Short-Range Actuarial Projections of the Old-Age, Survivors, and Disability Insurance Program, 2001
Actuarial Study No. 115
Chris Motsiopoulos and Tim Zayatz, A.S.A.
Contents Glossary




 

III. BENEFIT PAYMENTS

B. NUMBER OF OLD-AGE AND SURVIVORS INSURANCE (OASI) BENEFICIARIES

Table III.B8—Awards to Retired Workers
(By age and gender, calendar years 1975-2010)
[In thousands]
Year
  62-64
  65-69
  70 or
older
  DI
conversions
  Total
Male
1975
441.0
342.2
8.7
110.5
902.4
1980
487.5
312.5
6.4
135.7
942.1
1985
563.8
287.0
7.8
124.0
982.6
1990
566.6
272.5
12.9
115.1
967.0
1991
577.5
286.2
14.4
113.9
991.9
1992
586.4
282.2
15.0
115.6
999.2
1993
571.1
269.1
14.9
114.4
969.5
1994
562.7
249.9
14.3
112.3
939.2
1995
546.2
245.3
14.9
117.5
923.9
1996
536.4
235.1
13.7
116.8
902.0
1997
530.4
229.0
15.9
120.4
895.7
1998
531.2
230.6
15.5
117.5
894.9
1999
554.1
245.1
17.1
124.0
940.4
2000
574.7
394.4
21.8
125.6
1,116.5
2001
580.3
232.6
13.0
125.5
951.5
2002
593.4
267.9
10.8
129.3
1,001.4
2003
614.4
279.3
9.4
113.2
1,016.4
2004
662.6
288.7
8.6
116.2
1,076.2
2005
694.0
298.0
8.5
120.5
1,121.0
2006
693.1
309.6
8.6
126.0
1,137.2
2007
689.5
334.6
8.7
133.4
1,166.2
2008
766.1
354.2
8.4
143.9
1,272.6
2009
857.7
374.1
8.0
181.9
1,421.7
2010
875.8
372.4
8.1
178.2
1,434.6
Female
1975
375.9
170.1
9.6
47.8
603.4
1980
429.2
166.1
7.4
67.8
670.6
1985
471.6
153.8
9.1
65.3
699.8
1990
458.7
157.1
9.0
62.3
687.1
1991
454.2
163.1
10.0
61.1
688.4
1992
461.9
166.0
10.5
62.9
701.3
1993
451.4
162.4
10.8
63.2
687.8
1994
455.6
154.1
10.7
64.1
684.5
1995
448.0
155.4
12.7
68.1
684.2
1996
448.5
149.7
10.6
69.7
678.5
1997
454.9
165.4
128.0
73.8
822.1
1998
462.3
158.2
41.1
74.2
735.9
1999
479.0
165.5
23.2
81.0
748.8
2000
507.8
227.1
23.4
84.5
842.8
2001
519.0
163.3
20.3
87.6
790.2
2002
532.0
169.0
18.8
93.6
813.4
2003
555.1
168.2
16.6
84.2
824.1
2004
603.0
172.5
14.7
87.5
877.7
2005
638.4
178.9
13.9
92.2
923.5
2006
642.4
189.2
12.6
97.7
942.0
2007
647.0
208.0
12.3
104.6
971.8
2008
729.2
224.8
12.7
114.8
1,081.4
2009
823.6
235.8
13.0
147.2
1,219.6
2010
844.2
236.7
13.3
146.2
1,240.3
Total
1975
816.8
512.3
18.3
158.3
1,505.8
1980
916.8
478.6
13.9
203.5
1,612.7
1985
1,035.4
440.8
16.9
189.3
1,682.4
1990
1,025.3
429.6
21.9
177.3
1,654.1
1991
1,031.6
449.3
24.3
175.0
1,680.2
1992
1,048.3
448.2
25.5
178.5
1,700.5
1993
1,022.5
431.5
25.7
177.6
1,657.3
1994
1,018.3
404.0
25.0
176.4
1,623.8
1995
994.2
400.7
27.6
185.6
1,608.1
1996
984.9
384.8
24.3
186.4
1,580.4
1997
985.3
394.4
143.9
194.2
1,717.8
1998
993.5
388.9
56.7
191.7
1,630.7
1999
1,033.1
410.6
40.3
205.1
1,689.2
2000
1,082.6
621.5
45.2
210.1
1,959.4
2001
1,099.3
395.9
33.3
213.1
1,741.6
2002
1,125.4
436.9
29.6
223.0
1,814.8
2003
1,169.6
447.5
26.0
197.4
1,840.5
2004
1,265.6
461.2
23.3
203.7
1,953.9
2005
1,332.4
477.0
22.4
212.8
2,044.5
2006
1,335.5
498.8
21.2
223.7
2,079.2
2007
1,336.4
542.6
21.0
237.9
2,138.0
2008
1,495.3
579.1
21.1
258.6
2,354.1
2009
1,681.3
609.9
21.0
329.1
2,641.3
2010
1,720.0
609.0
21.4
324.4
2,674.9

Sources:

· Historical figures from SSA administrative records.

· Future figures computed by applying award rate to number of eligible nonretired workers (with adjustments at certain ages to account for discrepancies in underlying data).

· DI conversions shown in table III.A14.

Note: Future estimates based on 2001 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.


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December 26, 2001