You are here: Social Security Administration > Research, Statistics & Policy Analysis > Population Projection: American Indians and Alaska Natives (AIAN)
American Indians and Alaska Natives (AIAN) Aged 62 or Older a in 2030Methodology »
Released: January 2014
In 2030, we project that:
- Almost half of the AIAN population will be in fair or poor health.
- Sixteen percent of the AIAN population will receive Social Security disability benefits at some point.
- Over 50 percent of the AIAN population aged 62 to 67 will have some work limitation. b
- For the AIAN population, lifetime shared earnings and per capita monthly Social Security benefits will be lower than the total population across the distribution.
- The poverty rate for the AIAN population will be more than twice the poverty rate of all those 62 or older.
Percentage below 100 percent of poverty
a. We chose age 62 or older because it is the Social Security eligibility age.
b. The work limitation variable is only calculated for individuals aged 62 to 67.
SOURCE: Modeling Income in the Near Term, Version 5 (MINT5) microsimulation model using 2008 Trustees Report assumptions.