Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
Contents Glossary




 

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.B70—Aged Wives of Retired Workers and Uninsured Widows of Deceased Workers,
Under Age 65, With Benefits In Force
(End of calendar years 1975-2000 and calendar half years 2001-10)
[Numbers in thousands]
Calendar
period
Uninsured
female
population
age 60-64
Aged wife and uninsured widow
beneficiaries under age 65
Aged wife beneficiaries under age 65
Aged
uninsured
widow beneficiaries
under age 65
Percent of
uninsured
female
population
age 60-64
Number
Percent of
aged wife and
uninsured widow
beneficiaries
under age 65
Number
1975
1,976.9
36.940
730.3
60.748
443.6
286.6
1976
1,965.0
36.256
712.4
61.597
438.8
273.6
1977
1,932.6
37.147
717.9
62.644
449.7
268.2
1978
1,932.9
35.021
676.9
64.358
435.6
241.3
1979
1,872.5
35.574
666.1
64.848
432.0
234.1
1980
1,887.7
34.850
657.9
66.298
436.1
221.7
1981
1,924.8
34.538
664.8
66.300
440.8
224.0
1982
1,955.4
34.649
677.5
66.857
453.0
224.6
1983
1,885.3
37.724
711.2
66.457
472.7
238.6
1984
1,983.8
37.188
737.7
66.073
487.4
250.3
1985
1,919.3
38.659
742.0
65.752
487.9
254.1
1986
1,909.3
38.201
729.4
66.116
482.2
247.1
1987
1,900.7
38.940
740.1
64.478
477.2
262.9
1988
1,884.1
38.246
720.6
65.056
468.8
251.8
1989
1,813.8
38.212
693.1
65.482
453.8
239.2
1990
1,728.5
38.895
672.3
66.364
446.2
226.1
1991
1,709.6
38.893
664.9
66.108
439.6
225.4
1992
1,676.0
38.282
641.6
67.777
434.9
206.7
1993
1,580.1
38.881
614.3
69.027
424.1
190.3
1994
1,569.9
37.365
586.6
69.799
409.4
177.2
1995
1,491.5
36.576
545.5
70.261
383.3
162.2
1996
1,495.4
34.262
512.4
70.162
359.5
152.9
1997
1,407.5
34.346
483.4
70.799
342.3
141.2
1998
1,430.8
32.774
468.9
70.363
329.9
139.0
1999
1,395.4
32.109
448.0
71.245
319.2
128.8
2000
1,382.5
31.535
436.0
72.868
317.7
118.3
2001-II
1,382.4
31.584
436.6
72.995
318.7
117.9
2001-IV
1,382.2
31.633
437.2
73.123
319.7
117.5
2002-II
1,389.4
31.682
440.2
73.251
322.5
117.8
2002-IV
1,396.1
31.731
443.0
73.379
325.1
117.9
2003-II
1,402.0
31.779
445.5
73.506
327.5
118.0
2003-IV
1,407.1
31.828
447.8
73.634
329.8
118.1
2004-II
1,404.6
31.877
447.7
73.762
330.3
117.5
2004-IV
1,401.5
31.926
447.4
73.890
330.6
116.8
2005-II
1,392.1
31.975
445.1
74.017
329.5
115.7
2005-IV
1,382.4
32.024
442.7
74.145
328.2
114.5
2006-II
1,386.7
32.072
444.7
74.273
330.3
114.4
2006-IV
1,389.7
32.121
446.4
74.401
332.1
114.3
2007-II
1,395.1
32.170
448.8
74.528
334.5
114.3
2007-IV
1,398.7
32.219
450.7
74.656
336.4
114.2
2008-II
1,391.1
32.268
448.9
74.784
335.7
113.2
2008-IV
1,382.3
32.317
446.7
74.911
334.6
112.1
2009-II
1,377.1
32.365
445.7
75.039
334.4
111.3
2009-IV
1,370.5
32.414
444.2
75.167
333.9
110.3
2010-II
1,365.9
32.463
443.4
75.295
333.9
109.6
2010-IV
1,359.8
32.512
442.1
75.423
333.4
108.7

Sources:

· Uninsured female population age 60-64 computed by subtracting insured female population age 60-64 (shown earlier) from population age 60-64 (from the Office of the Chief Actuary).

· Historical ratio to uninsured female population computed by dividing sum of aged wife and uninsured widow beneficiaries in force under age 65 by uninsured female population age 60-64; future ratios based on historical pattern and judgment.

· Historical numbers of aged wife and uninsured widow beneficiaries in force from SSA administrative records; future figures computed by applying applicable percentage to uninsured female population.

· Historical ratio of aged wife beneficiaries to aged wife and uninsured widow beneficiaries, combined, computed by dividing corresponding numbers; future ratios projected based on historical pattern and judgment.

· Future numbers of aged wife beneficiaries computed by applying applicable percentage to aged wife and uninsured widow beneficiaries, combined.

· Future numbers of aged uninsured widow beneficiaries computed by subtracting number of aged wife beneficiaries from aged wife and uninsured widow beneficiaries, combined.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.


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December 26, 2001