Short-range projections for the Social Security program

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.B71—Aged Wives of Retired Workers and Uninsured Widows of Deceased Workers,
Age 65 or Older, With Benefits In Force
(End of calendar years 1975-2000 and calendar half years 2001-10)
[Numbers in thousands]
Calendar period	Uninsured female population age 65 or older	Aged wife and uninsured widow beneficiaries age 65 or older	Aged wife beneficiaries age 65 or older	Aged uninsured widow beneficiaries age 65 or older
Percent of uninsured female population age 65 or older	Number	Percent of aged wife and uninsured widow beneficiaries age 65 or older	Number
1975	6,555.6	75.697	4,962.4	46.398	2,302.5	2,660.0
1976	6,582.7	76.562	5,039.8	46.191	2,327.9	2,711.9
1977	6,616.3	77.331	5,116.5	45.902	2,348.5	2,767.9
1978	6,628.3	78.300	5,189.9	45.708	2,372.2	2,817.7
1979	6,631.0	79.434	5,267.2	45.538	2,398.6	2,868.6
1980	6,633.0	80.253	5,323.2	45.455	2,419.7	2,903.5
1981	6,634.1	80.986	5,372.7	45.316	2,434.7	2,938.0
1982	6,682.0	81.059	5,416.3	45.186	2,447.4	2,968.9
1983	6,669.7	81.866	5,460.2	45.128	2,464.1	2,996.1
1984	6,698.6	81.980	5,491.5	44.993	2,470.8	3,020.8
1985	6,718.9	82.493	5,542.6	45.009	2,494.7	3,047.9
1986	6,804.4	83.065	5,652.1	44.763	2,530.1	3,122.1
1987	6,819.3	83.506	5,694.5	44.843	2,553.6	3,140.9
1988	6,824.9	83.788	5,718.4	44.953	2,570.6	3,147.9
1989	6,833.4	84.351	5,764.1	45.047	2,596.5	3,167.5
1990	6,838.0	84.569	5,782.8	45.239	2,616.1	3,166.7
1991	6,863.1	84.718	5,814.2	45.269	2,632.1	3,182.2
1992	6,869.3	84.773	5,823.4	45.523	2,651.0	3,172.4
1993	6,845.4	84.962	5,816.0	45.648	2,654.9	3,161.1
1994	6,825.7	85.025	5,803.5	45.701	2,652.3	3,151.3
1995	6,761.8	85.531	5,783.4	45.834	2,650.8	3,132.7
1996	6,703.6	85.749	5,748.3	45.868	2,636.6	3,111.7
1997	6,532.9	87.237	5,699.1	45.940	2,618.2	3,080.9
1998	6,413.7	87.600	5,618.4	46.008	2,584.9	3,033.4
1999	6,341.4	87.602	5,555.2	45.979	2,554.2	3,001.0
2000	6,280.2	87.456	5,492.4	46.032	2,528.2	2,964.1
2001-II	6,237.6	87.480	5,456.7	46.097	2,515.4	2,941.3
2001-IV	6,194.6	87.674	5,431.0	46.163	2,507.1	2,923.9
2002-II	6,156.2	87.698	5,398.9	46.228	2,495.8	2,903.1
2002-IV	6,117.3	87.887	5,376.3	46.294	2,488.9	2,887.4
2003-II	6,082.9	87.912	5,347.6	46.360	2,479.1	2,868.5
2003-IV	6,047.9	88.095	5,327.9	46.425	2,473.5	2,854.4
2004-II	6,013.8	88.121	5,299.4	46.491	2,463.7	2,835.6
2004-IV	5,979.1	88.298	5,279.4	46.556	2,457.9	2,821.5
2005-II	5,946.6	88.323	5,252.2	46.622	2,448.7	2,803.5
2005-IV	5,913.4	88.495	5,233.1	46.688	2,443.2	2,789.9
2006-II	5,883.8	88.520	5,208.3	46.753	2,435.1	2,773.3
2006-IV	5,853.4	88.687	5,191.2	46.819	2,430.5	2,760.7
2007-II	5,833.3	88.711	5,174.8	46.885	2,426.2	2,748.6
2007-IV	5,811.9	88.872	5,165.2	46.950	2,425.1	2,740.1
2008-II	5,792.9	88.896	5,149.7	47.016	2,421.2	2,728.5
2008-IV	5,772.3	89.053	5,140.4	47.081	2,420.2	2,720.2
2009-II	5,743.6	89.076	5,116.2	47.147	2,412.1	2,704.1
2009-IV	5,713.6	89.227	5,098.1	47.213	2,406.9	2,691.1
2010-II	5,681.1	89.250	5,070.4	47.278	2,397.2	2,673.2
2010-IV	5,647.4	89.397	5,048.6	47.344	2,390.2	2,658.4

Table III.B71—Aged Wives of Retired Workers and Uninsured Widows of Deceased Workers,
Age 65 or Older, With Benefits In Force
(End of calendar years 1975-2000 and calendar half years 2001-10)
[Numbers in thousands]

