Short-Range Actuarial Projections |
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ACTUARIAL STUDY NO. 119
by Chris Motsiopoulos and Richard B. Tucker | |||||
|
Year
|
16-19
|
20-24
|
25-29
|
30-34
|
35-39
|
40-44
|
45-49
|
50-54
|
55-59
|
60-64
|
65-69
|
70 or older
|
Total
|
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Male
|
|||||||||||||
|
1980
|
6,658.0
|
10,028.3
|
9,331.3
|
8,253.1
|
6,408.6
|
5,207.7
|
4,616.4
|
4,541.9
|
4,175.8
|
3,005.2
|
1,419.1
|
1,011.8
|
64,657.2
|
|
1985
|
5,577.8
|
9,484.3
|
9,924.7
|
9,116.3
|
7,963.9
|
6,083.6
|
4,864.8
|
4,209.2
|
3,953.8
|
3,017.6
|
1,304.2
|
980.4
|
66,480.7
|
|
1990
|
5,690.6
|
8,839.9
|
10,136.8
|
10,257.0
|
9,221.7
|
7,981.4
|
5,979.4
|
4,654.3
|
3,859.4
|
3,000.8
|
1,527.2
|
1,180.7
|
72,329.1
|
|
1995
|
5,586.1
|
8,083.4
|
9,101.0
|
10,138.1
|
10,097.8
|
8,959.7
|
7,663.2
|
5,612.9
|
4,179.2
|
2,930.6
|
1,613.0
|
1,459.9
|
75,424.9
|
|
1996
|
5,761.9
|
7,985.9
|
9,112.1
|
9,942.9
|
10,195.6
|
9,245.2
|
7,869.0
|
5,956.3
|
4,296.5
|
2,997.9
|
1,632.6
|
1,497.1
|
76,493.0
|
|
1997
|
5,865.1
|
7,782.5
|
9,024.2
|
9,749.5
|
10,262.2
|
9,393.5
|
8,030.2
|
6,467.7
|
4,558.7
|
3,057.5
|
1,700.1
|
1,580.0
|
77,471.2
|
|
1998
|
6,172.0
|
7,922.8
|
8,980.5
|
9,561.0
|
10,400.6
|
9,665.6
|
8,187.0
|
6,783.6
|
4,812.7
|
3,188.0
|
1,670.1
|
1,548.1
|
78,891.8
|
|
1999
|
6,361.4
|
8,133.8
|
8,916.8
|
9,465.7
|
10,590.9
|
9,866.2
|
8,470.4
|
7,140.3
|
5,029.1
|
3,274.6
|
1,686.4
|
1,683.2
|
80,618.6
|
|
2000
|
6,367.8
|
8,451.6
|
8,793.7
|
9,376.5
|
10,573.0
|
10,107.6
|
8,716.5
|
7,527.6
|
5,173.0
|
3,444.2
|
1,785.8
|
1,714.8
|
82,032.0
|
|
2001
|
6,051.9
|
8,556.0
|
8,486.7
|
9,385.2
|
10,451.5
|
10,173.7
|
8,887.2
|
7,746.4
|
5,323.7
|
3,605.9
|
1,781.5
|
1,770.3
|
82,220.1
|
|
2002
|
5,680.9
|
8,699.7
|
8,374.8
|
9,268.8
|
10,170.9
|
10,132.3
|
8,925.0
|
7,747.3
|
5,615.3
|
3,663.3
|
1,879.9
|
1,682.5
|
81,840.6
|
|
2003
|
5,315.6
|
8,723.7
|
8,476.4
|
9,143.4
|
9,897.2
|
10,101.2
|
8,996.1
|
7,763.8
|
5,743.4
|
3,798.5
|
1,903.4
|
1,817.8
|
81,680.5
|
|
2004
|
5,481.4
|
8,982.4
|
8,719.4
|
8,999.2
|
9,709.1
|
10,203.8
|
9,183.2
|
7,968.0
|
6,088.3
|
3,931.8
|
1,967.0
|
1,899.9
|
83,133.4
|
|
2005
|
5,659.5
|
9,055.1
|
8,921.7
|
8,822.1
|
9,608.5
|
10,260.3
|
9,359.8
|
8,157.6
|
6,351.3
|
4,133.1
|
2,014.5
|
2,069.0
|
84,412.7
|
|
2006
|
5,943.4
|
9,054.9
