2025 OASDI Trustees Report

 

The following table presents the plot points for Figure V.C4 — DI Disability Termination Rates, 1970-2100 [Terminations per thousand disable-worker beneficiaries].

 

Historical rates

Calendar year	Gross rates	Age-sex-adjusted rates
1970	92.51	90.17
1971	88.42	86.19
1972	80.53	78.50
1973	83.41	81.30
1974	74.86	72.97
1975	73.47	71.62
1976	72.58	70.91
1977	74.53	74.36
1978	81.78	86.03
1979	81.23	86.03
1980	77.31	81.14
1981	87.94	95.91
1982	105.59	120.95
1983	97.69	110.58
1984	72.13	72.75
1985	59.94	57.48
1986	57.95	54.74
1987	63.08	60.51
1988	64.36	62.51
1989	59.19	56.37
1990	57.34	55.32
1991	55.77	54.04
1992	54.58	52.89
1993	53.17	51.79
1994	52.78	51.52
1995	53.15	51.82
1996	50.12	49.18
1997	57.82	56.67
1998	45.51	45.30
1999	46.32	46.19
2000	48.04	48.04
2001	45.04	45.17
2002	45.26	45.50
2003	42.44	42.49
2004	41.61	41.53
2005	42.97	42.90
2006	40.02	40.14
2007	38.17	38.08
2008	38.40	38.18
2009	36.90	36.58
2010	36.92	36.82
2011	35.94	35.82
2012	36.34	36.24
2013	34.50	34.27
2014	36.54	36.99
2015	38.01	39.08
2016	39.06	40.80
2017	41.14	43.63
2018	42.10	45.41
2019	40.78	43.66
2020	41.30	42.28
2021	45.72	47.78
2022	44.96	48.14
2023	43.84	47.77
2024	41.54	44.10

 

Projected rates

Calendar year	Gross rates			Age-sex-adjusted rates
	I	II	III	I	II	III
2025	38.81	37.58	36.28	40.42	38.79	37.09
2026	38.55	36.80	34.92	39.91	37.71	35.39
2027	38.91	36.66	34.22	40.33	37.59	34.67
2028	39.20	36.55	33.62	40.66	37.50	34.11
2029	40.38	37.19	33.66	42.28	38.51	34.46
2030	40.77	37.13	33.10	42.82	38.59	34.02
2031	39.41	35.64	31.43	40.84	36.60	31.97
2032	38.33	34.40	29.97	39.33	35.03	30.28
2033	38.24	34.02	29.24	39.16	34.60	29.54
2034	38.10	33.60	28.49	38.94	34.13	28.77
2035	37.99	33.25	27.92	38.86	33.82	28.26
2036	37.90	32.90	27.35	38.81	33.50	27.75
2037	37.84	32.58	26.83	38.81	33.25	27.31
2038	37.80	32.27	26.33	38.84	33.01	26.88
2039	37.75	31.98	25.85	38.86	32.78	26.48
2040	37.70	31.69	25.38	38.88	32.57	26.11
2041	37.64	31.41	24.93	38.90	32.35	25.74
2042	37.57	31.12	24.49	38.91	32.13	25.39
2043	37.50	30.85	24.06	38.91	31.94	25.05
2044	37.43	30.57	23.64	38.93	31.74	24.74
2045	37.31	30.29	23.25	38.84	31.50	24.39
2046	37.18	30.03	22.87	38.74	31.26	24.05
2047	37.06	29.75	22.50	38.66	31.02	23.72
2048	36.94	29.49	22.15	38.56	30.80	23.41
2049	36.82	29.24	21.81	38.48	30.58	23.10
2050	36.70	28.99	21.48	38.38	30.36	22.81
2051	36.58	28.75	21.16	38.29	30.16	22.53
2052	36.47	28.52	20.85	38.20	29.95	22.26
2053	36.36	28.29	20.54	38.11	29.75	21.99
2054	36.25	28.06	20.25	38.02	29.56	21.74
2055	36.14	27.84	19.96	37.92	29.36	21.49
2056	36.04	27.62	19.68	37.83	29.17	21.24
2057	35.94	27.40	19.40	37.75	28.99	21.01
2058	35.84	27.20	19.14	37.67	28.82	20.78
2059	35.74	26.99	18.89	37.58	28.63	20.56
2060	35.65	26.80	18.64	37.50	28.46	20.35
2061	35.56	26.60	18.39	37.41	28.29	20.13
2062	35.47	26.41	18.15	37.33	28.12	19.92
2063	35.39	26.22	17.91	37.25	27.95	19.72
2064	35.31	26.03	17.69	37.16	27.78	19.53
2065	35.22	25.86	17.46	37.08	27.62	19.34
2066	35.15	25.68	17.25	37.00	27.46	19.15
2067	35.08	25.52	17.04	36.92	27.31	18.97
2068	35.01	25.35	16.84	36.84	27.15	18.79
2069	34.95	25.19	16.64	36.76	26.99	18.61
2070	34.89	25.03	16.44	36.69	26.84	18.44
2071	34.83	24.88	16.25	36.61	26.69	18.27
2072	34.77	24.72	16.08	36.53	26.54	18.12
2073	34.70	24.57	15.90	36.44	26.39	17.95
2074	34.65	24.43	15.73	36.36	26.25	17.80
2075	34.59	24.29	15.57	36.28	26.10	17.64
2076	34.53	24.16	15.41	36.20	25.96	17.49
2077	34.46	24.02	15.26	36.12	25.82	17.34
2078	34.39	23.87	15.10	36.04	25.67	17.19
2079	34.31	23.73	14.95	35.95	25.54	17.05
2080	34.23	23.59	14.80	35.88	25.40	16.91
2081	34.15	23.44	14.66	35.80	25.26	16.77
2082	34.06	23.30	14.52	35.72	25.13	16.64
2083	33.97	23.16	14.39	35.64	25.00	16.51
2084	33.88	23.02	14.26	35.56	24.87	16.38
2085	33.78	22.88	14.13	35.48	24.74	16.25
2086	33.69	22.73	14.00	35.41	24.61	16.14
2087	33.59	22.58	13.87	35.33	24.48	16.01
2088	33.49	22.44	13.74	35.26	24.35	15.90
2089	33.39	22.29	13.61	35.18	24.23	15.78
2090	33.29	22.14	13.49	35.10	24.11	15.67
2091	33.19	22.00	13.36	35.03	23.99	15.56
2092	33.10	21.85	13.24	34.96	23.87	15.44
2093	33.00	21.71	13.12	34.88	23.75	15.34
2094	32.91	21.57	13.00	34.81	23.63	15.23
2095	32.83	21.43	12.88	34.74	23.52	15.13
2096	32.75	21.30	12.77	34.67	23.41	15.03
2097	32.67	21.17	12.65	34.60	23.29	14.93
2098	32.59	21.04	12.54	34.52	23.18	14.84
2099	32.51	20.91	12.43	34.45	23.07	14.74
2100	32.44	20.79	12.31	34.38	22.96	14.64

 

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