Calendar period

Uninsured
female
population
age 65 or older

Aged wife and uninsured widow
beneficiaries age 65 or older

Aged wife beneficiaries
age 65 or older

Aged
uninsured
widow
beneficiaries
age 65 or older

Percent of
uninsured
female population
age 65 or older

Number

Percent of
aged wife and
uninsured widow
beneficiaries
age 65 or older

Number

1975

6,555.6

75.697

4,962.4

46.398

2,302.5

2,660.0

1976

6,582.7

76.562

5,039.8

46.191

2,327.9

2,711.9

1977

6,616.3

77.331

5,116.5

45.902

2,348.5

2,767.9

1978

6,628.3

78.300

5,189.9

45.708

2,372.2

2,817.7

1979

6,631.0

79.434

5,267.2

45.538

2,398.6

2,868.6

1980

6,633.0

80.253

5,323.2

45.455

2,419.7

2,903.5

1981

6,634.1

80.986

5,372.7

45.316

2,434.7

2,938.0

1982

6,682.0

81.059

5,416.3

45.186

2,447.4

2,968.9

1983

6,669.7

81.866

5,460.2

45.128

2,464.1

2,996.1

1984

6,698.6

81.980

5,491.5

44.993

2,470.8

3,020.8

1985

6,718.9

82.493

5,542.6

45.009

2,494.7

3,047.9

1986

6,804.4

83.065

5,652.1

44.763

2,530.1

3,122.1

1987

6,819.3

83.506

5,694.5

44.843

2,553.6

3,140.9

1988

6,824.9

83.788

5,718.4

44.953

2,570.6

3,147.9

1989

6,833.4

84.351

5,764.1

45.047

2,596.5

3,167.5

1990

6,838.0

84.569

5,782.8

45.239

2,616.1

3,166.7

1991

6,863.1

84.718

5,814.2

45.269

2,632.1

3,182.2

1992

6,869.3

84.773

5,823.4

45.523

2,651.0

3,172.4

1993

6,845.4

84.962

5,816.0

45.648

2,654.9

3,161.1

1994

6,825.7

85.025

5,803.5

45.701

2,652.3

3,151.3

1995

6,761.8

85.531

5,783.4

45.834

2,650.8

3,132.7

1996

6,703.6

85.749

5,748.3

45.868

2,636.6

3,111.7

1997

6,532.9

87.237

5,699.1

45.940

2,618.2

3,080.9

1998

6,413.7

87.600

5,618.4

46.008

2,584.9

3,033.4

1999

6,341.4

87.602

5,555.2

45.979

2,554.2

3,001.0

2000

6,280.2

87.456

5,492.4

46.032

2,528.2

2,964.1

2001-II

6,237.6

87.480

5,456.7

46.097

2,515.4

2,941.3

2001-IV

6,194.6

87.674

5,431.0

46.163

2,507.1

2,923.9

2002-II

6,156.2

87.698

5,398.9

46.228

2,495.8

2,903.1

2002-IV

6,117.3

87.887

5,376.3

46.294

2,488.9

2,887.4

2003-II

6,082.9

87.912

5,347.6

46.360

2,479.1

2,868.5

2003-IV

6,047.9

88.095

5,327.9

46.425

2,473.5

2,854.4

2004-II

6,013.8

88.121

5,299.4

46.491

2,463.7

2,835.6

2004-IV

5,979.1

88.298

5,279.4

46.556

2,457.9

2,821.5

2005-II

5,946.6

88.323

5,252.2

46.622

2,448.7

2,803.5

2005-IV

5,913.4

88.495

5,233.1

46.688

2,443.2

2,789.9

2006-II

5,883.8

88.520

5,208.3

46.753

2,435.1

2,773.3

2006-IV

5,853.4

88.687

5,191.2

46.819

2,430.5

2,760.7

2007-II

5,833.3

88.711

5,174.8

46.885

2,426.2

2,748.6

2007-IV

5,811.9

88.872

5,165.2

46.950

2,425.1

2,740.1

2008-II

5,792.9

88.896

5,149.7

47.016

2,421.2

2,728.5

2008-IV

5,772.3

89.053

5,140.4

47.081

2,420.2

2,720.2

2009-II

5,743.6

89.076

5,116.2

47.147

2,412.1

2,704.1

2009-IV

5,713.6

89.227

5,098.1

47.213

2,406.9

2,691.1

2010-II

5,681.1

89.250

5,070.4

47.278

2,397.2

2,673.2

2010-IV

5,647.4

89.397

5,048.6

47.344

2,390.2

2,658.4

Sources:

� Uninsured female population age 65 or older computed by subtracting insured female population age 65 or older (shown earlier) from population age 65 or older (from the Office of the Chief Actuary).

� Historical ratio to uninsured female population computed by dividing sum of aged wife and uninsured widow beneficiaries in force age 65 or older by uninsured female population age 65 or older; future ratios projected by regression.

� Historical numbers of aged wife and uninsured widow beneficiaries in force from SSA administrative records; future figures computed by applying applicable percentage to uninsured female population.

� Historical ratio of aged wife beneficiaries to aged wife and uninsured widow beneficiaries, combined, computed by dividing corresponding numbers; future ratios projected based on historical pattern and judgment.

� Future numbers of aged wife beneficiaries computed by applying applicable percentage to aged wife and uninsured widow beneficiaries, combined.

� Future numbers of aged uninsured widow beneficiaries computed by subtracting number of aged wife beneficiaries from aged wife and uninsured widow beneficiaries, combined.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.

Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001 Actuarial Study No. 115 Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.