Basic Plan 2--b
i.e., Without PAs--Unified Budget Effects
With Ultimate Real Trust Fund Interest Rate of: 3.0
Year
Contributions
to PRA by
Federal
Government
Based on
Earnings
Offset
to OASI
Benefit
from
PRA
Other
Changes
in OASDI
Cash Flow
Change in
Annual
Unified
Budget
Cash Flow
Change in
Debt Held
by Public
(End of Year)
Change in
Annual Unified
Budget Balance
(Billions of Constant 2001 Dollars)
2002
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2003
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2004
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2005
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2006
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2007
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2008
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2009
0.0
0.0
-4.2
-4.2
4.3
-4.3
2010
0.0
0.0
-4.0
-4.0
8.6
-4.4
2011
0.0
0.0
-3.6
-3.6
12.6
-4.2
2012
0.0
0.0
-2.9
-2.9
15.9
-3.7
2013
0.0
0.0
-1.8
-1.8
18.2
-2.9
2014
0.0
0.0
-0.4
-0.4
19.2
-1.5
2015
0.0
0.0
1.5
1.5
18.1
0.4
2016
0.0
0.0
3.9
3.9
14.7
2.9
2017
0.0
0.0
6.7
6.7
8.2
6.0
2018
0.0
0.0
9.9
9.9
-1.8
9.7
2019
0.0
0.0
13.7
13.7
-16.0
14.2
2020
0.0
0.0
17.8
17.8
-34.8
19.4
2021
0.0
0.0
22.4
22.4
-59.0
25.3
2022
0.0
0.0
27.5
27.5
-89.2
32.0
2023
0.0
0.0
33.0
33.0
-125.8
39.5
2024
0.0
0.0
38.9
38.9
-169.7
47.9
2025
0.0
0.0
45.2
45.2
-221.5
57.2
2026
0.0
0.0
51.9
51.9
-281.7
67.3
2027
0.0
0.0
59.0
59.0
-351.0
78.3
2028
0.0
0.0
66.5
66.5
-430.2
90.3
2029
0.0
0.0
74.2
74.2
-519.7
103.2
2030
0.0
0.0
82.3
82.3
-620.1
117.1
2031
0.0
0.0
90.7
90.7
-732.4
132.0
2032
0.0
0.0
99.5
99.5
-857.0
148.0
2033
0.0
0.0
108.6
108.6
-994.7
165.1
2034
0.0
0.0
117.8
117.8
-1,146.0
183.1
2035
0.0
0.0
127.0
127.0
-1,311.4
202.0
2036
0.0
0.0
136.5
136.5
-1,491.6
222.1
2037
0.0
0.0
146.3
146.3
-1,687.2
243.3
2038
0.0
0.0
156.3
156.3
-1,899.1
265.7
2039
0.0
0.0
166.6
166.6
-2,127.8
289.5
2040
0.0
0.0
177.1
177.1
-2,374.4
314.5
2041
0.0
0.0
188.1
188.1
-2,639.7
341.1
2042
0.0
0.0
199.6
199.6
-2,924.8
369.4
2043
0.0
0.0
211.5
211.5
-3,230.7
399.3
2044
0.0
0.0
223.8
223.8
-3,558.4
431.0
2045
0.0
0.0
236.5
236.5
-3,909.1
464.4
2046
0.0
0.0
249.6
249.6
-4,283.8
499.6
2047
0.0
0.0
263.1
263.1
-4,683.7
536.7
2048
0.0
0.0
276.9
276.9
-5,109.8
575.8
2049
0.0
0.0
291.2
291.2
-5,563.5
616.9
2050
0.0
0.0
305.8
305.8
-6,045.8
660.0
2051
0.0
0.0
320.8
320.8
-6,558.1
705.4
2052
0.0
0.0
336.3
336.3
-7,101.7
753.2
2053
0.0
0.0
352.3
352.3
-7,678.2
803.3
2054
0.0
0.0
368.5
368.5
-8,288.6
855.7
2055
0.0
0.0
385.0
385.0
-8,934.4
910.5
2056
0.0
0.0
402.0
402.0
-9,617.1
968.1
2057
0.0
0.0
419.4
419.4
-10,338.2
1,028.3
2058
0.0
0.0
436.9
436.9
-11,099.1
1,091.1
2059
0.0
0.0
454.5
454.5
-11,900.9
1,156.4
2060
0.0
0.0
472.3
472.3
-12,745.0
1,224.3
2061
0.0
0.0
490.3
490.3
-13,633.2
1,295.3
2062
0.0
0.0
508.5
508.5
-14,566.6
1,369.0
2063
0.0
0.0
526.6
526.6
-15,546.8
1,445.6
2064
0.0
0.0
545.2
545.2
-16,575.6
1,525.4
2065
0.0
0.0
563.9
563.9
-17,654.6
1,608.5
2066
0.0
0.0
583.0
583.0
-18,785.6
1,695.0
2067
0.0
0.0
602.6
602.6
-19,970.7
1,785.3
2068
0.0
0.0
622.4
622.4
-21,211.8
1,879.1
2069
0.0
0.0
642.5
642.5
-22,511.0
1,976.8
2070
0.0
0.0
663.1
663.1
-23,870.3
2,078.4
2071
0.0
0.0
684.3
684.3
-25,292.2
2,184.5
2072
0.0
0.0
705.7
705.7
-26,778.9
2,294.7
2073
0.0
0.0
727.6
727.6
-28,332.8
2,409.4
2074
0.0
0.0
749.9
749.9
-29,956.3
2,528.6
2075
0.0
0.0
772.3
772.3
-31,651.6
2,652.3
2076
0.0
0.0
794.9
794.9
-33,421.1
2,780.7
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2001 Trustees Report.
Office of the Actuary
Social Security Administration
January 29, 2002
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