Short-Range Actuarial Projections
of the Old-Age, Survivors, and
Disability Insurance Program, 2005

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ACTUARIAL STUDY NO. 119
by Chris Motsiopoulos
and Richard B. Tucker

Table II.8.—Covered Workers as a Percent of the Social Security Area Population
(By age and gender, as of December 31, 1980-2014)
Year
16-19
20-24
25-29
30-34
35-39
40-44
45-49
50-54
55-59
60-64
65-69
70 or older
Total
 
Male
1980
75.39
88.42
89.04
87.97
86.94
84.69
80.75
77.21
73.32
61.63
35.77
15.33
74.93
1985
70.72
85.04
86.44
86.50
84.72
82.84
80.12
75.93
71.08
58.28
30.60
13.14
72.35
1990
76.80
86.52
88.56
88.35
87.61
85.37
82.41
78.51
72.92
58.37
33.55
14.20
74.53
1995
73.46
84.31
87.12
87.67
86.90
85.60
83.11
79.36
73.36
59.06
34.85
15.62
73.79
1996
73.42
84.67
86.91
87.75
86.89
86.12
82.77
80.43
73.37
60.27
35.39
15.71
73.94
1997
72.81
82.30
86.27
88.00
87.11
85.43
83.42
82.33
74.66
60.76
37.15
16.27
73.97
1998
75.12
82.49
86.68
88.16
88.16
86.16
83.45
82.61
75.39
61.96
36.88
15.67
74.43
1999
76.71
82.90
87.33
88.51
89.98
86.56
84.18
83.19
75.93
62.25
37.45
16.80
75.19
2000
76.56
83.85
87.66
87.57
90.74
87.38
84.41
83.70
75.91
64.26
39.61
16.87
75.59
2001
72.39
82.39
85.55
86.93
90.95
86.95
84.01
83.58
74.83
65.56
39.35
17.16
74.77
2002
67.74
81.53
84.03
85.52
89.81
86.03
82.43
82.43
74.69
64.13
41.12
16.13
73.45
2003
63.34
80.42
83.94
84.75
88.80
85.55
81.24
81.17
72.81
63.70
40.92
17.30
72.46
2004
65.07
82.51
84.78
84.63
88.25
86.48
81.32
81.32
73.61
63.32
41.36
17.97
72.97
2005
66.44
83.44
84.68
84.56
87.69
87.52
81.56
80.99
73.43
64.01
41.35
19.42
73.27
2006
68.56
83.85
85.37
83.99
87.33
88.14
81.94
80.90
73.93
64.36
41.24
19.37
73.49
2007
69.50
83.98
86.01
82.91
87.09
88.34
82.38
80.82
73.85
65.00
41.21
17.78
73.33
2008
69.84
83.65
86.28
82.45
87.20
88.25
82.77
80.72
73.56
65.73
41.51
18.02
73.26
2009
69.96
83.48
86.50
82.24
87.34
87.56
83.20
80.63
73.34
65.56
41.87
18.62
73.14
2010
69.86
83.41
86.66
82.30
87.17
86.57
83.96
80.69
73.08
65.70
41.84
19.15
73.00
2011
69.78
83.38
86.61
82.50
86.31
86.14
84.62
80.93
72.78
66.03
41.60
19.39
72.81
2012
69.80
83.41
86.33
82.76
84.99
85.89
84.91
81.27
72.58
65.94
41.62
19.21
72.50
2013
69.85
83.51
86.03
83.07
84.52
86.00
84.80
81.57
72.34
65.25
41.89
19.27
72.23
2014
69.71
83.61
86.06
83.45
84.48
86.31
84.24
81.93
71.98
64.34
41.92
19.64
71.99
 
Female
1980
68.18
77.49
70.73
64.93
63.08
62.35
58.34
53.38
47.76
35.97
18.18
4.95
53.43
1985
68.90
77.88
73.47
69.31
68.54
66.99
63.33
56.92
49.39
37.88
17.65
5.01
55.39
1990
74.36
81.90
77.84
74.56
74.91
75.06
69.99
63.71
54.64
40.07
20.76
5.81
59.67
1995
72.84
81.12
79.86
76.13
75.58
76.09
74.78
67.34
57.98
42.40
22.50
6.37
60.84
1996
73.07
81.77
80.61
76.79
76.30
76.80
75.32
68.84
58.95
43.02
23.02
6.52
61.48
1997
74.53
82.63
82.57
77.80
76.84
77.13
76.53
71.61
61.24
45.10
22.88
6.42
62.53
1998
78.26
83.28
83.72
78.02
76.77
77.58
77.40
71.54
62.71
44.96
23.18
6.64
63.21
1999
77.58
83.56
83.30
78.69
78.10
77.44
77.85
72.42
62.97
44.93
23.80
7.11
63.58
2000
78.32
83.83
84.14
77.59
78.97
78.44
78.03
73.10
63.33
46.78
25.53
7.55
64.15
2001
74.29
83.42
81.82
76.87
79.39
77.77
77.19
73.15
62.85
49.67
26.13
7.69
63.63
2002
70.77
82.05
80.34
75.74
77.78
76.95
76.01
71.98
64.08
49.58
26.51
7.85
62.70
2003
66.82
80.74
79.71
74.85
76.24
76.41
75.42
71.99
64.70
50.64
28.69
8.39
62.21
2004
65.69
81.55
78.98
74.86
75.55
75.99
74.79
72.21
64.52
50.94
30.13
8.90
62.13
2005
66.01
81.30
79.68
75.78
75.18
76.95
74.96
72.10
64.02
51.10
30.70
8.61
62.29
2006
68.06
82.03
81.21
75.17
75.29
77.44
74.77
71.52
63.91
49.82
31.74
8.37
62.46
2007
68.96
82.64
82.67
73.65
75.59
77.42
74.55
71.04
63.90
49.48
32.44
8.12
62.46
2008
69.27
82.75
82.83
72.73
75.84
77.16
74.58
71.14
63.66
48.21
33.45
8.44
62.34
2009
69.40
83.10
82.83
72.30
76.35
76.47
74.86
71.18
63.53
47.84
33.90
8.83
62.30
2010
69.31
83.38
82.85
72.79
76.56
75.65
75.51
71.06
63.44
47.26
33.86
9.29
62.24
2011
69.24
83.47
82.78
74.08
75.91
75.58
76.08
70.97
63.27
47.41
33.19
9.48
62.17
2012
69.20
83.55
82.84
75.18
74.40
75.69
76.12
70.94
63.07
47.38
32.89
9.68
61.98
2013
69.18
83.70
83.02
75.88
73.49
76.11
75.92
70.94
62.87
47.20
32.42
10.09
61.81
2014
69.02
83.89
83.37
76.31
73.42
76.73
75.50
71.25
62.65
47.02
32.27
10.34
61.70

Source: Historical rates computed and future rates projected by the Office of the Chief Actuary, Revenue Estimates and Economic Analysis Group.

Note: Future estimates based on 2005 Trustees Report intermediate set of assumptions.


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