,776.1
992.6
471.1
146.2
30.0
14,497.0
1985
1,992.4
2,868.9
3,991.3
3,066.5
2,047.7
1,138.7
511.2
177.0
42.2
15,835.9
1990
1,949.3
2,873.5
4,338.5
3,299.3
2,316.7
1,331.5
594.9
192.9
51.6
16,948.2
1991
1,908.7
2,874.0
4,317.6
3,410.8
2,364.4
1,371.9
619.4
196.5
53.3
17,116.6
1992
1,855.1
2,822.6
4,337.3
3,486.3
2,404.9
1,418.5
645.2
206.6
54.5
17,231.0
1993
1,834.9
2,804.2
4,334.4
3,541.7
2,455.2
1,458.1
668.0
214.5
55.2
17,366.2
1994
1,865.9
2,700.9
4,300.1
3,622.1
2,479.7
1,506.6
688.5
221.5
55.3
17,440.6
1995
1,924.4
2,700.4
4,307.1
3,638.2
2,556.0
1,548.9
709.3
228.8
57.3
17,670.4
1996
1,925.4
2,680.4
4,276.7
3,627.9
2,654.0
1,585.1
732.2
236.6
58.1
17,776.4
1997
1,963.6
2,766.8
4,231.9
3,650.8
2,720.3
1,618.1
757.9
245.6
60.1
18,015.1
1998
2,017.1
2,759.8
4,170.0
3,655.8
2,772.4
1,660.1
782.2
253.6
61.8
18,132.8
1999
2,071.8
2,830.4
4,166.6
3,634.2
2,841.1
1,682.5
809.8
260.4
63.0
18,359.8
2000
2,123.3
2,867.2
4,141.2
3,650.6
2,861.9
1,744.9
833.8
267.4
64.3
18,554.6
2001
2,213.9
2,955.7
4,163.3
3,633.9
2,861.7
1,818.8
854.4
276.3
63.4
18,841.4
2002
2,390.9
3,046.6
4,218.4
3,606.8
2,886.4
1,866.9
874.3
287.1
65.0
19,242.4
2003
2,568.8
3,155.6
4,334.8
3,563.3
2,898.0
1,907.0
900.2
297.0
66.7
19,691.4
2004
2,592.4
3,355.0
4,436.8
3,568.2
2,887.0
1,957.0
914.9
308.7
68.3
20,088.3
2005
2,557.2
3,576.4
4,553.5
3,570.7
2,901.7
1,973.1
951.0
317.9
70.3
20,471.8
2006
2,771.7
3,712.9
4,719.1
3,596.1
2,893.8
1,977.8
994.0
325.3
72.1
21,062.8
2007
3,173.2
3,728.1
4,964.0
3,649.6
2,878.0
1,998.8
1,020.7
333.0
74.8
21,820.2
2008
3,299.3
3,912.9
5,222.6
3,755.4
2,848.1
2,010.2
1,043.1
342.9
77.0
22,511.5
2009
3,276.3
4,300.1
5,431.9
3,849.0
2,857.6
2,005.8
1,070.0
348.3
81.0
23,220.0
2010
3,330.8
4,638.8
5,600.5
3,955.5
2,866.1
2,020.0
1,079.4
362.8
82.9
23,936.8
Female
1975
1,320.4
1,914.8
2,777.7
1,971.5
1,378.6
834.6
355.4
91.2
14.4
10,658.6
1980
1,502.7
2,161.6
3,195.0
2,445.7
1,698.0
1,063.0
537.4
172.0
32.2
12,807.6
1985
1,594.5
2,386.0
3,515.8
2,822.1
2,111.0
1,325.3
697.0
266.9
63.3
14,781.9
1990
1,572.5
2,415.5
3,831.2
3,099.9
2,436.9
1,642.6
877.7
340.0
98.9
16,315.2
1991
1,561.6
2,382.3
3,815.4
3,206.4
2,493.5
1,700.2
925.3
354.6
107.1
16,546.4
1992
1,521.5
2,345.7
3,838.5
3,281.7
2,541.3
1,758.6
979.0
383.6
114.4
16,764.3
1993
1,505.2
2,355.2
3,840.0
3,334.6
2,607.5
1,804.7
1,026.7
406.5
120.2
17,000.6
1994
1,528.5
2,307.5
3,817.0
3,414.9
2,626.3
1,868.1
1,069.4
429.4
125.1
17,186.2
1995
1,590.0
2,297.1
3,818.6
3,454.7
2,691.0
1,920.8
1,104.9
452.0
132.7
17,461.8
1996
1,607.8
2,277.9
3,798.7
3,443.2
2,790.1
1,965.1
1,139.2
474.0
137.5
17,633.5
1997
1,659.1
2,381.9
3,780.3
3,489.1
2,873.2
2,017.7
1,181.3
497.1
145.5
18,025.2
1998
1,721.5
2,406.4
3,745.0
3,500.1
2,926.8
2,075.2
1,214.5
518.2
151.9
18,259.6
1999
1,785.9
2,481.8
3,750.4
3,467.9
3,000.5
2,093.4
1,253.1
534.4
157.0
18,524.4
2000
1,845.5
2,546.3
3,754.2
3,457.6
3,034.7
2,148.7
1,284.7
546.3
164.2
18,782.2
2001
1,935.7
2,626.9
3,804.5
3,430.3
3,025.1
2,226.2
1,314.1
564.0
173.6
19,100.4
2002
2,099.9
