Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A. |
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III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS
B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES
Table III.B5—Retired and Disabled Workers and Insured Aged Widows and Widowers With Benefits In Force,
Age 60 or Older
(By age and gender, as of December 31, 1975-2010)
[In thousands]
| Year |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Male |
|
|
218.1 |
1,225.0 |
3,298.0 |
2,413.2 |
1,569.5 |
927.3 |
396.7 |
110.9 |
19.0 |
10,177.8 |
|
|
241.9 |
1,424.0 |
3,649.4 |
2,751.2 |
1,776.1 |
992.6 |
471.0 |
146.2 |
30.0 |
11,482.4 |
|
|
223.0 |
1,689.6 |
3,836.4 |
3,066.5 |
2,047.7 |
1,138.7 |
511.3 |
177.0 |
42.2 |
12,732.4 |
|
|
205.4 |
1,713.6 |
4,123.9 |
3,299.3 |
2,316.6 |
1,331.5 |
594.9 |
192.8 |
51.6 |
13,829.7 |
|
|
210.7 |
1,721.6 |
4,116.1 |
3,410.8 |
2,364.4 |
1,371.9 |
619.3 |
196.6 |
53.3 |
14,064.7 |
|
|
217.8 |
1,733.7 |
4,146.5 |
3,486.3 |
2,404.9 |
1,418.5 |
645.3 |
206.6 |
54.5 |
14,314.0 |
|
|
221.3 |
1,731.4 |
4,151.0 |
3,541.7 |
2,455.2 |
1,458.1 |
668.0 |
214.5 |
55.2 |
14,496.3 |
|
|
226.4 |
1,741.3 |
4,115.7 |
3,622.2 |
2,479.8 |
1,506.6 |
688.4 |
221.6 |
55.3 |
14,657.3 |
|
|
238.6 |
1,713.8 |
4,111.1 |
3,638.1 |
2,556.0 |
1,548.9 |
709.3 |
228.8 |
57.3 |
14,802.0 |
|
|
241.4 |
1,703.0 |
4,080.9 |
3,628.0 |
2,654.0 |
1,585.1 |
732.2 |
236.6 |
58.1 |
14,919.3 |
|
|
243.3 |
1,687.3 |
4,035.9 |
3,650.9 |
2,720.3 |
1,618.1 |
757.8 |
245.4 |
60.1 |
15,019.1 |
|
|
250.9 |
1,703.0 |
3,976.4 |
3,655.8 |
2,772.4 |
1,660.2 |
782.2 |
253.5 |
61.8 |
15,116.2 |
|
|
257.4 |
1,722.5 |
3,974.0 |
3,634.2 |
2,841.1 |
1,682.5 |
809.7 |
260.3 |
63.0 |
15,244.8 |
|
|
263.4 |
1,763.3 |
4,099.4 |
3,650.6 |
2,861.9 |
1,744.9 |
833.8 |
267.3 |
64.3 |
15,548.8 |
|
|
275.9 |
1,811.0 |
4,078.8 |
3,633.9 |
2,861.7 |
1,818.9 |
854.3 |
276.3 |
64.3 |
15,675.1 |
|
|
295.7 |
1,860.7 |
4,116.7 |
3,606.7 |
2,886.3 |
1,867.0 |
874.4 |
287.1 |
65.9 |
15,860.6 |
|
|
316.6 |
1,920.1 |
4,211.7 |
3,563.2 |
2,897.9 |
1,907.1 |
900.2 |
297.0 |
67.5 |
16,081.3 |
|
|
320.8 |
2,031.1 |
4,294.8 |
3,568.2 |
2,887.0 |
1,957.1 |
914.9 |
308.6 |
69.1 |
16,351.5 |
|
|
316.5 |
2,162.0 |
4,394.1 |
3,570.5 |
2,901.7 |
1,973.1 |
951.0 |
317.8 |
70.7 |
16,657.5 |
|
|
341.3 |
2,253.2 |
4,538.2 |
3,596.0 |
2,893.8 |
1,977.8 |
994.0 |
325.2 |
72.5 |
16,992.1 |
|
|
391.0 |
2,265.5 |
4,751.8 |
3,649.6 |
2,877.9 |
1,998.8 |
1,020.7 |
332.9 |
75.1 |
17,363.3 |
|
|
410.3 |
2,349.2 |
4,982.2 |
3,755.3 |
2,848.0 |
2,010.3 |
1,043.1 |
342.9 |
77.3 |
17,818.6 |
|
