Short-Range Actuarial Projections
of the Old-Age, Survivors, and
Disability Insurance Program, 2005

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ACTUARIAL STUDY NO. 119
by Chris Motsiopoulos
and Richard B. Tucker

III.A25.—DI Total Disabled Workers With Benefits In Force, Awarded, Terminated, Withheld,
and In Current-Payment Status
(Calendar years 1980-2004, and calendar quarters 2005-14)
[Numbers in thousands]
Calendar
period
In force
beginning
of period
Awards
during period
Gross terminations
In force
end of period
Benefits withheld end of period
In current-payment
status end
of period
Rate
(per 1,000)
Number
Per 1,000 in force
end of period
Number
1980
2,882.6
420.3
140.53
434.6
2,868.3
4.15
11.9
2,856.4
1981
2,868.3
381.0
150.44
460.2
2,789.1
6.25
17.4
2,771.7
1982
2,789.1
336.1
169.79
502.1
2,623.1
9.07
23.8
2,599.3
1983
2,623.1
428.5
163.14
462.9
2,588.7
9.50
24.6
2,564.1
1984
2,588.7
410.0
136.58
381.6
2,617.1
9.51
24.9
2,592.2
1985
2,617.1
416.1
124.91
352.9
2,680.3
10.13
27.2
2,653.1
1986
2,680.3
424.9
121.47
351.4
2,753.8
10.60
29.2
2,724.6
1987
2,753.8
420.3
121.77
360.9
2,813.2
11.19
31.5
2,781.7
1988
2,813.2
415.3
120.87
365.1
2,863.4
13.04
37.3
2,826.1
1989
2,863.4
430.7
116.16
357.6
2,936.4
15.62
45.9
2,890.6
1990
2,936.4
472.1
111.61
354.1
3,054.5
15.64
47.8
3,006.7
1991
3,054.5
540.8
106.91
355.5
3,239.8
15.19
49.2
3,190.6
1992
3,239.8
642.1
103.29
367.8
3,514.1
14.33
50.4
3,463.7
1993
3,514.1
637.4
98.25
376.6
3,774.9
14.26
53.8
3,721.1
1994
3,774.9
631.9
94.74
387.6
4,019.2
15.19
61.0
3,958.2
1995
4,019.2
645.6
94.74
411.4
4,253.5
17.45
74.2
4,179.3
1996
4,253.5
624.3
89.91
410.5
4,467.3
19.91
88.9
4,378.3
1997
4,467.3
587.7
97.39
463.7
4,591.3
19.73
90.6
4,500.7
1998
4,591.3
608.4
83.76
410.0
4,789.6
20.61
98.7
4,690.9
1999
4,789.6
620.6
85.58
436.4
4,973.8
20.82
103.6
4,870.2
2000
4,973.8
621.3
86.81
458.7
5,136.4
19.61
100.7
5,035.6
2001
5,136.4
690.5
83.03
455.1
5,371.7
19.35
103.9
5,267.8
2002
5,371.7
750.0
83.06
477.3
5,644.4
18.60
105.0
5,539.4
2003
5,644.4
777.5
74.72
450.8
5,971.1
17.16
102.5
5,868.6
2004
5,971.1
795.8
72.69
462.9
6,303.9
16.77
105.7
6,198.2
2005-I
6,303.9
200.2
19.47
124.7
6,379.4
16.87
107.6
6,271.8
2005-II
6,379.4
200.2
18.87
122.3
6,457.4
16.96
109.5
6,347.9
2005-III
6,457.4
200.2
18.65
122.3
6,535.4
17.06
111.5
6,423.8
2005-IV
6,535.4
187.6
18.07
119.8
6,603.1
17.16
113.3
6,489.8
2006-I
6,603.1
197.6
19.54
130.9
6,669.9
17.08
113.9
6,555.9
2006-II
6,669.9
197.6
18.96
128.4
6,739.2
17.00
114.6
6,624.6
2006-III
6,739.2
197.6
18.77
128.4
6,808.4
16.92
115.2
6,693.3
2006-IV
6,808.4
185.2
18.23
125.8
6,867.9
16.84
115.6
6,752.2
2007-I
6,867.9
200.0
19.79
137.9
6,930.0
16.75
116.1
6,813.9
2007-II
6,930.0
200.0
19.23
135.2
6,994.9
16.67
116.6
6,878.3
2007-III
6,994.9
200.0
19.05
135.2
7,059.8
16.58
117.0
6,942.7
2007-IV
7,059.8
187.4
18.52
132.5
7,114.7
16.49
117.3
6,997.4
2008-I
7,114.7
207.7
20.41
147.4
7,175.0
16.42
117.8
7,057.2
2008-II
7,175.0
207.7
19.85
144.5
7,238.2
16.35
118.4
7,119.9
2008-III
7,238.2
207.7
19.68
144.5
7,301.4
16.28
118.9
7,182.6
2008-IV
7,301.4
194.6
19.14
141.6
7,354.5
16.21
119.2
7,235.2
2009-I
7,354.5
218.2
22.36
166.9
7,405.7
16.17
119.7
7,286.0
2009-II
7,405.7
218.2
21.77
163.6
7,460.3
16.12
120.3
7,340.0
2009-III
7,460.3
218.2
21.61
163.6
7,514.9
16.08
120.9
7,394.0
2009-IV
7,514.9
204.4
21.05
160.3
7,559.0
16.04
121.2
7,437.7
2010-I
7,559.0
219.3
22.27
170.8
7,607.5
15.99
121.6
7,485.9
2010-II
7,607.5
219.3
21.70
167.4
7,659.4
15.93
122.0
7,537.3
2010-III
7,659.4
219.3
21.55
167.4
7,711.3
15.88
122.5
7,588.8
2010-IV
7,711.3
205.5
21.00
164.1
7,752.7
15.83
122.7
7,630.0
2011-I
7,752.7
217.4
21.69
170.5
7,799.6
15.76
122.9
7,676.6
2011-II
7,799.6
217.4
21.13
167.1
7,849.8
15.69
123.2
7,726.6
2011-III
7,849.8
217.4
21.00
167.1
7,900.0
15.63
123.5
7,776.6
2011-IV
7,900.0
203.7
20.47
163.8
7,939.9
15.56
123.5
7,816.4
2012-I
7,939.9
221.3
22.93
184.6
7,976.6
15.51
123.7
7,852.9
2012-II
7,976.6
221.3
22.38
181.0
8,016.9
15.46
123.9
7,893.0
2012-III
8,016.9
221.3
22.27
181.0
8,057.2
15.41
124.1
7,933.1
2012-IV
8,057.2
207.4
21.74
177.4
8,087.2
15.36
124.2
7,963.1
2013-I
8,087.2
224.9
23.77
194.9
8,117.3
15.32
124.3
7,993.0
2013-II
8,117.3
224.9
23.21
191.0
8,151.1
15.28
124.5
8,026.6
2013-III
8,151.1
224.9
23.12
191.0
8,185.0
15.24
124.7
8,060.3
2013-IV
8,185.0
210.7
22.58
187.2
8,208.5
15.20
124.8
8,083.8
2014-I
8,208.5
228.5
23.61
196.5
8,240.5
15.16
124.9
8,115.5
2014-II
8,240.5
228.5
23.06
192.7
8,276.3
15.12
125.1
8,151.1
2014-III
8,276.3
228.5
22.96
192.7
8,312.0
15.08
125.4
8,186.7
2014-IV
8,312.0
214.1
22.43
188.8
8,337.3
15.04
125.4
8,211.9

Sources:

Note: Future estimates based on 2005 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.

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