Short-Range Actuarial Projections
of the Old-Age, Survivors, and
Disability Insurance Program, 2005

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ACTUARIAL STUDY NO. 119
by Chris Motsiopoulos
and Richard B. Tucker

III.A13.—DI Disabled Worker Termination Rates Due to "Other" Reasons
("Other" terminations per thousand beneficiaries, by age and gender, calendar years 1980-2014)
Year
15-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39
40-44
45-49
50-54
55-59
60-64
65-NRA 1
Total
 
Male
1980
1.45
2.62
1.68
1.13
1.22
1.27
0.95
0.87
0.68
0.92
8.68
1.21
1985
5.87
2.20
1.54
1.17
1.05
1.22
1.00
.73
.68
1.44
8.91
1.38
1990
3.78
2.45
2.20
1.64
1.66
1.48
1.19
.94
.76
2.74
3.04
1.70
1995
1.91
2.50
1.43
1.17
.93
.82
.62
.49
.40
2.84
23.83
1.73
1996
4.06
2.54
1.36
1.11
.85
.69
.54
.50
.36
2.75
22.01
1.59
1997
.00
1.45
.74
.54
.39
.28
.29
.24
.26
2.79
23.17
1.38
1998
2.00
1.98
.96
.81
.43
.41
.32
.29
.29
2.51
24.54
1.39
1999
7.87
2.99
1.73
1.33
1.09
1.13
.98
.84
.58
2.81
24.20
1.87
2000
.00
1.69
2.45
1.60
1.62
1.54
1.41
1.19
.77
3.01
32.33
2.34
2001
.00
1.25
2.09
1.91
1.78
1.75
1.46
1.26
.94
2.87
26.56
2.26
2002
4.05
2.62
2.22
2.04
1.79
1.45
1.19
1.14
.73
2.75
28.35
2.15
2003
1.49
1.90
2.46
1.99
1.51
1.16
1.02
.83
.54
2.33
26.16
1.85
2004
3.54
1.78
1.91
1.65
1.46
1.27
1.06
.80
.62
2.28
25.33
1.82
2005
3.43
2.15
2.26
2.03
1.85
1.67
1.47
1.24
1.07
2.63
15.92
2.31
2006
3.63
2.35
2.46
2.23
2.05
1.87
1.68
1.44
1.27
2.79
15.61
2.59
2007
3.74
2.45
2.56
2.34
2.15
1.97
1.78
1.54
1.37
2.82
15.31
2.81
2008
4.73
3.45
3.56
3.34
3.15
2.97
2.78
2.54
2.37
3.86
15.24
3.86
2009
4.33
3.15
3.27
3.04
2.84
2.67
2.47
2.24
2.07
3.61
17.09
3.71
2010
5.88
4.65
4.77
4.54
4.34
4.17
3.98
3.74
3.57
5.11
16.94
5.10
2011
3.55
2.14
2.27
2.04
1.85
1.67
1.48
1.24
1.07
2.62
16.40
2.86
2012
3.62
2.14
2.27
2.03
1.85
1.67
1.48
1.24
1.07
2.61
16.58
2.96
2013
3.63
2.15
2.26
2.03
1.85
1.67
1.47
1.24
1.07
2.60
17.02
2.99
2014
3.63
2.15
2.26
2.03
1.85
1.67
1.47
1.23
1.07
2.59
16.91
3.00
 
