Short-Range Actuarial Projections
of the Old-Age, Survivors, and
Disability Insurance Program, 2005

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ACTUARIAL STUDY NO. 119
by Chris Motsiopoulos
and Richard B. Tucker

III.A2.—Social Security Area Population Under Normal Retirement Age
(By age and gender, as of December 31, 1980-2014)
[In thousands]
Year
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39
40-44
45-49
50-54
55-59
60-64
65-NRA 1
Total
 
Male
1980
10,752.7
11,385.0
10,619.1
9,623.9
7,449.5
6,211.6
5,700.9
5,867.7
5,679.6
4,926.5
...
78,216.5
1985
9,940.0
11,045.9
11,544.7
10,683.6
9,642.8
7,418.4
6,134.6
5,533.1
5,548.6
5,169.9
...
82,661.6
1990
9,007.2
10,232.7
11,328.8
11,679.0
10,670.9
9,587.8
7,324.0
5,990.0
5,290.4
5,134.5
...
86,245.2
1995
9,762.6
9,462.7
10,480.3
11,454.0
11,689.8
10,610.2
9,456.0
7,140.7
5,757.3
4,963.1
...
90,776.6
1996
10,013.0
9,401.4
10,489.8
11,207.8
11,778.3
10,861.0
9,559.2
7,669.6
5,955.0
4,985.8
...
91,921.0
1997
10,202.2
9,511.2
10,431.5
10,950.7
11,782.2
11,128.9
9,693.7
8,042.4
6,256.0
5,079.0
...
93,077.7
1998
10,310.2
9,696.9
10,290.4
10,738.7
11,812.2
11,308.5
9,927.4
8,381.4
6,511.7
5,211.3
...
94,188.8
1999
10,334.8
9,925.5
10,131.7
10,650.4
11,729.0
11,488.1
10,196.1
8,784.5
6,734.2
5,308.6
...
95,282.9
2000
10,419.6
10,232.7
9,932.5
10,763.6
11,574.3
11,646.3
10,456.3
9,203.0
6,896.0
5,410.4
...
96,534.6
2001
10,455.2
10,537.1
9,907.8
10,829.0
11,410.0
11,755.6
10,700.6
9,334.2
7,332.7
5,590.5
...
97,852.6
2002
10,475.9
10,804.3
10,025.4
10,846.1
11,240.4
11,799.5
10,954.8
9,463.2
7,703.2
5,834.3
...
99,147.0
2003
10,526.1
10,890.8
10,172.0
10,731.8
11,050.5
11,814.5
11,192.8
9,666.1
8,073.3
6,092.7
170.8
100,381.4
2004
10,656.4
10,881.4
10,398.1
10,535.7
10,951.9
11,784.7
11,392.0
9,931.5
8,468.4
6,326.5
352.7
101,679.3
2005
10,821.5
10,822.9
10,673.4
10,329.4
10,963.5
11,662.1
11,558.6
10,213.1
8,829.9
6,588.2
546.3
103,008.8
2006
10,981.4
10,775.5
10,930.2
10,221.6
11,001.2
11,467.3
11,660.7
10,495.5
9,042.6
6,940.2
773.7
104,289.8
2007
11,104.2
10,765.2
11,115.4
10,255.7
10,975.0
11,249.2
11,698.8
10,767.2
9,185.6
7,326.2
1,031.7
105,474.2
2008
11,165.3
10,823.8
11,204.5
10,406.6
10,863.6
11,063.2
11,715.2
11,003.0
9,387.3
7,683.8
1,275.7
106,591.9
2009
11,145.5
10,954.6
11,195.5
10,631.6
10,670.2
10,967.5
11,687.5
11,200.5
9,649.2
8,062.9
1,286.6
107,451.6
2010
11,079.7
11,116.2
11,135.9
10,902.0
10,462.2
10,977.2
11,566.3
11,364.3
9,925.0
8,408.7
1,346.7
108,284.1
2011
10,997.8
11,272.2
11,087.4
11,154.4
10,351.7
11,012.0
11,373.7
11,464.9
10,200.8
8,614.2
1,497.6
109,026.4
2012
10,916.7
11,394.9
11,077.8
11,339.1
10,386.4
10,986.5
11,160.7
11,504.6
10,467.3
8,755.6
1,606.9
109,596.5
2013
10,856.0
11,456.1
11,136.7
11,428.3
10,536.8
10,877.1
10,979.7
11,523.2
10,699.0
8,952.8
1,620.4
110,066.0
2014
10,841.3
11,436.9
11,267.4
11,420.0
10,761.0
10,687.0
10,887.8
11,499.0
10,894.3
9,207.5
1,655.3
110,557.5
 
