ShortRange Actuarial Projections of the OldAge, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A. 



III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS
B. NUMBER OF OLDAGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES
Table III.B82—Parents of Deceased Workers With Benefits In Force, Withheld, and
In CurrentPayment Status
(End of calendar years 19752000 and calendar half years 200110)
[Numbers in thousands]
Calendar period 
In force 
Withheld 
Number in currentpayment status

Percent of number from 6 months earlier





96.872 
21.6 
0.814 
0.2 
21.4 

96.687 
20.1 
.827 
.2 
19.9 

96.686 
18.6 
.699 
.1 
18.5 

96.927 
17.3 
.991 
.2 
17.2 

96.653 
16.2 
.994 
.2 
16.0 

96.523 
15.0 
1.103 
.2 
14.8 

96.519 
13.8 
1.511 
.2 
13.6 

95.909 
12.7 
1.763 
.2 
12.5 

95.830 
11.6 
1.780 
.2 
11.4 

95.971 
10.7 
2.052 
.2 
10.5 

96.200 
9.8 
2.364 
.2 
9.5 

96.363 
9.0 
2.859 
.3 
8.7 

95.954 
8.2 
3.297 
.3 
7.9 

95.912 
7.5 
4.235 
.3 
7.1 

96.514 
6.8 
5.191 
.4 
6.5 

95.950 
6.3 
5.894 
.4 
5.9 

97.189 
5.8 
6.451 
.4 
5.5 

97.394 
5.5 
7.481 
.4 
5.1 

97.486 
5.1 
8.713 
.4 
4.7 

96.717 
4.8 
9.533 
.5 
4.3 

97.056 
4.5 
10.652 
.5 
4.0 

96.897 
4.2 
11.630 
.5 
3.7 

97.410 
3.9 
12.602 
.5 
3.4 

97.369 
3.7 
13.915 
.5 
3.2 

96.820 
3.4 
14.821 
.5 
2.9 

97.818 
3.3 
16.015 
.5 
2.7 

96.522 
3.2 
15.776 
.5 
2.7 

96.532 
3.0 
16.102 
.5 
2.6 

96.543 
2.9 
15.866 
.5 
2.5 

96.555 
2.8 
16.194 
.5 
2.4 

96.566 
2.7 
15.961 
.4 
2.3 

96.575 
2.6 
16.292 
.4 
2.2 

96.699 
2.6 
16.059 
.4 
2.2 

96.823 
2.5 
16.388 
.4 
2.1 

96.946 
2.4 
16.153 
.4 
2.0 

97.068 
2.3 
16.481 
.4 
2.0 

97.190 
2.3 
16.244 
.4 
1.9 

97.311 
2.2 
16.569 
.4 
1.8 

97.431 
2.2 
16.331 
.4 
1.8 

97.550 
2.1 
16.653 
.3 
1.7 

97.669 
2.0 
16.412 
.3 
1.7 

97.787 
2.0 
16.732 
.3 
1.7 

97.905 
2.0 
16.488 
.3 
1.6 

98.021 
1.9 
16.805 
.3 
1.6 

98.138 
1.9 
16.558 
.3 
1.6 

98.253 
1.9 
16.871 
.3 
1.5 
Sources:
· Historical numbers of parent beneficiaries in force from In Force Table; future numbers of parent beneficiaries in force computed by applying ratio to number from 6 months earlier.
· Historical ratio of number of parent beneficiaries to number from 6 months earlier computed by dividing corresponding numbers. Future ratios for parents projected by exponential regression on time, and modified by judgment.
· Historical ratio of number of parent beneficiaries withheld to number in force computed by dividing corresponding numbers; future ratios projected based on historical trend and judgment.
· Historical numbers withheld computed by subtracting number in currentpayment status from number in force; future figures computed by applying applicable percentage to number in force.
· Historical numbers in currentpayment status from 1A Table CurrentPayment Supplement; future figures computed by subtracting number withheld from number in force.
Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.
List of Studies
December 26, 2001