|
9,221.4
|
8,630.4
|
9,590.6
|
10,193.5
|
9,512.7
|
8,376.5
|
6,606.1
|
4,353.3
|
2,074.1
|
2,081.6
|
85,638.6
|
|
2007
|
6,133.3
|
9,044.8
|
9,480.4
|
8,489.2
|
9,569.4
|
10,033.5
|
9,621.7
|
8,592.3
|
6,730.5
|
4,636.4
|
2,161.8
|
1,927.1
|
86,420.3
|
|
2008
|
6,238.9
|
9,030.0
|
9,628.7
|
8,517.8
|
9,521.2
|
9,845.6
|
9,690.2
|
8,786.5
|
6,831.4
|
4,933.1
|
2,278.9
|
1,974.6
|
87,276.9
|
|
2009
|
6,271.9
|
9,090.3
|
9,687.6
|
8,650.4
|
9,403.7
|
9,644.8
|
9,735.7
|
8,951.4
|
6,980.5
|
5,162.2
|
2,395.4
|
2,067.9
|
88,041.7
|
|
2010
|
6,241.1
|
9,204.8
|
9,675.9
|
8,861.1
|
9,210.2
|
9,499.2
|
9,762.4
|
9,103.9
|
7,152.8
|
5,410.5
|
2,491.2
|
2,159.5
|
88,772.7
|
|
2011
|
6,196.6
|
9,333.5
|
9,623.5
|
9,098.8
|
8,982.1
|
9,470.8
|
9,705.9
|
9,238.2
|
7,324.0
|
5,619.8
|
2,596.2
|
2,227.5
|
89,416.8
|
|
2012
|
6,157.2
|
9,453.7
|
9,567.9
|
9,307.8
|
8,812.8
|
9,446.9
|
9,566.9
|
9,333.5
|
7,500.7
|
5,727.2
|
2,741.4
|
2,258.4
|
89,874.4
|
|
2013
|
6,116.1
|
9,541.1
|
9,555.6
|
9,456.6
|
8,842.4
|
9,401.2
|
9,387.1
|
9,391.4
|
7,656.3
|
5,777.1
|
2,905.5
|
2,326.6
|
90,357.1
|
|
2014
|
6,062.4
|
9,570.1
|
9,640.6
|
9,533.7
|
8,996.5
|
9,306.0
|
9,210.2
|
9,430.5
|
7,771.1
|
5,842.2
|
3,051.6
|
2,436.1
|
90,851.1
|
|
Female
|
|||||||||||||
|
1980
|
5,785.0
|
8,480.4
|
7,227.3
|
6,012.3
|
4,636.5
|
3,847.0
|
3,390.4
|
3,270.7
|
2,940.8
|
1,981.3
|
886.1
|
534.1
|
48,991.8
|
|
1985
|
5,166.5
|
8,341.0
|
8,187.2
|
7,166.5
|
6,391.3
|
4,938.2
|
3,896.5
|
3,267.0
|
2,954.3
|
2,247.4
|
914.0
|
614.4
|
54,084.3
|
|
1990
|
5,219.9
|
7,928.8
|
8,574.2
|
8,450.0
|
7,795.5
|
7,011.7
|
5,146.2
|
3,883.6
|
3,073.6
|
2,310.0
|
1,161.5
|
787.8
|
61,342.9
|
|
1995
|
5,231.3
|
7,395.5
|
7,984.9
|
8,546.8
|
8,648.3
|
7,951.5
|
6,963.7
|
4,890.7
|
3,465.5
|
2,305.4
|
1,223.2
|
949.0
|
65,555.9
|
|
1996
|
5,401.9
|
7,330.5
|
8,090.1
|
8,436.7
|
8,807.3
|
8,226.6
|
7,233.5
|
5,230.9
|
3,617.9
|
2,336.1
|
1,237.9
|
984.9
|
66,934.2
|
|
1997
|
5,645.2
|
7,413.2
|
8,271.8
|
8,346.4
|
8,895.3
|
8,451.0
|
7,446.7
|
5,763.1
|
3,913.6
|
2,467.7
|
1,213.1
|
980.6
|
68,807.7
|
|
1998
|
6,043.7
|
7,565.5
|
8,308.5
|
8,180.5
|
8,880.5
|
8,664.9
|
7,674.9
|
6,014.6
|
4,184.7
|
2,505.1
|
1,209.5
|
1,021.8
|
70,254.3
|
|
1999
|
6,054.2
|
7,728.9
|
8,146.5
|
8,123.9
|
8,995.2
|
8,778.0
|
7,912.0
|
6,360.8
|
4,357.1
|
2,551.7
|
1,228.1
|
1,101.7
|
71,338.0
