Proposed Provision: F3. Expand covered earnings to include employer and employee premiums for employer-sponsored group health insurance (ESI). Starting in 2021, phase out the OASDI payroll tax exclusion for ESI premiums. Set an exclusion level at the 75th percentile of premium distribution in 2021, with amounts above that subject to the payroll tax. Reduce the exclusion level each year by 10 percent of the 2021 exclusion level until fully eliminated in 2031. Eliminate the excise tax on ESI premiums starting in 2021.

OASDI Trust Fund Ratio
(assets as a percentage of annual expenditures)

Year Current Law Provision
2017298298
2018287287
2019273273
2020259259
2021245245
2022230231
2023215218
2024199205
2025182192
2026165180
2027148168
2028130157
2029112147
203094138
203175129
203256119
203337110
20341699
2035-488
2036-2677
2037-4765
2038-7054
2039-9242
2040-11530
2041-13818
2042-1616
2043-184-7
2044-207-19
2045-230-31
2046-253-43
2047-276-55
2048-300-68
2049-323-80
2050-346-93
2051-370-106
2052-393-119
2053-417-132
2054-440-145
2055-464-159
2056-487-173
2057-511-187
2058-536-202
2059-560-218
2060-585-233
2061-611-250
2062-637-266
2063-663-283
2064-690-301
2065-717-319
2066-745-337
2067-772-356
2068-801-376
2069-829-395
2070-858-415
2071-888-436
2072-918-457
2073-949-479
2074-981-501
2075-1014-524
2076-1047-547
2077-1082-571
2078-1117-596
2079-1153-620
2080-1190-646
2081-1227-671
2082-1264-696
2083-1300-722
2084-1337-747
2085-1374-772
2086-1410-797
2087-1446-822
2088-1483-848
2089-1520-873
2090-1557-899
2091-1595-925
2092-1633-951
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