Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
 Contents Glossary




 

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.B27—Minor Children of Deceased Workers With Benefits Withheld
(By age, as of December 31, 1975-2010)
[Numbers in thousands]
Year
Withheld
Percent of minor child survivors in force
  0-4
  5-9
  10-14
  15-17
  Total
  0-4
  5-9
  10-14
  15-17
  Total
1975
0.1
0.6
1.8
2.3
4.8
0.140
0.148
0.199
0.272
0.216
1976
.3
1.5
4.7
7.4
13.8
.377
.401
.536
.871
.639
1977
.2
1.1
3.7
5.6
10.7
.303
.325
.435
.669
.505
1978
.2
.8
2.5
3.7
7.1
.216
.233
.312
.448
.351
1979
.1
.6
2.0
3.0
5.7
.181
.195
.260
.364
.290
1980
.2
.9
2.8
4.5
8.4
.266
.289
.385
.575
.444
1981
.5
1.8
5.5
8.4
16.2
.612
.643
.782
1.125
.894
1982
.5
2.0
6.5
13.7
22.7
.674
.722
.965
1.917
1.304
1983
.6
2.2
7.2
16.1
26.1
.773
.826
1.108
2.367
1.559
1984
.6
2.4
7.5
18.2
28.9
.860
.916
1.230
2.804
1.798
1985
.7
2.8
8.0
17.3
28.8
.903
1.053
1.386
2.724
1.853
1986
.8
3.6
9.5
21.8
35.8
1.155
1.345
1.735
3.497
2.363
1987
.9
4.1
10.2
25.2
40.5
1.296
1.524
1.909
4.238
2.752
1988
1.0
4.5
10.9
26.8
43.1
1.325
1.653
2.058
4.829
3.024
1989
1.1
4.9
12.0
28.5
46.5
1.457
1.820
2.268
5.462
3.334
1990
1.0
5.2
12.6
29.6
48.4
1.347
1.928
2.357
5.883
3.505
1991
1.1
5.2
12.9
26.4
45.6
1.457
1.934
2.380
5.347
3.303
1992
1.2
5.5
13.9
27.7
48.3
1.555
2.039
2.532
5.597
3.474
1993
1.3
5.7
14.4
27.3
48.7
1.613
2.082
2.604
5.462
3.463
1994
1.2
5.9
14.5
28.8
50.4
1.578
2.113
2.615
5.611
3.537
1995
1.1
6.0
15.0
29.9
52.0
1.515
2.118
2.687
5.734
3.618
1996
1.1
6.2
15.4
30.8
53.4
1.485
2.156
2.754
5.835
3.700
1997
1.0
6.2
15.5
32.0
54.6
1.464
2.169
2.790
6.112
3.818
1998
.9
6.0
15.7
36.5
59.2
1.448
2.158
2.821
6.990
4.158
1999
.9
5.8
16.0
37.0
59.7
1.478
2.140
2.853
7.125
4.226
2000
1.0
5.7
16.1
38.8
61.5
1.578
2.165
2.852
7.455
4.370
2001
1.0
5.4
16.2
38.4
61.0
1.579
2.165
2.854
7.355
4.353
2002
1.0
5.2
16.2
38.5
60.9
1.579
2.164
2.858
7.330
4.369
2003
.9
5.1
16.0
38.8
60.8
1.579
2.162
2.863
7.347
4.402
2004
.9
4.9
15.7
39.0
60.5
1.579
2.160
2.866
7.303
4.423
2005
.9
4.8
15.3
39.3
60.3
1.579
2.159
2.867
7.271
4.452
2006
.9
4.7
14.8
39.4
59.8
1.579
2.159
2.868
7.271
4.484
2007
.9
4.7
14.4
39.3
59.2
1.578
2.159
2.867
7.321
4.519
2008
.9
4.6
14.0
38.7
58.2
1.578
2.159
2.866
7.388
4.544
2009
.9
4.5
13.7
37.9
56.9
1.578
2.159
2.864
7.422
4.547
2010
.9
4.5
13.4
36.9
55.6
1.578
2.159
2.863
7.442
4.541

Sources:

· Historical figures from SSA administrative records.

· Future figures computed by applying withheld rate to number in force.

· Historical percentages computed by dividing number withheld by number in force.

· Future percentages projected based on historical trends.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.

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December 26, 2001