Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
Contents Glossary




 

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.B55—Awards to Young Widow(er)s of Deceased Workers, Per 1,000 Awards to
Eligible Children of Deceased Workers
(By age and gender, calendar years, 1975-2010)
Year
  17-19
  20-24
  25-29
  30-34
  35-39
  40-44
  45-49
  50-54
  55-59
  60-64
  65-67
  Total
Widow
1975
2.900
20.340
36.250
43.870
55.990
70.820
82.140
72.010
38.650
11.520
0.900
435.410
1976
2.530
18.980
34.500
45.880
57.830
72.780
82.430
74.510
43.030
12.930
1.060
446.460
1977
2.630
20.870
38.060
50.030
64.290
77.000
84.630
77.340
44.090
13.650
1.160
473.750
1978
2.790
20.470
36.450
50.070
64.170
73.910
79.510
72.060
43.720
13.340
1.150
457.620
1979
2.590
21.820
38.810
53.790
66.910
74.500
78.200
70.750
43.160
13.460
1.110
465.090
1980
2.690
22.170
40.020
57.070
70.520
75.670
76.230
69.990
44.180
14.340
1.170
474.050
1981
2.280
21.440
41.330
58.080
72.760
77.240
75.670
66.310
42.180
14.800
1.230
473.330
1982
2.160
19.550
41.780
58.800
71.800
70.010
60.330
50.690
32.850
12.690
1.170
421.830
1983
2.050
20.820
41.390
57.150
71.210
71.650
59.080
47.330
32.140
13.260
1.340
417.410
1984
1.800
18.470
40.230
55.380
69.890
66.700
52.570
39.450
22.140
10.320
1.500
378.450
1985
1.590
17.390
39.750
57.680
70.960
64.640
49.810
35.750
20.380
9.270
1.480
368.720
1986
1.470
17.000
41.260
58.470
69.750
63.990
47.080
33.040
19.000
9.290
1.170
361.530
1987
1.450
15.130
37.820
57.660
67.070
63.070
44.520
30.610
17.030
8.660
1.420
344.440
1988
1.450
14.560
36.540
56.510
65.200
60.580
42.780
26.700
16.120
8.050
1.320
329.810
1989
1.230
13.290
33.880
54.900
62.860
59.210
39.860
24.460
13.810
7.390
1.630
312.510
1990
1.270
12.310
32.090
52.950
62.240
57.320
37.010
22.790
12.090
6.820
1.560
298.470
1991
1.160
12.230
30.260
51.250
61.400
55.600
38.470
21.350
11.880
6.680
1.680
291.980
1992
1.060
10.910
26.440
47.700
58.610
54.700
38.650
21.300
10.970
5.760
1.600
277.700
1993
.900
10.650
24.780
45.700
59.230
53.050
37.420
20.530
11.020
5.660
1.430
270.370
1994
.950
9.540
22.640
43.890
57.250
52.540
37.230
19.930
10.190
5.230
1.410
260.810
1995
.900
9.010
21.500
40.240
55.110
52.430
36.300
18.140
9.140
5.220
1.500
249.500
1996
.790
7.730
19.770
36.710
54.210
51.960
35.760
19.000
9.140
4.880
1.410
241.360
1997
.720
7.290
17.940
32.540
49.220
49.720
35.370
19.370
8.920
5.160
1.500
227.760
1998
.710
7.320
17.430
29.660
46.740
49.970
35.620
19.770
8.920
4.910
1.530
222.590
1999
.600
6.810
15.760
28.420
45.290
49.680
36.430
20.350
9.050
4.480
1.510
218.370
2000
.500
6.330
14.940
25.820
41.700
47.270
35.430
19.010
8.240
4.150
3.210
206.590
2001
.570
6.650
15.630
27.330
43.730
48.520
35.790
19.580
8.620
4.390
1.560
212.380
2002
.570
6.650
15.630
27.330
43.730
48.520
35.790
19.580
8.620
4.390
1.560
212.380
2003
.570
6.650
15.630
27.330
43.730
48.520
35.790
19.580
8.620
4.390
1.560
212.380
2004
.570
6.650
15.630
27.330
43.730
48.520
35.790
19.580
8.620
4.390
1.820
212.640
2005
.570
6.650
15.630
27.330
43.730
48.520
35.790
19.580
8.620
4.390
2.080
212.900
2006
.570
6.650
15.630
27.330
43.730
48.520
35.790
19.580
8.620
4.390
2.340
213.160
2007
.570
6.650
15.630
27.330
43.730
48.520
35.790
19.580
8.620
4.390
2.600
213.420
2008
.570
6.650
15.630
27.330
43.730
48.520
35.790
19.580
8.620
4.390
2.860