|
409.3 |
2,568.7 |
5,191.4 |
3,848.9 |
2,857.5 |
2,005.9 |
1,070.0 |
348.3 |
79.8 |
18,379.8 |
|
|
417.1 |
2,805.1 |
5,362.1 |
3,955.5 |
2,866.1 |
2,020.0 |
1,079.4 |
362.8 |
81.6 |
18,949.5 |
| Female |
|
|
194.5 |
1,225.1 |
2,614.9 |
1,971.5 |
1,378.6 |
834.6 |
355.4 |
91.3 |
14.4 |
8,680.2 |
|
|
239.7 |
1,470.3 |
3,034.6 |
2,445.8 |
1,697.9 |
1,063.1 |
537.4 |
172.0 |
32.2 |
10,693.0 |
|
|
235.1 |
1,664.4 |
3,358.6 |
2,822.1 |
2,111.1 |
1,325.2 |
696.9 |
266.9 |
63.3 |
12,543.5 |
|
|
213.5 |
1,639.6 |
3,665.9 |
3,099.8 |
2,436.9 |
1,642.6 |
877.8 |
340.1 |
98.9 |
14,015.0 |
|
|
213.1 |
1,614.6 |
3,654.8 |
3,206.5 |
2,493.5 |
1,700.2 |
925.2 |
354.7 |
107.1 |
14,269.7 |
|
|
217.9 |
1,616.7 |
3,682.3 |
3,281.6 |
2,541.4 |
1,758.6 |
979.0 |
383.6 |
114.4 |
14,575.6 |
|
|
228.3 |
1,601.8 |
3,682.3 |
3,334.6 |
2,607.5 |
1,804.7 |
1,026.5 |
406.5 |
120.2 |
14,812.5 |
|
|
234.2 |
1,616.5 |
3,640.7 |
3,414.9 |
2,626.4 |
1,868.1 |
1,069.4 |
429.4 |
125.1 |
15,024.7 |
|
|
245.3 |
1,606.6 |
3,622.4 |
3,454.6 |
2,691.1 |
1,920.7 |
1,104.9 |
451.9 |
132.7 |
15,230.3 |
|
|
250.9 |
1,613.7 |
3,595.1 |
3,443.3 |
2,790.0 |
1,965.1 |
1,139.1 |
474.0 |
137.5 |
15,408.8 |
|
|
259.2 |
1,623.3 |
3,585.3 |
3,489.0 |
2,873.2 |
2,017.7 |
1,181.3 |
497.1 |
145.5 |
15,671.7 |
|
|
268.8 |
1,661.5 |
3,555.9 |
3,500.0 |
2,926.9 |
2,075.2 |
1,214.5 |
518.2 |
151.9 |
15,872.9 |
|
|
280.7 |
1,698.9 |
3,576.9 |
3,467.9 |
3,000.5 |
2,093.4 |
1,253.2 |
534.4 |
157.0 |
16,063.0 |
|
|
291.3 |
1,760.0 |
3,654.6 |
3,457.6 |
3,034.7 |
2,148.7 |
1,284.7 |
546.3 |
164.2 |
16,342.2 |
|
|
305.7 |
1,823.3 |
3,695.6 |
3,430.4 |
3,025.0 |
2,226.3 |
1,314.2 |
563.9 |
170.9 |
16,555.3 |
|
|
329.2 |
1,884.8 |
3,755.0 |
3,413.4 |
3,037.0 |
2,272.1 |
1,343.0 |
582.9 |
179.6 |
16,797.1 |
|
|
353.3 |
1,952.6 |
3,857.0 |
3,378.8 |
3,040.6 |
2,308.9 |
1,380.2 |
600.6 |
186.9 |
17,058.9 |
|
|
359.3 |
2,072.2 |
3,948.4 |
3,398.1 |
3,008.7 |
2,365.5 |
1,395.0 |
624.3 |
194.1 |
17,365.5 |
|
|
355.2 |
2,214.8 |
4,043.2 |
3,430.5 |
2,992.1 |
2,392.0 |
1,434.3 |
642.1 |
200.8 |
17,705.0 |
|
|
383.2 |
2,320.5 |
4,185.4 |
3,477.7 |
2,970.1 |
2,387.3 |
1,489.8 |
656.7 |
206.9 |
18,077.5 |
|
|
442.4 |
2,352.6 |
4,397.2 |
3,536.6 |
2,957.3 |
2,398.3 |
1,521.7 |
671.6 |
214.5 |
18,492.3 |
|
|
469.7 |
2,463.7 |
4,634.8 |
3,641.7 |
2,928.8 |
2,402.7 |
1,547.9 |
691.0 |
220.8 |
19,001.1 |
|
|
473.5 |
2,714.5 |
4,850.7 |
3,735.7 |
2,946.9 |
2,378.9 |
1,586.2 |
698.5 |
229.0 |
19,613.9 |
|
|
487.4 |
2,980.8 |
5,036.7 |
3,833.7 |
2,977.1 |
2,368.0 |
1,605.1 |
719.6 |
234.6 |
20,243.0 |
| Total |
|
|
412.6 |
2,450.2 |