2,713.8
3,868.3
3,413.4
3,037.0
2,272.0
1,343.0
582.9
184.0
19,514.3
2003
2,267.9
2,819.6
3,983.6
3,378.9
3,040.5
2,308.8
1,380.1
600.6
191.6
19,971.6
2004
2,315.1
3,010.8
4,086.5
3,398.1
3,008.7
2,365.6
1,395.0
624.2
198.8
20,402.8
2005
2,306.8
3,225.3
4,193.7
3,430.5
2,992.0
2,392.2
1,434.4
642.1
205.1
20,822.1
2006
2,520.7
3,373.8
4,350.6
3,477.8
2,970.1
2,387.3
1,489.7
656.6
211.6
21,438.2
2007
2,908.0
3,419.8
4,584.6
3,536.7
2,957.4
2,398.4
1,521.6
671.5
218.3
22,216.3
2008
3,059.4
3,616.8
4,840.3
3,641.8
2,928.9
2,402.7
1,547.8
691.0
224.4
22,953.1
2009
3,073.4
3,999.3
5,061.1
3,735.7
2,947.1
2,378.7
1,586.2
698.5
236.9
23,716.9
2010
3,157.4
4,349.9
5,251.6
3,833.8
2,977.2
2,367.9
1,605.2
719.5
242.5
24,505.0
Total
1975
3,111.6
4,401.8
6,203.9
4,384.7
2,948.2
1,761.9
752.2
202.2
33.4
23,799.9
1980
3,420.7
4,810.9
6,957.4
5,197.0
3,474.1
2,055.6
1,008.5
318.2
62.2
27,304.6
1985
3,586.9
5,254.9
7,507.1
5,888.6
4,158.7
2,464.0
1,208.2
443.9
105.5
30,617.8
1990
3,521.8
5,289.0
8,169.7
6,399.2
4,753.6
2,974.1
1,472.6
532.9
150.5
33,263.4
1991
3,470.3
5,256.3
8,133.0
6,617.2
4,857.9
3,072.1
1,544.7
551.1
160.4
33,663.0
1992
3,376.6
5,168.3
8,175.8
6,768.0
4,946.2
3,177.1
1,624.2
590.2
168.9
33,995.3
1993
3,340.1
5,159.4
8,174.4
6,876.3
5,062.7
3,262.8
1,694.7
621.0
175.4
34,366.8
1994
3,394.4
5,008.4
8,117.1
7,037.0
5,106.0
3,374.7
1,757.9
650.9
180.4
34,626.8
1995
3,514.4
4,997.5
8,125.7
7,092.9
5,247.0
3,469.7
1,814.2
680.8
190.0
35,132.2
1996
3,533.2
4,958.3
8,075.4
7,071.1
5,444.1
3,550.2
1,871.4
710.6
195.6
35,409.9
1997
3,622.7
5,148.7
8,012.2
7,139.9
5,593.5
3,635.8
1,939.2
742.7
205.6
36,040.3
1998
3,738.6
5,166.2
7,915.0
7,155.9
5,699.2
3,735.3
1,996.7
771.8
213.7
36,392.4
1999
3,857.7
5,312.2
7,917.0
7,102.1
5,841.6
3,775.9
2,062.9
794.8
220.0
36,884.2
2000
3,968.8
5,413.5
7,895.4
7,108.2
5,896.6
3,893.6
2,118.5
813.7
228.5
37,336.8
2001
4,149.6
5,582.6
7,967.8
7,064.2
5,886.8
4,045.0
2,168.5
840.3
237.0
37,941.8
2002
4,490.8
5,760.4
8,086.7
7,020.2
5,923.4
4,138.9
2,217.3
870.0
249.0
38,756.7
2003
4,836.7
5,975.2
8,318.4
6,942.2
5,938.5
4,215.8
2,280.3
897.6
258.3
39,663.0
2004
4,907.5
6,365.8
8,523.3
6,966.3
5,895.7
4,322.6
2,309.9
932.9
267.1
40,491.1
2005
4,864.0
6,801.7
8,747.2
7,001.2
5,893.7
4,365.3
2,385.4
960.0
275.4
41,293.9
2006
5,292.4
7,086.7
9,069.7
7,073.9
5,863.9
4,365.1
2,483.7
981.9
283.7
42,501.0
2007
6,081.2
7,147.9
9,548.6
7,186.3
5,835.4
4,397.2
2,542.3
1,004.5
293.1
44,036.5
2008
6,358.7
7,529.7
10,062.9
7,397.2
5,777.0
4,412.9
2,590.9
1,033.9
301.4
45,464.6
2009
6,349.7
8,299.4
10,493.0
7,584.7
5,804.7
4,384.5
2,656.2
1,046.8
317.9
46,936.9
2010
6,488.2
8,988.7
10,852.1
7,789.3
5,843.3
4,387.9
2,684.6
1,082.3
325.4
48,441.8

Sources:

Historical figures estimated by Office of Research, Evaluation and Statistics.

Future figures projected based on historical relationship to population and coverage rates.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.


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December 26, 2001