Female
1980
10,326.6
10,986.8
10,352.3
9,491.8
7,432.3
6,233.2
5,791.5
6,105.3
6,161.0
5,560.6
...
78,441.2
1985
9,432.4
10,594.7
11,198.7
10,475.6
9,556.4
7,450.9
6,215.8
5,725.0
5,955.2
5,935.9
...
82,540.4
1990
8,546.9
9,693.7
10,891.4
11,392.5
10,547.5
9,572.6
7,426.3
6,157.5
5,613.6
5,735.0
...
85,576.9
1995
9,206.3
8,998.7
10,030.5
11,112.0
11,505.3
10,592.3
9,545.8
7,337.2
6,036.1
5,427.7
...
89,791.7
1996
9,428.0
8,930.4
10,042.5
10,861.9
11,580.9
10,832.4
9,662.3
7,859.2
6,239.3
5,432.8
...
90,869.7
1997
9,600.3
9,011.9
9,993.4
10,594.4
11,570.5
11,082.1
9,799.6
8,235.9
6,542.3
5,510.4
...
91,940.7
1998
9,708.0
9,156.5
9,855.9
10,375.1
11,564.0
11,257.2
10,032.1
8,579.4
6,804.3
5,633.6
...
92,965.9
1999
9,757.0
9,343.5
9,702.6
10,273.3
11,470.7
11,414.3
10,292.9
8,986.2
7,034.8
5,724.9
...
94,000.2
2000
9,809.1
9,599.1
9,484.9
10,364.3
11,301.9
11,553.7
10,547.3
9,409.2
7,204.6
5,827.3
...
95,101.3
2001
9,832.0
9,860.5
9,422.7
10,415.4
11,113.6
11,651.3
10,782.0
9,556.1
7,632.4
6,017.6
...
96,283.7
2002
9,884.5
10,057.2
9,480.9
10,408.4
10,909.8
11,683.7
11,023.9
9,692.3
8,002.9
6,275.4
...
97,419.0
2003
10,017.7
10,105.1
9,598.4
10,300.2
10,697.7
11,683.5
11,246.6
9,896.3
8,389.7
6,542.6
187.3
98,665.0
2004
10,188.3
10,097.8
9,798.8
10,119.0
10,582.4
11,635.7
11,425.7
10,158.4
8,800.2
6,777.0
387.1
99,970.4
2005
10,357.0
10,079.0
10,052.2
9,915.8
10,595.5
11,482.7
11,582.0
10,434.5
9,178.0
7,034.3
600.7
101,311.7
2006
10,508.4
10,096.2
10,279.0
9,791.1
10,642.4
11,256.8
11,680.7
10,709.8
9,406.3
7,385.9
848.9
102,605.4
2007
10,622.9
10,172.8
10,414.5
9,800.8
10,621.4
11,017.4
11,708.0
10,971.8
9,555.8
7,782.4
1,125.9
103,793.8
2008
10,680.7
10,312.9
10,463.2
9,924.7
10,518.2
10,810.1
11,710.1
11,193.7
9,757.8
8,159.0
1,384.9
104,915.3
2009
10,664.2
10,483.4
10,455.3
10,124.6
10,338.5
10,696.5
11,663.8
11,372.2
10,016.9
8,556.6
1,391.3
105,763.3
2010
10,603.2
10,648.3
10,432.7
10,371.3
10,131.0
10,705.9
11,510.0
11,525.6
10,287.6
8,920.8
1,452.1
106,588.6
2011
10,527.5
10,795.9
10,446.4
10,591.7
10,001.4
10,748.6
11,283.7
11,621.9
10,557.3
9,141.6
1,612.8
107,328.6
2012
10,456.1
10,910.4
10,523.0
10,726.9
10,011.4
10,727.8
11,047.4
11,650.1
10,815.5
9,288.8
1,734.5
107,891.9
2013
10,407.9
10,968.2
10,663.0
10,775.6
10,135.1
10,625.6
10,842.9
11,653.4
11,034.6
9,487.0
1,751.2
108,344.5
2014
10,401.3
10,951.9
10,833.3
10,767.9
10,334.4
10,447.6
10,731.5
11,609.2
11,211.5
9,740.6
1,780.7
108,810.0
 
