2026 OASDI Trustees Report

 

The following table presents the plot points for Figure V.C4 — DI Disability Termination Rates, 1970-2100 [Terminations per thousand disable-worker beneficiaries].

 

Historical rates

Calendar year	Gross rates	Age-sex-adjusted rates
1970	92.51	90.17
1971	88.42	86.19
1972	80.53	78.50
1973	83.41	81.30
1974	74.86	72.97
1975	73.47	71.62
1976	72.58	70.91
1977	74.53	74.36
1978	81.78	86.03
1979	81.23	86.03
1980	77.31	81.14
1981	87.94	95.91
1982	105.59	120.95
1983	97.69	110.58
1984	72.13	72.75
1985	59.94	57.48
1986	57.95	54.74
1987	63.08	60.51
1988	64.36	62.51
1989	59.19	56.37
1990	57.34	55.32
1991	55.77	54.04
1992	54.58	52.89
1993	53.17	51.79
1994	52.78	51.52
1995	53.15	51.82
1996	50.12	49.18
1997	57.82	56.67
1998	45.51	45.30
1999	46.32	46.19
2000	48.04	48.04
2001	45.04	45.17
2002	45.26	45.50
2003	42.44	42.49
2004	41.61	41.53
2005	42.97	42.90
2006	40.02	40.14
2007	38.17	38.08
2008	38.40	38.18
2009	36.90	36.58
2010	36.92	36.82
2011	35.94	35.82
2012	36.34	36.24
2013	34.50	34.27
2014	36.54	36.99
2015	38.01	39.08
2016	39.06	40.80
2017	41.14	43.63
2018	42.10	45.41
2019	40.78	43.66
2020	41.30	42.28
2021	45.72	47.78
2022	44.96	48.14
2023	43.84	47.77
2024	41.54	44.10
2025	42.09	44.95

 

Projected rates

Calendar year	Gross rates			Age-sex-adjusted rates
	I	II	III	I	II	III
2026	41.14	39.74	38.40	43.48	41.60	39.76
2027	40.38	38.42	36.55	42.34	39.83	37.41
2028	38.71	36.45	34.34	39.56	36.87	34.32
2029	38.31	35.66	33.21	39.00	35.97	33.12
2030	41.42	37.92	34.65	43.59	39.49	35.62
2031	40.00	36.27	32.81	41.58	37.35	33.38
2032	39.04	35.08	31.43	40.19	35.82	31.76
2033	39.02	34.72	30.76	40.11	35.43	31.09
2034	38.91	34.28	30.03	39.95	34.97	30.37
2035	38.77	33.81	29.29	39.76	34.49	29.63
2036	38.72	33.55	28.78	39.74	34.27	29.18
2037	38.67	33.24	28.24	39.73	34.00	28.70
2038	38.61	32.95	27.71	39.73	33.77	28.24
2039	38.56	32.66	27.22	39.73	33.54	27.81
2040	38.50	32.38	26.74	39.72	33.33	27.40
2041	38.45	32.10	26.28	39.74	33.12	27.02
2042	38.39	31.83	25.83	39.75	32.93	26.65
2043	38.32	31.55	25.39	39.74	32.72	26.29
2044	38.25	31.29	24.98	39.76	32.55	25.97
2045	38.19	31.04	24.57	39.76	32.38	25.65
2046	38.08	30.76	24.16	39.68	32.14	25.28
2047	37.95	30.48	23.77	39.58	31.89	24.93
2048	37.82	30.20	23.38	39.48	31.64	24.58
2049	37.68	29.93	23.02	39.37	31.40	24.25
2050	37.55	29.67	22.66	39.26	31.18	23.93
2051	37.43	29.43	22.32	39.15	30.96	23.63
2052	37.31	29.18	21.99	39.05	30.74	23.33
2053	37.20	28.94	21.66	38.95	30.53	23.05
2054	37.08	28.70	21.35	38.85	30.33	22.77
2055	36.97	28.47	21.04	38.75	30.12	22.50
2056	36.86	28.24	20.74	38.66	29.93	22.24
2057	36.75	28.02	20.44	38.56	29.75	21.99
2058	36.63	27.79	20.15	38.47	29.55	21.74
2059	36.53	27.59	19.87	38.38	29.37	21.51
2060	36.43	27.37	19.60	38.30	29.19	21.28
2061	36.32	27.16	19.33	38.20	29.01	21.05
2062	36.23	26.95	19.07	38.12	28.84	20.84
2063	36.13	26.76	18.81	38.03	28.67	20.62
2064	36.04	26.56	18.56	37.95	28.50	20.41
2065	35.96	26.37	18.31	37.87	28.34	20.21
2066	35.88	26.18	18.08	37.78	28.17	20.01
2067	35.81	26.01	17.85	37.70	28.01	19.82
2068	35.75	25.83	17.62	37.63	27.86	19.63
2069	35.67	25.66	17.41	37.54	27.70	19.44
2070	35.61	25.49	17.19	37.47	27.54	19.26
2071	35.54	25.33	16.99	37.38	27.39	19.09
2072	35.47	25.17	16.78	37.30	27.24	18.91
2073	35.41	25.01	16.58	37.22	27.09	18.74
2074	35.35	24.86	16.40	37.14	26.94	18.57
2075	35.29	24.71	16.22	37.06	26.79	18.42
2076	35.23	24.56	16.04	36.98	26.65	18.25
2077	35.17	24.42	15.87	36.89	26.50	18.10
2078	35.10	24.28	15.70	36.82	26.37	17.95
2079	35.04	24.14	15.53	36.74	26.22	17.79
2080	34.98	24.00	15.37	36.67	26.08	17.65
2081	34.90	23.86	15.22	36.59	25.94	17.51
2082	34.83	23.72	15.06	36.51	25.80	17.36
2083	34.74	23.58	14.92	36.43	25.67	17.23
2084	34.65	23.45	14.78	36.35	25.54	17.09
2085	34.56	23.31	14.64	36.27	25.41	16.96
2086	34.47	23.17	14.51	36.19	25.28	16.83
2087	34.37	23.03	14.38	36.11	25.15	16.70
2088	34.27	22.88	14.25	36.04	25.02	16.58
2089	34.17	22.74	14.12	35.96	24.89	16.45
2090	34.07	22.61	13.99	35.89	24.77	16.33
2091	33.97	22.46	13.87	35.81	24.65	16.21
2092	33.87	22.32	13.76	35.74	24.53	16.10
2093	33.77	22.18	13.64	35.66	24.40	15.99
2094	33.68	22.04	13.52	35.59	24.29	15.88
2095	33.59	21.90	13.40	35.51	24.17	15.77
2096	33.50	21.76	13.28	35.44	24.06	15.66
2097	33.41	21.62	13.16	35.37	23.94	15.56
2098	33.33	21.49	13.04	35.30	23.83	15.45
2099	33.25	21.36	12.92	35.23	23.72	15.35
2100	33.18	21.23	12.80	35.16	23.61	15.25

 

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