Proposed Provision: F3. Expand covered earnings to include employer and employee premiums for employer-sponsored group health insurance (ESI). Starting in 2024, phase out the OASDI payroll tax exclusion for ESI premiums. Set an exclusion level at the 75th percentile of premium distribution in 2024, with amounts above that subject to the payroll tax. Reduce the exclusion level each year by 10 percent of the 2024 exclusion level until fully eliminated in 2033.

OASDI Trust Fund Ratio
(assets as a percentage of annual expenditures)

Year Current Law Provision
2020261261
2021248248
2022233233
2023217217
2024200200
2025183184
2026165168
2027148154
2028130140
2029112127
203094115
203176104
20325894
20333984
20342076
2035167
2036-1958
2037-3849
2038-5939
2039-8030
2040-10120
2041-12210
2042-1440
2043-166-10
2044-188-21
2045-210-31
2046-232-41
2047-255-52
2048-277-62
2049-299-73
2050-322-83
2051-344-94
2052-367-105
2053-389-116
2054-412-128
2055-434-139
2056-457-151
2057-480-163
2058-504-176
2059-527-188
2060-551-202
2061-575-215
2062-599-230
2063-624-244
2064-650-259
2065-676-275
2066-702-291
2067-728-307
2068-755-324
2069-782-341
2070-809-359
2071-837-377
2072-866-396
2073-895-415
2074-925-435
2075-955-455
2076-986-476
2077-1018-497
2078-1051-519
2079-1084-541
2080-1119-564
2081-1154-587
2082-1190-610
2083-1226-634
2084-1263-658
2085-1300-682
2086-1337-706
2087-1374-730
2088-1411-753
2089-1448-777
2090-1484-800
2091-1520-823
2092-1554-845
2093-1589-867
2094-1623-889
2095-1657-911
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