|
|
2000
|
6,124.9
|
7,939.7
|
8,071.8
|
8,006.7
|
8,991.9
|
9,007.7
|
8,130.8
|
6,723.9
|
4,509.0
|
2,702.3
|
1,313.3
|
1,178.2
|
72,700.3
|
|
2001
|
5,822.2
|
8,116.9
|
7,735.0
|
7,987.1
|
8,897.7
|
9,022.8
|
8,232.5
|
6,936.7
|
4,662.5
|
2,941.8
|
1,346.0
|
1,209.0
|
72,910.0
|
|
2002
|
5,567.4
|
8,170.9
|
7,593.3
|
7,885.8
|
8,565.0
|
8,977.6
|
8,287.5
|
6,927.6
|
5,009.3
|
3,047.3
|
1,374.5
|
1,241.1
|
72,647.4
|
|
2003
|
5,299.8
|
8,139.3
|
7,604.0
|
7,749.7
|
8,237.0
|
8,927.6
|
8,397.8
|
7,050.8
|
5,303.0
|
3,245.4
|
1,506.9
|
1,328.8
|
72,790.3
|
|
2004
|
5,274.5
|
8,238.1
|
7,660.1
|
7,642.5
|
8,039.0
|
8,860.4
|
8,478.5
|
7,240.3
|
5,545.4
|
3,392.8
|
1,609.8
|
1,407.5
|
73,389.0
|
|
2005
|
5,380.6
|
8,202.3
|
7,908.7
|
7,591.7
|
7,960.7
|
8,894.7
|
8,623.6
|
7,423.4
|
5,754.8
|
3,528.6
|
1,674.3
|
1,361.9
|
74,305.2
|
|
2006
|
5,648.1
|
8,274.7
|
8,255.2
|
7,406.8
|
7,995.3
|
8,804.2
|
8,697.0
|
7,561.4
|
5,939.0
|
3,592.2
|
1,781.7
|
1,323.5
|
75,279.0
|
|
2007
|
5,822.7
|
8,375.5
|
8,553.2
|
7,215.1
|
8,036.8
|
8,622.3
|
8,717.9
|
7,701.6
|
6,058.6
|
3,753.0
|
1,894.4
|
1,283.8
|
76,034.9
|
|
2008
|
5,919.3
|
8,475.6
|
8,646.6
|
7,172.9
|
8,016.6
|
8,420.5
|
8,732.6
|
7,884.0
|
6,147.4
|
3,842.4
|
2,039.0
|
1,337.0
|
76,633.9
|
|
2009
|
5,952.2
|
8,640.8
|
8,663.0
|
7,247.7
|
7,961.7
|
8,223.5
|
8,749.4
|
8,030.7
|
6,281.3
|
3,998.5
|
2,147.3
|
1,402.6
|
77,298.6
|
|
2010
|
5,926.0
|
8,809.9
|
8,653.3
|
7,459.6
|
7,835.4
|
8,095.3
|
8,749.4
|
8,135.2
|
6,440.1
|
4,130.2
|
2,223.6
|
1,485.9
|
77,944.0
|
|
2011
|
5,884.4
|
8,949.4
|
8,642.1
|
7,764.2
|
7,641.3
|
8,107.6
|
8,671.1
|
8,214.4
|
6,594.7
|
4,282.0
|
2,275.3
|
1,530.1
|
78,556.6
|
|
2012
|
5,842.6
|
9,067.6
|
8,685.5
|
8,013.8
|
7,444.4
|
8,127.5
|
8,499.6
|
8,254.1
|
6,740.1
|
4,366.5
|
2,371.9
|
1,582.9
|
78,996.5
|
|
2013
|
5,801.0
|
9,156.1
|
8,794.7
|
8,158.0
|
7,402.6
|
8,126.3
|
8,309.1
|
8,265.9
|
6,868.1
|
4,431.1
|
2,458.0
|
1,676.9
|
79,447.8
|
|
2014
|
5,754.3
|
9,194.0
|
8,961.1
|
8,219.8
|
7,514.3
|
8,084.3
|
8,144.0
|
8,287.3
|
6,968.6
|
4,520.6
|
2,565.0
|
1,747.7
|
79,961.0
|
| 1A covered worker is any worker who has earnings creditable, for Social Security purposes, for wages in covered employment or covered self-employment. |
Sources:
Note: Future estimates based on 2005 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.