Description of Proposed Provision:
E3.1: Increase the taxable maximum such that 90 percent of earnings would be subject to the payroll tax (phased in 2018-2027). Provide benefit credit for earnings up to the revised taxable maximum.

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

  Proposal   Change from Current Law
  Expressed as a percentage of
current-law taxable payroll

Trust fund
ratio as of
January 1
Expressed as a percentage of
current-law taxable payroll
Calendar
year
Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance
201713.4113.03-0.38
298
0.000.000.00
201813.4913.07-0.42
287
0.000.140.14
201913.7013.22-0.48
274
-0.000.270.27
202013.8513.36-0.49
261
-0.000.400.40
202114.0213.50-0.52
250
-0.000.510.51
202214.2613.63-0.62
239
0.000.610.61
202314.5513.75-0.80
227
0.000.700.70
202414.8313.87-0.96
216
0.000.790.78
202515.1013.97-1.13
204
0.010.870.86
202615.3814.08-1.30
192
0.010.950.94
202715.6314.17-1.46
179
0.011.021.01
202815.8714.19-1.68
167
0.021.021.01
202916.0914.21-1.88
155
0.021.021.00
203016.2914.22-2.07
143
0.031.031.00
203116.4814.24-2.25
130
0.031.030.99
203216.6514.25-2.40
117
0.041.030.99
203316.7914.26-2.53
103
0.051.030.98
203416.9014.27-2.64
89
0.061.030.98
203516.9914.27-2.72
74
0.061.030.97
203617.0614.28-2.78
59
0.071.040.96
203717.1014.28-2.82
44
0.081.040.96
203817.1114.29-2.82
28
0.091.040.95
203917.1014.29-2.81
12
0.101.040.94
204017.0714.29-2.78
----
0.111.040.93
204117.0314.29-2.74
----
0.121.040.93
204216.9914.29-2.70
----
0.121.040.92
204316.9414.29-2.65
----
0.131.050.91
204416.9014.29-2.62
----
0.141.050.90
204516.8714.29-2.59
----
0.151.050.89
204616.8414.29-2.56
----
0.161.050.89
204716.8214.29-2.53
----
0.171.050.88
204816.8014.29-2.51
----
0.181.050.87
204916.7814.29-2.50
----
0.201.050.86
205016.7714.29-2.48
----
0.211.060.85
205116.7714.29-2.48
----
0.221.060.84
205216.7814.29-2.49
----
0.231.060.83
205316.8114.30-2.51
----
0.241.060.82
205416.8414.30-2.54
----
0.251.060.81
205516.8814.30-2.58
----
0.261.070.80
205616.9314.31-2.62
----
0.271.070.79
205716.9814.31-2.67
----
0.291.070.78
205817.0414.32-2.72
----
0.301.070.77
205917.0914.32-2.77
----
0.311.070.76
206017.1514.33-2.82
----
0.321.070.76
206117.2114.33-2.87
----
0.331.080.75
206217.2614.34-2.93
----
0.341.080.74
206317.3214.34-2.98
----
0.351.080.73
206417.3814.35-3.03
----
0.361.080.72
206517.4414.35-3.08
----
0.371.080.71
206617.5014.36-3.14
----
0.381.090.71
206717.5614.36-3.19
----
0.391.090.70
206817.6214.37-3.25
----
0.401.090.69
206917.6814.37-3.31
----
0.411.090.69
207017.7414.38-3.36
----
0.411.090.68
207117.7914.38-3.41
----
0.421.100.67
207217.8414.39-3.45
----
0.431.100.67
207317.8814.39-3.49
----
0.431.100.67
207417.9214.39-3.52
----
0.441.100.66
207517.9514.40-3.55
----
0.441.100.66
207617.9714.40-3.57
----
0.451.100.65
207717.9814.40-3.57
----
0.451.100.65
207817.9814.40-3.57
----
0.451.100.65
207917.9714.40-3.57
----
0.461.110.65
208017.9714.40-3.57
----
0.461.110.65
208117.9714.40-3.56
----
0.461.110.65
208217.9714.41-3.56
----
0.461.110.65
208317.9814.41-3.57
----
0.461.110.64
208417.9914.41-3.59
----
0.471.110.64
208518.0214.41-3.61
----
0.471.110.64
208618.0514.41-3.64
----
0.471.110.64
208718.0914.42-3.67
----
0.471.110.64
208818.1314.42-3.71
----
0.471.110.64
208918.1814.42-3.75
----
0.481.110.64
209018.2314.43-3.80
----
0.481.120.64
209118.2814.43-3.85
----
0.481.120.64
209218.3214.43-3.89
----
0.481.120.63


Summarized Estimates

  Proposal   Change from Current Law
Years Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance

Year of reserve
depletion
1

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance
2017-2091 16.88% 14.82% -2.06%
2039
0.22% 0.98% 0.77%

1 Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2034.
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2017 Trustees Report.