Description of Proposed Provision:
E3.13: Beginning in 2025, apply 2 percent payroll tax rate on earnings over the wage-indexed equivalent of $400,000 in 2017 (about $548,700 in 2025), with the threshold wage-indexed after 2025. Do not provide benefit credit for additional earnings taxed.

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

  Proposal   Change from Current Law
  Expressed as a percentage of
current-law taxable payroll

Trust fund
ratio as of
January 1
Expressed as a percentage of
current-law taxable payroll
Calendar
year
Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance
201713.4113.03-0.38
298
0.000.000.00
201813.4912.93-0.56
287
0.000.000.00
201913.7012.95-0.75
273
0.000.000.00
202013.8512.96-0.89
259
0.000.000.00
202114.0212.99-1.03
245
0.000.000.00
202214.2613.02-1.23
230
0.000.000.00
202314.5413.05-1.50
215
0.000.000.00
202414.8313.08-1.74
199
0.000.000.00
202515.1013.26-1.84
182
0.000.160.16
202615.3713.30-2.07
166
-0.000.170.17
202715.6213.32-2.30
150
-0.000.170.17
202815.8513.33-2.52
133
-0.000.170.17
202916.0713.35-2.72
116
-0.000.170.17
203016.2713.36-2.90
99
-0.000.170.17
203116.4513.38-3.07
81
-0.000.170.17
203216.6113.39-3.22
63
-0.000.170.17
203316.7413.40-3.34
45
-0.000.170.17
203416.8513.40-3.45
26
-0.000.170.17
203516.9313.41-3.52
6
-0.000.170.17
203616.9913.41-3.57
----
-0.000.170.17
203717.0213.42-3.60
----
-0.000.170.17
203817.0213.42-3.60
----
-0.000.170.17
203917.0013.42-3.58
----
-0.000.170.17
204016.9613.42-3.54
----
-0.000.170.17
204116.9113.41-3.50
----
-0.000.170.17
204216.8613.41-3.45
----
-0.000.170.17
204316.8013.41-3.40
----
-0.000.170.17
204416.7613.41-3.35
----
-0.000.170.17
204516.7213.41-3.31
----
-0.000.170.17
204616.6813.40-3.27
----
-0.000.170.17
204716.6413.40-3.24
----
-0.000.170.17
204816.6113.40-3.21
----
-0.000.170.17
204916.5913.40-3.19
----
-0.000.170.17
205016.5613.40-3.16
----
-0.000.170.17
205116.5513.40-3.15
----
-0.000.170.17
205216.5513.40-3.15
----
-0.000.170.17
205316.5713.40-3.16
----
-0.000.170.17
205416.5913.40-3.18
----
-0.000.170.17
205516.6213.41-3.21
----
-0.000.170.17
205616.6513.41-3.24
----
-0.000.170.17
205716.6913.41-3.28
----
-0.000.170.17
205816.7413.42-3.32
----
-0.000.170.17
205916.7813.42-3.36
----
-0.000.170.17
206016.8213.42-3.40
----
-0.000.170.17
206116.8713.43-3.44
----
-0.000.170.17
206216.9213.43-3.49
----
-0.000.170.17
206316.9713.43-3.53
----
-0.000.170.17
206417.0113.44-3.58
----
-0.010.170.18
206517.0613.44-3.62
----
-0.010.170.18
206617.1113.44-3.67
----
-0.010.170.18
206717.1613.45-3.72
----
-0.010.170.18
206817.2213.45-3.77
----
-0.010.170.18
206917.2713.45-3.82
----
-0.010.170.18
207017.3213.46-3.86
----
-0.010.170.18
207117.3713.46-3.91
----
-0.010.170.18
207217.4113.46-3.95
----
-0.010.170.18
207317.4413.46-3.98
----
-0.010.170.18
207417.4713.47-4.01
----
-0.010.170.18
207517.5013.47-4.03
----
-0.010.170.18
207617.5113.47-4.04
----
-0.010.170.18
207717.5213.47-4.05
----
-0.010.170.18
207817.5213.47-4.05
----
-0.010.170.18
207917.5113.47-4.04
----
-0.010.170.18
208017.5013.47-4.03
----
-0.010.170.18
208117.5013.47-4.03
----
-0.010.170.18
208217.5013.47-4.03
----
-0.010.170.18
208317.5113.47-4.04
----
-0.010.170.18
208417.5213.47-4.05
----
-0.010.170.18
208517.5413.47-4.07
----
-0.010.170.18
208617.5713.47-4.10
----
-0.010.170.18
208717.6113.48-4.13
----
-0.010.170.18
208817.6513.48-4.17
----
-0.010.170.18
208917.6913.48-4.21
----
-0.010.170.18
209017.7413.48-4.26
----
-0.010.170.18
209117.7913.49-4.30
----
-0.010.170.18
209217.8413.49-4.34
----
-0.010.170.18


Summarized Estimates

  Proposal   Change from Current Law
Years Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance

Year of reserve
depletion
1

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance
2017-2091 16.66% 13.99% -2.68%
2035
-0.00% 0.15% 0.15%

1 Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2034.
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2017 Trustees Report.