213.680
2009
.570
6.650
15.630
27.330
43.730
48.520
35.790
19.580
8.620
4.390
3.120
213.940
2010
.570
6.650
15.630
27.330
43.730
48.520
35.790
19.580
8.620
4.390
3.120
213.940
Widower
1975
.130
.890
1.580
1.910
2.440
3.080
3.580
3.140
1.680
.500
.040
18.960
1976
.150
1.090
1.980
2.640
3.330
4.190
4.750
4.280
2.480
.750
.060
25.710
1977
.170
1.370
2.510
3.290
4.240
5.080
5.580
5.100
2.910
.900
.080
31.230
1978
.180
1.310
2.330
3.200
4.110
4.730
5.100
4.620
2.800
.850
.080
29.310
1979
.170
1.390
2.470
3.430
4.270
4.750
4.990
4.510
2.750
.860
.070
29.660
1980
.210
1.750
3.150
4.500
5.560
5.970
6.020
5.530
3.490
1.130
.090
37.420
1981
.180
1.750
3.370
4.730
5.930
6.300
6.170
5.400
3.450
1.210
.100
38.610
1982
.180
1.610
3.430
4.830
5.900
5.750
4.960
4.170
2.700
1.040
.090
34.660
1983
.020
.710
3.040
5.000
6.120
6.230
5.160
3.950
2.500
1.160
.020
33.890
1984
.030
.620
2.780
4.420
6.080
5.810
4.770
3.350
2.350
.970
.080
31.260
1985
.010
.570
2.420
4.270
5.840
5.200
4.620
3.000
1.850
1.070
.040
28.900
1986
.020
.610
2.510
4.690
5.740
5.780
4.310
2.830
1.910
.850
.040
29.270
1987
.040
.570
2.600
4.640
6.170
5.870
4.350
2.730
1.750
.790
.050
29.550
1988
.010
.480
2.310
4.300
5.580
5.370
4.130
2.530
1.480
.820
.030
27.040
1989
.020
.500
2.190
4.240
5.590
5.350
3.850
2.110
1.390
.630
.060
25.920
1990
.030
.470
1.990
4.310
5.340
5.730
3.870
2.200
1.350
.640
.040
25.960
1991
.010
.470
1.880
4.050
5.950
6.090
4.340
2.640
1.300
.620
.050
27.410
1992
.020
.460
1.860
4.230
5.950
6.190
4.580
2.530
1.160
.590
.050
27.620
1993
.020
.420
1.600
3.790
5.600
5.850
4.720
2.580
1.190
.560
.040
26.360
1994
.010
.450
1.540
3.560
5.340
5.660
4.410
2.720
1.260
.550
.040
25.540
1995
.030
.320
1.400
3.150
5.360
5.660
5.040
2.390
1.260
.560
.040
25.200
1996
.020
.340
1.260
3.030
4.510
5.040
4.580
2.560
1.150
.470
.010
22.960
1997
.010
.300
1.280
2.290
3.730
4.940
4.160
2.460
1.320
.460
.010
20.960
1998
.040
.230
1.210
2.540
4.120
5.200
4.340
2.550
1.280
.480
.060
22.050
1999
.010
.260
1.090
2.300
3.600
5.370
4.670
2.790
1.130
.530
.060
21.810
2000
.000
.320
1.200
2.280
3.810
4.970
4.490
3.000
1.260
.620
.060
22.000
2001
.010
.290
1.170
2.330
3.790
5.150
4.520
2.850
1.220
.560
.050
21.930
2002
.010
.290
1.170
2.330
3.790
5.150
4.520
2.850
1.220
.560
.050
21.930
2003
.010
.290
1.170
2.330
3.790
5.150
4.520
2.850
1.220
.560
.050
21.930
2004
.010
.290
1.170
2.330
3.790
5.150
4.520
2.850
1.220
.560
.050
21.940
2005
.010
.290
1.170
2.330
3.790
5.150
4.520
2.850
1.220
.560
.060
21.950
2006
.010
.290
1.170
2.330
3.790
5.150
4.520
2.850
1.220
.560
.070
21.950
2007
.010
.290
1.170
2.330
3.790
5.150
4.520
2.850
1.220
.560
.080
21.960
2008
.010
.290
1.170
2.330
3.790
5.150
4.520
2.850
1.220
.560
.080
21.970
2009
.010
.290
1.170
2.330
3.790
5.150
4.520
2.850
1.220
.560
.090
21.980
2010
.010
.290
1.170
2.330
3.790
5.150
4.520
2.850
1.220
.560
.090
21.980

Sources:

Historical figures computed by dividing the number of awards by the number of awards to eligible children of deceased workers and multiplying by 1,000. Eligible children of deceased workers are minor child beneficiaries under age 16 and disabled child beneficiaries.

Future figures projected based on historical trend and judgment.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.


Contents Glossary


List of Studies
December 26, 2001