Life Tables for the United States Social Security Area 1900-2100

Actuarial Study No. 116

by : Felicitie C. Bell and Michael L. Miller
Long description for Figure 1

Historic and projected total male and female age-adjusted death rates per 100,000 population.

Rates (per hundred thousand) on the vertical axis range from 0 to 3,000. Calendar years on the horizontal axis range from 1900 to 2100.

The data are depicted by a solid line. There are two lines one labeled male and the other female. The male line remaines above the female line across the chart. Both lines form a similar pattern. The historical data begin in 1900 at a rate of 2,592.4 for males and 2,361.2 for females, then generally decline to end in 2100 at a rate of 489.0 for males and 336.4 for females. From 1900 to 1940, the data produce a very uneven line. From 1940 to 2000, the lines become less spikey and also form the widest gap between the genders. The projected data from 2000 to 2100 form a smooth, gradually declining pattern.

The depicted historical adjusted death rates for male, female and total can be found in table 1. Historical and projected male adjusted death rates can be found in the second column of table 4a. The historical data is recorded in single years from 1979 to 2002. The projected data runs in 5-year groups from 2005 to 2025, and then in 10-year groups from 2030 to 2100. The female rates are found in table 4b.