Female
1980
.00
2.85
1.65
1.11
.81
.77
.57
.53
.49
.64
5.40
.83
1985
.00
2.94
1.38
.89
.89
.97
.68
.61
.53
.98
5.09
.98
1990
.00
3.11
1.87
2.00
1.64
1.41
.97
.86
.55
1.66
4.81
1.38
1995
3.17
1.21
1.54
1.03
.78
.55
.47
.38
.34
1.88
19.33
1.26
1996
6.30
1.34
1.27
.97
.72
.59
.46
.39
.35
1.75
17.41
1.15
1997
.00
.95
.55
.53
.36
.35
.21
.28
.23
1.64
17.41
.94
1998
.00
1.45
.63
.52
.42
.36
.33
.34
.31
1.72
19.96
1.03
1999
.00
2.01
1.74
1.32
1.17
1.11
.75
.49
.29
1.60
19.27
1.28
2000
2.87
.91
1.90
1.47
1.76
1.48
1.16
.65
.31
1.38
21.86
1.46
2001
2.33
1.81
2.09
2.08
1.61
1.40
1.11
.59
.37
1.40
21.62
1.45
2002
4.42
1.80
2.12
1.82
1.53
1.13
.98
.54
.35
1.43
23.39
1.42
2003
2.33
2.12
1.85
1.47
1.43
.95
.64
.44
.30
1.24
19.92
1.20
2004
2.73
1.81
2.02
1.54
1.42
.94
.75
.44
.30
1.17
16.49
1.13
2005
2.71
2.15
2.36
1.92
1.81
1.37
1.19
.91
.78
1.60
9.58
1.58
2006
2.51
2.34
2.56
2.12
2.01
1.57
1.39
1.11
.98
1.77
9.39
1.82
2007
2.62
2.44
2.65
2.22
2.11
1.67
1.49
1.21
1.08
1.83
9.19
1.98
2008
3.49
3.43
3.64
3.22
3.11
2.67
2.49
2.21
2.08
2.85
9.14
2.99
2009
2.98
3.13
3.33
2.92
2.81
2.37
2.19
1.91
1.78
2.59
10.30
2.78
2010
4.33
4.62
4.83
4.43
4.31
3.87
3.69
3.41
3.28
4.08
10.21
4.17
2011
1.98
2.13
2.33
1.93
1.81
1.37
1.19
.91
.78
1.58
9.86
1.87
2012
2.40
2.15
2.34
1.92
1.81
1.37
1.19
.91
.78
1.57
9.98
1.93
2013
2.53
2.15
2.34
1.92
1.81
1.37
1.19
.90
.78
1.57
10.24
1.95
2014
2.60
2.15
2.34
1.92
1.81
1.37
1.19
.90
.78
1.57
10.20
1.95
 
Total
1980
1.05
2.68
1.67
1.12
1.10
1.12
.83
.76
.62
.83
7.59
1.08
1985
4.35
2.41
1.49
1.09
1.00
1.14
.90
.69
.63
1.29
7.61
1.25
1990
2.55
2.66
2.09
1.76
1.65
1.46
1.11
.91
.69
2.37
3.66
1.59
1995
2.39
2.03
1.47
1.12
.88
.72
.56
.44
.38
2.48
22.20
1.55
1996
4.94
2.09
1.33
1.06
.80
.65
.51
.46
.36
2.37
20.30
1.42
1997
.00
1.26
.67
.54
.38
.31
.26
.26
.24
2.34
21.00
1.20
1998
1.29
1.78
.83
.69
.43
.39
.32
.31
.30
2.20
22.78
1.24
1999
4.96
2.61
1.73
1.32
1.12
1.12
.88
.69
.45
2.32
22.27
1.63
2000
1.10
1.38
2.22
1.54
1.68
1.52
1.30
.95
.57
2.33
28.16
1.97
2001
.91
1.48
2.09
1.98
1.71
1.60
1.31
.97
.69
2.25
24.54
1.91
2002
4.19
2.29
2.18
1.94
1.67
1.31
1.10
.87
.56
2.18
26.28
1.83
2003
1.82
1.99
2.20
1.76
1.47
1.07
.85
.65
.43
1.85
23.52
1.56
2004
3.22
1.79
1.96
1.60
1.44
1.12
.92
.64
.48
1.79
21.54
1.51
2005
3.13
2.15
2.30
1.98
1.83
1.53
1.35
1.09
.94
2.17
13.15
1.98
2006
3.16
2.35
2.50
2.18
2.03
1.73
1.54
1.29
1.14
2.33
12.86
2.24
2007
3.27
2.45
2.60
2.28
2.13
1.83
1.64
1.38
1.23
2.37
12.57
2.43
2008
4.20
3.44
3.60
3.29
3.13
2.82
2.64
2.38
2.23
3.40
12.47
3.45
2009
3.74
3.14
3.29
2.99
2.83
2.52
2.34
2.08
1.93
3.14
13.99
3.27
2010
5.21
4.64
4.79
4.49
4.33
4.02
3.84
3.58
3.43
4.64
13.86
4.66
2011
2.89
2.14
2.30
1.99
1.83
1.52
1.34
1.08
.93
2.13
13.39
2.39
2012
3.12
2.14
2.30
1.98
1.83
1.52
1.33
1.08
.93
2.12
13.52
2.47
2013
3.19
2.15
2.30
1.98
1.83
1.52
1.33
1.07
.93
2.11
13.86
2.49
2014
3.22
2.15
2.30
1.98
1.83
1.52
1.33
1.07
.93
2.11
13.77
2.50

1See Glossary for definition of "Normal retirement age—NRA."

Sources:

Note: Future estimates based on 2005 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.


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