Short-Range Actuarial Projections
of the Old-Age, Survivors, and
Disability Insurance Program, 2005

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ACTUARIAL STUDY NO. 119
by Chris Motsiopoulos
and Richard B. Tucker

III.E18.—Current-Payment Benefits to OASI Children
(Calendar years 1980-2004, and calendar quarters 2005-14)
[Numbers in thousands, amounts in millions]
Calendar
period
Total children of retired workers
Total children of deceased workers
Total OASI children
In current-payment
status at
midpoint of period
Total
current-payment
benefits during period
In current-payment
status at
midpoint of period
Total
current-payment
benefits during period
In current-payment
status at
midpoint of period
Total
current-payment
benefits during period
Number
Average
benefit
Rate
Amount
Number
Average
benefit
Rate
Amount
Number
Average
benefit
Rate
Amount
1980
634.6
$129.13
12.286
$1,006.8
2,665.1
$222.02
12.039
$7,123.8
3,299.7
$204.15
12.069
$8,130.6
1981
637.6
150.74
12.100
1,162.9
2,625.2
255.16
11.932
7,992.8
3,262.7
234.76
11.953
9,155.7
1982
521.0
158.83
13.570
1,122.8
2,201.6
278.17
12.935
7,921.5
2,722.6
255.34
13.010
9,044.4
1983
489.8
167.17
12.897
1,056.1
2,094.7
290.12
12.532
7,615.8
2,584.5
266.81
12.576
8,671.9
1984
477.4
179.52
12.347
1,058.2
2,031.6
303.62
12.188
7,517.8
2,509.0
280.00
12.207
8,576.0
1985
465.9
189.82
12.051
1,065.7
1,970.3
318.45
11.983
7,518.3
2,436.2
293.85
11.991
8,584.0
1986
460.0
200.15
11.910
1,096.6
1,935.5
331.93
11.843
7,608.7
2,395.6
306.62
11.851
8,705.3
1987
454.9
206.48
11.883
1,116.1
1,899.3
338.17
11.853
7,613.0
2,354.2
312.72
11.857
8,729.1
1988
444.8
218.25
11.857
1,151.0
1,861.6
354.04
11.842
7,804.8
2,306.4
327.85
11.844
8,955.9
1989
432.7
230.25
11.858
1,181.6
1,825.7
368.63
11.827
7,960.3
2,258.5
342.12
11.831
9,141.8
1990
428.6
244.43
11.873
1,243.9
1,810.0
385.57
11.838
8,261.8
2,238.7
358.54
11.843
9,505.7
1991
428.3
261.16
11.899
1,331.0
1,808.0
405.97
11.868
8,711.1
2,236.3
378.24
11.872
10,042.1
1992
433.6
274.60
11.893
1,416.1
1,825.1
420.38
11.880
9,114.2
2,258.7
392.39
11.881
10,530.3
1993
438.9
287.26
11.900
1,500.2
1,849.8
432.83
11.866
9,500.7
2,288.7
404.92
11.871
11,000.9
1994
443.9
298.63
11.881
1,574.9
1,877.3
444.15
11.876
9,902.4
2,321.2
416.32
11.877
11,477.3
1995
446.1
311.34
11.896
1,652.3
1,901.6
457.13
11.879
10,326.5
2,347.7
429.43
11.882
11,978.8
1996
446.8
325.16
11.942
1,735.0
1,919.1
473.08
11.918
10,819.8
2,365.9
445.15
11.921
12,554.8
1997
446.7
339.39
11.909
1,805.3
1,920.9
489.26
11.904
11,187.5
2,367.6
460.99
11.904
12,992.8
1998
444.2
351.45
11.914
1,859.9
1,911.7
502.35
11.914
11,441.1
2,355.9
473.90
11.914
13,301.1
1999
443.9
361.20
11.908
1,909.2
1,904.9
512.53
11.904
11,622.0
2,348.7
483.93
11.905
13,531.1
2000
457.5
376.84
11.834
2,040.1
1,897.1
529.49
11.932
11,985.5
2,354.6
499.84
11.917
14,025.6
2001
468.3
398.50
11.910
2,222.7
1,895.9
553.51
11.932
12,521.1
2,364.2
522.80
11.928
14,743.8
2002
476.7
416.38
11.910
2,364.1
1,907.0
573.93
11.950
13,078.9
2,383.7
542.42
11.944
15,443.1
2003
481.4
430.58
11.933
2,473.6
1,916.9
587.95
11.959
13,477.7
2,398.3
556.36
11.955
15,951.3
2004
484.4
448.22
11.944
2,593.4
1,915.1
606.14
11.966
13,890.1
2,399.5
574.26
11.962
16,483.5
2005-I
483.0
464.91
3.000
673.7
1,910.0
625.85
3.000
3,586.1
2,393.0
593.36
3.000
4,259.8
2005-II
489.7
466.67
3.000
685.6
1,927.4
627.09
3.000
3,626.0
2,417.1
594.59
3.000
4,311.6
2005-III
482.9
468.48
3.000
678.7
1,889.7
627.75
3.000
3,558.9
2,372.7
595.33
3.000
4,237.6
2005-IV
484.9
470.69