5,912.8 |
4,384.7 |
2,948.2 |
1,761.9 |
752.0 |
202.2 |
33.3 |
18,858.0 |
|
|
481.6 |
2,894.3 |
6,684.0 |
5,196.9 |
3,474.1 |
2,055.7 |
1,008.3 |
318.2 |
62.2 |
22,175.4 |
|
|
458.1 |
3,354.0 |
7,195.0 |
5,888.6 |
4,158.8 |
2,463.9 |
1,208.2 |
443.9 |
105.5 |
25,276.0 |
|
|
418.9 |
3,353.2 |
7,789.9 |
6,399.1 |
4,753.5 |
2,974.1 |
1,472.7 |
532.9 |
150.4 |
27,844.7 |
|
|
423.8 |
3,336.2 |
7,770.9 |
6,617.3 |
4,857.9 |
3,072.1 |
1,544.6 |
551.3 |
160.4 |
28,334.4 |
|
|
435.7 |
3,350.4 |
7,828.8 |
6,767.9 |
4,946.3 |
3,177.2 |
1,624.2 |
590.2 |
168.9 |
28,889.6 |
|
|
449.7 |
3,333.1 |
7,833.4 |
6,876.3 |
5,062.7 |
3,262.7 |
1,694.5 |
621.0 |
175.4 |
29,308.9 |
|
|
460.6 |
3,357.8 |
7,756.4 |
7,037.1 |
5,106.2 |
3,374.7 |
1,757.8 |
651.0 |
180.3 |
29,681.9 |
|
|
483.9 |
3,320.5 |
7,733.5 |
7,092.7 |
5,247.1 |
3,469.6 |
1,814.2 |
680.7 |
190.0 |
30,032.3 |
|
|
492.3 |
3,316.7 |
7,676.0 |
7,071.3 |
5,444.0 |
3,550.2 |
1,871.4 |
710.6 |
195.6 |
30,328.0 |
|
|
502.4 |
3,310.7 |
7,621.2 |
7,139.9 |
5,593.6 |
3,635.8 |
1,939.2 |
742.5 |
205.6 |
30,690.8 |
|
|
519.7 |
3,364.5 |
7,532.3 |
7,155.8 |
5,699.3 |
3,735.3 |
1,996.7 |
771.7 |
213.7 |
30,989.0 |
|
|
538.2 |
3,421.4 |
7,550.9 |
7,102.1 |
5,841.6 |
3,775.8 |
2,063.0 |
794.8 |
220.0 |
31,307.7 |
|
|
554.6 |
3,523.2 |
7,754.1 |
7,108.2 |
5,896.6 |
3,893.6 |
2,118.5 |
813.6 |
228.5 |
31,891.0 |
|
|
581.6 |
3,634.3 |
7,774.4 |
7,064.3 |
5,886.8 |
4,045.2 |
2,168.5 |
840.2 |
235.2 |
32,230.4 |
|
|
625.0 |
3,745.5 |
7,871.7 |
7,020.1 |
5,923.3 |
4,139.1 |
2,217.4 |
870.0 |
245.6 |
32,657.7 |
|
|
669.9 |
3,872.7 |
8,068.7 |
6,942.0 |
5,938.5 |
4,215.9 |
2,280.3 |
897.6 |
254.4 |
33,140.2 |
|
|
680.0 |
4,103.3 |
8,243.2 |
6,966.3 |
5,895.7 |
4,322.6 |
2,309.8 |
932.8 |
263.2 |
33,717.0 |
|
|
671.7 |
4,376.7 |
8,437.3 |
7,001.0 |
5,893.8 |
4,365.2 |
2,385.4 |
959.9 |
271.5 |
34,362.5 |
|
|
724.5 |
4,573.8 |
8,723.6 |
7,073.7 |
5,863.9 |
4,365.1 |
2,483.8 |
981.9 |
279.4 |
35,069.6 |
|
|
833.4 |
4,618.1 |
9,148.9 |
7,186.2 |
5,835.2 |
4,397.1 |
2,542.4 |
1,004.5 |
289.6 |
35,855.5 |
|
|
880.0 |
4,812.9 |
9,617.0 |
7,397.1 |
5,776.8 |
4,413.0 |
2,591.0 |
1,033.9 |
298.1 |
36,819.8 |
|
|
882.8 |
5,283.2 |
10,042.2 |
7,584.6 |
5,804.5 |
4,384.8 |
2,656.2 |
1,046.8 |
308.8 |
37,993.7 |
|
|
904.5 |
5,785.9 |
10,398.8 |
7,789.2 |
5,843.2 |
4,387.9 |
2,684.4 |
1,082.4 |
316.3 |
39,192.6 |
Source: Numbers of retired and disabled workers and insured widows and widowers in force shown earlier.
Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.
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December 26, 2001