Description of Proposed Provision:
E3.11: Beginning in 2025, apply 2 percent payroll tax rate on earnings over the wage-indexed equivalent of $300,000 in 2017 (about $411,600 in 2025), with the threshold wage-indexed after 2025. Do not provide benefit credit for additional earnings taxed.

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

  Proposal   Change from Current Law
  Expressed as a percentage of
current-law taxable payroll

Trust fund
ratio as of
January 1
Expressed as a percentage of
current-law taxable payroll
Calendar
year
Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance
201713.4113.03-0.38
298
0.000.000.00
201813.4912.93-0.56
287
0.000.000.00
201913.7012.95-0.75
273
0.000.000.00
202013.8512.96-0.89
259
0.000.000.00
202114.0212.99-1.03
245
0.000.000.00
202214.2613.02-1.23
230
0.000.000.00
202314.5413.05-1.50
215
0.000.000.00
202414.8313.08-1.74
199
0.000.000.00
202515.1013.30-1.80
182
0.000.200.20
202615.3713.34-2.03
167
-0.000.210.21
202715.6213.36-2.26
150
-0.000.210.21
202815.8513.37-2.48
134
-0.000.210.21
202916.0713.39-2.68
117
-0.000.210.21
203016.2713.40-2.86
100
-0.000.210.21
203116.4513.42-3.03
83
-0.000.210.21
203216.6113.43-3.18
65
-0.000.210.21
203316.7413.44-3.30
47
-0.000.210.21
203416.8513.44-3.40
28
-0.000.210.21
203516.9313.45-3.48
8
-0.000.210.21
203616.9913.45-3.53
----
-0.000.210.21
203717.0213.46-3.56
----
-0.000.210.21
203817.0213.46-3.56
----
-0.000.210.21
203917.0013.46-3.54
----
-0.000.210.21
204016.9613.46-3.50
----
-0.000.210.21
204116.9113.45-3.46
----
-0.000.210.21
204216.8613.45-3.41
----
-0.000.210.21
204316.8013.45-3.35
----
-0.000.210.21
204416.7613.45-3.31
----
-0.000.210.21
204516.7213.45-3.27
----
-0.000.210.21
204616.6813.44-3.23
----
-0.000.210.21
204716.6413.44-3.20
----
-0.000.210.21
204816.6113.44-3.17
----
-0.000.210.21
204916.5913.44-3.14
----
-0.000.210.21
205016.5613.44-3.12
----
-0.000.210.21
205116.5513.44-3.11
----
-0.000.210.21
205216.5513.44-3.11
----
-0.000.210.21
205316.5613.44-3.12
----
-0.000.210.21
205416.5813.44-3.14
----
-0.000.210.21
205516.6113.45-3.17
----
-0.000.210.21
205616.6513.45-3.20
----
-0.000.210.21
205716.6913.45-3.24
----
-0.000.210.21
205816.7313.46-3.28
----
-0.010.210.21
205916.7813.46-3.32
----
-0.010.210.22
206016.8213.46-3.36
----
-0.010.210.22
206116.8713.47-3.40
----
-0.010.210.22
206216.9213.47-3.45
----
-0.010.210.22
206316.9613.47-3.49
----
-0.010.210.22
206417.0113.48-3.54
----
-0.010.210.22
206517.0613.48-3.58
----
-0.010.210.22
206617.1113.48-3.63
----
-0.010.210.22
206717.1613.49-3.68
----
-0.010.210.22
206817.2113.49-3.73
----
-0.010.210.22
206917.2713.49-3.78
----
-0.010.210.22
207017.3213.50-3.82
----
-0.010.210.22
207117.3613.50-3.87
----
-0.010.210.22
207217.4113.50-3.90
----
-0.010.210.22
207317.4413.50-3.94
----
-0.010.210.22
207417.4713.51-3.96
----
-0.010.210.22
207517.5013.51-3.99
----
-0.010.210.22
207617.5113.51-4.00
----
-0.010.210.22
207717.5213.51-4.01
----
-0.010.210.22
207817.5213.51-4.00
----
-0.010.210.22
207917.5113.51-4.00
----
-0.010.210.22
208017.5013.51-3.99
----
-0.010.210.22
208117.5013.51-3.99
----
-0.010.210.22
208217.5013.51-3.99
----
-0.010.210.22
208317.5013.51-3.99
----
-0.010.210.22
208417.5213.51-4.01
----
-0.010.210.22
208517.5413.51-4.03
----
-0.010.210.22
208617.5713.51-4.06
----
-0.010.210.22
208717.6113.52-4.09
----
-0.010.210.22
208817.6513.52-4.13
----
-0.010.210.22
208917.6913.52-4.17
----
-0.010.210.22
209017.7413.53-4.21
----
-0.010.210.22
209117.7913.53-4.26
----
-0.010.210.22
209217.8313.53-4.30
----
-0.010.210.22


Summarized Estimates

  Proposal   Change from Current Law
Years Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance

Year of reserve
depletion
1

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance
2017-2091 16.66% 14.02% -2.64%
2035
-0.00% 0.18% 0.19%

1 Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2034.
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2017 Trustees Report.