Total
1980
21,079.3
22,371.8
20,971.4
19,115.6
14,881.8
12,444.8
11,492.5
11,973.0
11,840.6
10,487.1
...
156,657.8
1985
19,372.4
21,640.5
22,743.4
21,159.2
19,199.2
14,869.3
12,350.4
11,258.1
11,503.8
11,105.8
...
165,202.0
1990
17,554.0
19,926.3
22,220.2
23,071.5
21,218.4
19,160.4
14,750.3
12,147.5
10,904.0
10,869.5
...
171,822.1
1995
18,968.9
18,461.4
20,510.7
22,566.0
23,195.1
21,202.5
19,001.7
14,477.8
11,793.3
10,390.8
...
180,568.3
1996
19,441.0
18,331.8
20,532.4
22,069.7
23,359.2
21,693.4
19,221.4
15,528.8
12,194.3
10,418.7
...
182,790.7
1997
19,802.5
18,523.0
20,424.9
21,545.0
23,352.7
22,211.0
19,493.3
16,278.2
12,798.3
10,589.4
...
185,018.4
1998
20,018.2
18,853.4
20,146.3
21,113.9
23,376.2
22,565.6
19,959.5
16,960.8
13,316.0
10,844.9
...
187,154.7
1999
20,091.8
19,269.1
19,834.3
20,923.7
23,199.7
22,902.4
20,489.0
17,770.7
13,769.0
11,033.5
...
189,283.1
2000
20,228.7
19,831.8
19,417.4
21,127.9
22,876.2
23,200.0
21,003.6
18,612.2
14,100.6
11,237.7
...
191,635.9
2001
20,287.2
20,397.6
19,330.5
21,244.4
22,523.6
23,406.9
21,482.6
18,890.3
14,965.1
11,608.2
...
194,136.3
2002
20,360.4
20,861.5
19,506.2
21,254.5
22,150.1
23,483.2
21,978.8
19,155.5
15,706.0
12,109.7
...
196,565.9
2003
20,543.9
20,995.9
19,770.4
21,032.0
21,748.2
23,498.0
22,439.4
19,562.3
16,463.0
12,635.3
358.1
199,046.4
2004
20,844.7
20,979.2
20,196.9
20,654.7
21,534.4
23,420.4
22,817.7
20,089.9
17,268.5
13,103.5
739.8
201,649.6
2005
21,178.5
20,901.9
20,725.6
20,245.3
21,559.0
23,144.8
23,140.6
20,647.6
18,007.8
13,622.5
1,147.0
204,320.5
2006
21,489.8
20,871.7
21,209.2
20,012.6
21,643.6
22,724.1
23,341.5
21,205.3
18,448.9
14,326.1
1,622.6
206,895.2
2007
21,727.2
20,937.9
21,529.9
20,056.5
21,596.3
22,266.6
23,406.9
21,739.1
18,741.3
15,108.6
2,157.6
209,267.9
2008
21,846.0
21,136.8
21,667.8
20,331.2
21,381.9
21,873.3
23,425.3
22,196.6
19,145.1
15,842.8
2,660.6
211,507.2
2009
21,809.8
21,438.0
21,650.8
20,756.1
21,008.7
21,664.0
23,351.3
22,572.7
19,666.0
16,619.5
2,677.9
213,214.9
2010
21,682.9
21,764.5
21,568.6
21,273.3
20,593.2
21,683.1
23,076.3
22,889.9
20,212.6
17,329.5
2,798.9
214,872.7
2011
21,525.3
22,068.1
21,533.8
21,746.0
20,353.1
21,760.5
22,657.4
23,086.7
20,758.0
17,755.8
3,110.4
216,355.0
2012
21,372.9
22,305.3
21,600.7
22,066.0
20,397.8
21,714.4
22,208.0
23,154.7
21,282.8
18,044.5
3,341.3
217,488.4
2013
21,263.9
22,424.3
21,799.7
22,204.0
20,671.9
21,502.7
21,822.6
23,176.6
21,733.6
18,439.8
3,371.5
218,410.5
2014
21,242.6
22,388.9
22,100.7
22,188.0
21,095.4
21,134.5
21,619.4
23,108.2
22,105.9
18,948.1
3,436.1
219,367.6

1See Glossary for definition of "Normal retirement age—NRA."

Source: Estimates prepared by the Office of the Chief Actuary, Demographic Analysis Group.

Note: Future estimates based on 2005 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.


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