3.000
684.7
1,895.3
629.32
3.000
3,578.2
2,380.2
597.00
3.000
4,263.0
2006-I
488.0
482.56
3.000
706.5
1,914.6
644.43
3.000
3,701.5
2,402.6
611.55
3.000
4,407.9
2006-II
494.2
484.31
3.000
718.0
1,930.8
645.33
3.000
3,738.0
2,425.0
612.52
3.000
4,456.1
2006-III
486.5
485.85
3.000
709.1
1,889.7
645.56
3.000
3,659.7
2,376.2
612.86
3.000
4,368.8
2006-IV
487.9
488.04
3.000
714.4
1,893.8
646.78
3.000
3,674.7
2,381.8
614.26
3.000
4,389.1
2007-I
490.6
501.21
3.000
737.7
1,912.1
663.38
3.000
3,805.4
2,402.7
630.27
3.000
4,543.0
2007-II
496.6
503.13
3.000
749.6
1,927.4
664.40
3.000
3,841.7
2,424.0
631.36
3.000
4,591.3
2007-III
488.4
505.02
3.000
739.9
1,883.9
664.61
3.000
3,756.2
2,372.3
631.76
3.000
4,496.1
2007-IV
489.5
507.42
3.000
745.1
1,887.0
665.92
3.000
3,769.8
2,376.5
633.27
3.000
4,514.9
2008-I
492.0
523.76
3.000
773.1
1,904.8
686.46
3.000
3,922.8
2,396.8
653.07
3.000
4,695.8
2008-II
497.8
525.90
3.000
785.3
1,919.5
687.60
3.000
3,959.6
2,417.3
654.30
3.000
4,744.9
2008-III
488.9
528.19
3.000
774.6
1,874.2
687.74
3.000
3,866.8
2,363.0
654.73
3.000
4,641.5
2008-IV
489.7
530.86
3.000
779.8
1,876.7
689.14
3.000
3,879.8
2,366.3
656.39
3.000
4,659.7
2009-I
492.0
548.65
3.000
809.8
1,894.4
711.19
3.000
4,041.9
2,386.4
677.68
3.000
4,851.7
2009-II
497.8
551.22
3.000
823.1
1,909.5
712.44
3.000
4,081.2
2,407.3
679.10
3.000
4,904.3
2009-III
488.7
554.17
3.000
812.5
1,864.1
712.51
3.000
3,984.6
2,352.8
679.62
3.000
4,797.1
2009-IV
489.5
557.35
3.000
818.5
1,867.0
714.01
3.000
3,999.2
2,356.5
681.47
3.000
4,817.7
2010-I
491.8
575.90
3.000
849.8
1,885.1
736.93
3.000
4,167.7
2,377.0
703.61
3.000
5,017.4
2010-II
497.6
577.64
3.000
862.3
1,900.5
738.31
3.000
4,209.6
2,398.1
704.98
3.000
5,071.8
2010-III
488.6
579.95
3.000
850.1
1,855.8
738.36
3.000
4,110.8
2,344.4
705.34
3.000
4,960.9
2010-IV
489.4
582.36
3.000
855.1
1,859.2
739.98
3.000
4,127.2
2,348.6
707.13
3.000
4,982.3
2011-I
491.8
600.97
3.000
886.7
1,877.6
763.82
3.000
4,302.5
2,369.4
730.02
3.000
5,189.2
2011-II
497.6
602.47
3.000
899.4
1,893.5
765.31
3.000
4,347.3
2,391.1
731.42
3.000
5,246.7
2011-III
488.9
604.62
3.000
886.8
1,849.7
765.30
3.000
4,246.7
2,338.6
731.71
3.000
5,133.5
2011-IV
489.9
606.82
3.000
891.8
1,853.6
767.01
3.000
4,265.2
2,343.5
733.53
3.000
5,156.9
2012-I
492.3
626.00
3.000
924.5
1,872.5
791.77
3.000
4,447.8
2,364.8
757.26
3.000
5,372.3
2012-II
498.1
627.56
3.000
937.7
1,888.8
793.33
3.000
4,495.3
2,386.9
758.74
3.000
5,433.0
2012-III
489.4
629.81
3.000
924.7
1,845.7
793.26
3.000
4,392.4
2,335.1
759.00
3.000
5,317.1
2012-IV
490.3
632.10
3.000
929.8
1,850.1
795.04
3.000
4,412.7
2,340.5
760.90
3.000
5,342.6
2013-I
492.8
652.05
3.000
963.9
1,869.4
820.73
3.000
4,602.9
2,362.2
785.54
3.000
5,566.9
2013-II
498.7
653.61
3.000
977.8
1,886.2
822.38
3.000
4,653.4
2,384.8
787.09
3.000
5,631.2
2013-III
490.2
655.90
3.000
964.5
1,843.8
822.29
3.000
4,548.5
2,334.0
787.34
3.000
5,513.0
2013-IV
491.2
658.23
3.000
970.0
1,848.7
824.16
3.000
4,570.9
2,339.9
789.33
3.000
5,540.9
2014-I
493.7
678.92
3.000
1,005.5
1,868.5
850.84
3.000
4,769.4
2,362.2
814.91
3.000
5,775.0
2014-II
499.7
680.43
3.000
1,019.9
1,885.9
852.59
3.000
4,823.7
2,385.5
816.53
3.000
5,843.6
2014-III
491.3
682.71
3.000
1,006.3
1,844.7
852.49
3.000
4,717.6
2,336.0
816.78
3.000
5,724.0
2014-IV
492.5
685.02
3.000
1,012.1
1,850.3
854.47
3.000
4,743.0
2,342.7
818.85
3.000
5,755.0

Sources:

Note: Future estimates based on 2005 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.


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