Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
Contents Glossary




 

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.B77—Aged Husbands of Retired Workers and Uninsured Widowers of Deceased
Workers, Age 65 or Older, With Benefits In Force
(End of calendar years 1975-2000 and calendar half years 2001-10)
[Numbers in thousands]
Calendar
period
Uninsured
male
population
age 65 or older
Aged husband and uninsured widower
beneficiaries age 65 or older
Aged husband beneficiaries
age 65 or older
Aged
uninsured
widower
beneficiaries
age 65 or older
Percent of
uninsured
male
population
age 65 or older
Number
Percent of
aged husband and
uninsured widower
beneficiaries
age 65 or older
Number
1975
692.0
1.257
8.7
82.448
7.2
1.5
1976
706.0
1.191
8.4
81.976
6.9
1.5
1977
720.4
4.893
35.3
87.217
30.7
4.5
1978
712.9
6.587
47.0
87.044
40.9
6.1
1979
700.1
7.702
53.9
86.308
46.5
7.4
1980
707.7
8.540
60.4
85.408
51.6
8.8
1981
715.2
9.219
65.9
84.553
55.7
10.2
1982
776.7
9.258
71.9
83.927
60.4
11.6
1983
780.7
10.064
78.6
83.498
65.6
13.0
1984
832.6
10.204
85.0
83.215
70.7
14.3
1985
872.9
10.594
92.5
83.058
76.8
15.7
1986
910.9
11.036
100.5
82.586
83.0
17.5
1987
930.2
11.525
107.2
82.299
88.2
19.0
1988
953.2
11.805
112.5
82.252
92.6
20.0
1989
969.6
12.177
118.1
81.269
96.0
22.1
1990
1,019.5
11.972
122.1
80.579
98.3
23.7
1991
1,072.2
11.665
125.1
79.784
99.8
25.3
1992
1,129.2
11.144
125.8
79.585
100.2
25.7
1993
1,172.0
10.852
127.2
78.715
100.1
27.1
1994
1,240.3
10.109
125.4
79.416
99.6
25.8
1995
1,258.0
10.109
127.2
77.688
98.8
28.4
1996
1,283.9
9.804
125.9
77.913
98.1
27.8
1997
1,282.7
9.691
124.3
78.204
97.2
27.1
1998
1,307.7
9.479
124.0
77.344
95.9
28.1
1999
1,297.7
9.500
123.3
76.922
94.8
28.5
2000
1,299.9
9.620
125.1
76.238
95.3
29.7
2001-II
1,295.9
9.449
122.5
76.216
93.3
29.1
2001-IV
1,291.1
9.400
121.4
76.194
92.5
28.9
2002-II
1,286.4
9.400
120.9
76.172
92.1
28.8
2002-IV
1,281.0
9.400
120.4
76.150
91.7
28.7
2003-II
1,275.9
9.400
119.9
76.128
91.3
28.6
2003-IV
1,270.1
9.400
119.4
76.106
90.9
28.5
2004-II
1,264.1
9.400
118.8
76.084
90.4
28.4
2004-IV
1,257.3
9.400
118.2
76.063
89.9
28.3
2005-II
1,250.8
9.400
117.6
76.041
89.4
28.2
2005-IV
1,243.4
9.400
116.9
76.019
88.8
28.0
2006-II
1,237.3
9.400
116.3
75.997
88.4
27.9
2006-IV
1,230.4
9.400
115.7
75.975
87.9
27.8
2007-II
1,226.4
9.400
115.3
75.953
87.6
27.7
2007-IV
1,221.3
9.400
114.8
75.931
87.2
27.6
2008-II
1,218.1
9.400
114.5
75.909
86.9
27.6
2008-IV
1,213.8
9.400
114.1
75.887
86.6
27.5
2009-II
1,208.3
9.400
113.6
75.865
86.2
27.4
2009-IV
1,201.8
9.400
113.0
75.843
85.7
27.3
2010-II
1,196.3
9.400
112.5
75.821
85.3
27.2
2010-IV
1,189.8
9.400
111.8
75.799
84.8
27.1

Sources:

Uninsured male population age 65 or older computed by subtracting insured male population age 65 or older (shown earlier) from population age 65 or older (from the Office of the Chief Actuary).

Historical ratio to uninsured male population computed by dividing sum of aged husband and uninsured widower beneficiaries in force age 65 or older by uninsured male population age 65 or older; future ratios projected by regression with ad hoc adjustments.

Historical numbers of aged husband and uninsured widower beneficiaries in force from SSA administrative records; future figures computed by applying applicable percentage to uninsured male population.

Historical ratio of aged husband beneficiaries to aged husband and uninsured widower beneficiaries, combined, computed by dividing corresponding numbers; future ratios projected based on historical pattern and judgment.

Future numbers of aged husband beneficiaries computed by applying applicable percentage to aged husband and uninsured widower beneficiaries, combined.

Future numbers of aged uninsured widower beneficiaries computed by subtracting number of aged husband beneficiaries from aged husband and uninsured widower beneficiaries, combined.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.


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December 26, 2001