Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
Contents Glossary




 

V. ESTIMATES BASED ON ALTERNATIVE ASSUMPTIONS

B. HIGH-COST ASSUMPTIONS

Table V.B7—Summary of OASDI Beneficiaries In Current-Payment Status
(High-cost alternative, end of calendar half years 2001-10)
[In thousands]
Calendar
period
Total
Retired workers and auxiliaries
Survivors of deceased workers
Disabled workers and auxiliaries
Special
age-72
benefi-
ciaries
Total
Retired
workers
Wives
and
hus-
bands
Chil-
dren
Total
Chil-
dren
Widowed
mothers
and
fathers
Aged
widows
and
widowers
and
aged
parents
Disabled
widows
and
widowers
Total
Disabled
workers
Wives
and
hus-
bands
Chil-
dren
2001-II
45,726.3
31,908.3
28,653.4
2,785.8
469.1
6,980.5
1,894.5
192.3
4,688.8
205.0
6,837.5
5,174.7
164.7
1,498.0
0.1
2001-IV
45,974.2
32,029.5
28,787.5
2,777.3
464.8
6,970.5
1,880.5
196.8
4,685.1
208.2
6,974.1
5,306.7
163.6
1,503.8

2002-II
46,359.5
32,216.5
28,973.0
2,768.9
474.7
6,969.6
1,895.6
186.6
4,676.4
211.0
7,173.4
5,464.6
164.3
1,544.5
2002-IV
46,641.9
32,344.8
29,111.1
2,763.8
469.9
6,962.3
1,880.2
191.0
4,677.6
213.4
7,334.8
5,614.9
164.1
1,555.7

2003-II
47,066.6
32,548.0
29,311.4
2,757.2
479.4
6,958.3
1,893.0
181.4
4,667.7
216.1
7,560.3
5,795.9
165.5
1,598.9
2003-IV
47,375.1
32,682.1
29,454.3
2,753.7
474.1
6,947.1
1,875.1
186.0
4,667.4
218.5
7,745.8
5,968.7
165.8
1,611.3

2004-II
47,863.7
32,943.9
29,715.1
2,745.8
483.1
6,945.0
1,886.9
176.8
4,659.8
221.5
7,974.8
6,151.3
167.5
1,656.0
2004-IV
48,210.8
33,113.0
29,895.2
2,740.7
477.1
6,935.4
1,867.9
181.5
4,661.6
224.4
8,162.4
6,325.5
168.1
1,668.8

2005-II
48,748.5
33,418.6
30,201.0
2,731.9
485.8
6,931.2
1,878.1
172.5
4,653.4
227.3
8,398.7
6,511.8
170.3
1,716.6
2005-IV
49,130.6
33,619.9
30,414.9
2,725.6
479.4
6,918.9
1,857.4
177.2
4,654.3
230.1
8,591.8
6,689.5
171.3
1,731.0

2006-II
49,671.2
33,925.3
30,716.6
2,721.3
487.4
6,918.6
1,865.7
168.5
4,651.8
232.7
8,827.3
6,874.3
173.5
1,779.5
2006-IV
50,083.2
34,155.2
30,955.8
2,719.1
480.2
6,909.4
1,842.9
173.1
4,658.1
235.3
9,018.6
7,050.3
174.6
1,793.7

2007-II
50,623.7
34,461.9
31,255.2
2,719.0
487.6
6,913.9
1,848.6
164.6
4,663.9
236.7
9,247.9
7,229.4
176.7
1,841.8
2007-IV
51,085.4
34,744.8
31,544.5
2,720.6
479.6
6,908.2
1,822.9
169.2
4,678.1
238.0
9,432.4
7,399.8
177.8
1,854.8

2008-II
51,695.7
35,131.0
31,926.8
2,718.0
486.2
6,913.7
1,826.3
161.0
4,687.1
239.2
9,651.0
7,569.0
179.9
1,902.1
2008-IV
52,253.4
35,521.0
32,326.6
2,717.2
477.3
6,908.2
1,797.9
165.5
4,704.5
240.3
9,824.2
7,729.5
181.0
1,913.8

2009-II
52,937.3
36,015.1
32,820.6
2,710.9
483.6
6,914.7
1,800.8
157.4
4,715.5
241.0
10,007.4
7,862.8
183.3
1,961.3
2009-IV
53,606.3
36,551.5
33,370.8
2,706.2
474.4
6,909.9
1,771.6
161.8
4,735.0
241.5
10,144.9
7,988.0
184.5
1,972.5

2010-II
54,222.9
36,971.3
33,791.8
2,698.9
480.7
6,914.1
1,774.7
153.9
4,743.5
241.9
10,337.5
8,129.9
187.0
2,020.6
2010-IV
54,982.6
37,592.4
34,428.0
2,693.0
471.4
6,907.0
1,746.1
158.3
4,760.4
242.3
10,483.2
8,263.5
188.4
2,031.4

1 Fewer than 50.

Sources:

All detail columns projected by methods described in text and in earlier tables describing projections for the intermediate set of assumptions.

Totals and subtotals computed by addition of corresponding detail.

Note: Estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report high-cost set of assumptions.


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December 26, 2001