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Detailed Single Year Tables

Description of Proposed Provision:
A8: Starting December 2018, for OASI beneficiaries only (DI beneficiaries would only be affected when their benefit converts to OASI at NRA), the annual COLA would be based on the chain-weighted version of the CPI-U.

 

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

 
  Proposal
  Change from Current Law
  Expressed as a percentage of
current-law taxable payroll

Trust fund
ratio as of
January 1
Expressed as a percentage of
current-law taxable payroll
Calendar
year
Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance
201713.4113.03-0.38
298
0.000.000.00
201813.4912.93-0.56
287
0.000.000.00
201913.6712.94-0.72
274
-0.030.000.03
202013.7912.96-0.83
260
-0.070.000.06
202113.9212.99-0.93
247
-0.100.000.10
202214.1213.02-1.10
234
-0.14-0.010.13
202314.3713.04-1.33
220
-0.17-0.010.16
202414.6213.07-1.55
205
-0.21-0.010.19
202514.8613.09-1.77
190
-0.24-0.010.23
202615.1013.12-1.98
174
-0.27-0.010.26
202715.3113.13-2.18
158
-0.30-0.020.29
202815.5213.15-2.37
142
-0.34-0.020.32
202915.7013.16-2.54
126
-0.36-0.020.34
203015.8713.17-2.70
109
-0.39-0.020.37
203116.0313.18-2.84
93
-0.42-0.020.40
203216.1613.19-2.97
76
-0.45-0.020.42
203316.2713.20-3.07
58
-0.47-0.030.44
203416.3613.21-3.15
40
-0.49-0.030.46
203516.4213.21-3.20
21
-0.51-0.030.48
203616.4613.22-3.24
3
-0.53-0.030.50
203716.4813.22-3.26
----
-0.55-0.030.51
203816.4613.22-3.24
----
-0.56-0.030.53
203916.4313.22-3.21
----
-0.57-0.030.54
204016.3813.21-3.16
----
-0.58-0.030.55
204116.3213.21-3.11
----
-0.59-0.030.56
204216.2613.21-3.05
----
-0.60-0.030.56
204316.2013.21-3.00
----
-0.60-0.030.57
204416.1513.20-2.95
----
-0.61-0.030.57
204516.1113.20-2.91
----
-0.61-0.030.57
204616.0713.20-2.87
----
-0.61-0.030.58
204716.0413.20-2.84
----
-0.61-0.030.58
204816.0113.20-2.81
----
-0.61-0.030.58
204915.9813.20-2.78
----
-0.61-0.030.58
205015.9613.20-2.76
----
-0.61-0.030.57
205115.9513.20-2.75
----
-0.61-0.030.57
205215.9513.20-2.75
----
-0.61-0.030.57
205315.9613.20-2.76
----
-0.61-0.030.57
205415.9813.20-2.78
----
-0.61-0.030.57
205516.0113.20-2.81
----
-0.60-0.030.57
205616.0513.21-2.85
----
-0.60-0.030.57
205716.0913.21-2.88
----
-0.61-0.030.57
205816.1313.21-2.92
----
-0.61-0.030.57
205916.1813.22-2.96
----
-0.61-0.030.57
206016.2213.22-3.00
----
-0.61-0.030.57
206116.2613.22-3.04
----
-0.61-0.030.58
206216.3113.22-3.09
----
-0.61-0.030.58
206316.3613.23-3.13
----
-0.61-0.040.58
206416.4013.23-3.17
----
-0.62-0.040.58
206516.4513.23-3.21
----
-0.62-0.040.59
206616.4913.24-3.26
----
-0.62-0.040.59
206716.5413.24-3.30
----
-0.63-0.040.59
206816.5913.24-3.35
----
-0.63-0.040.59
206916.6413.25-3.40
----
-0.63-0.040.60
207016.6913.25-3.44
----
-0.64-0.040.60
207116.7313.25-3.48
----
-0.64-0.040.60
207216.7713.25-3.52
----
-0.64-0.040.61
207316.8013.26-3.55
----
-0.65-0.040.61
207416.8313.26-3.57
----
-0.65-0.040.61
207516.8513.26-3.59
----
-0.65-0.040.62
207616.8613.26-3.60
----
-0.66-0.040.62
207716.8713.26-3.60
----
-0.66-0.040.62
207816.8613.26-3.60
----
-0.66-0.040.62
207916.8513.26-3.59
----
-0.66-0.040.62
208016.8513.26-3.59
----
-0.66-0.040.63
208116.8413.26-3.58
----
-0.67-0.040.63
208216.8413.26-3.58
----
-0.67-0.040.63
208316.8413.26-3.59
----
-0.67-0.040.63
208416.8613.26-3.60
----
-0.67-0.040.63
208516.8813.26-3.62
----
-0.67-0.040.63
208616.9113.26-3.65
----
-0.67-0.040.63
208716.9413.26-3.68
----
-0.67-0.040.63
208816.9813.27-3.72
----
-0.67-0.040.63
208917.0313.27-3.76
----
-0.67-0.040.64
209017.0713.27-3.80
----
-0.68-0.040.64
209117.1213.28-3.84
----
-0.68-0.040.64
209217.1613.28-3.89
----
-0.68-0.040.64



 

Summarized Estimates

 
  Proposal
  Change from Current Law
Years Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance

Year of reserve
depletion
1

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance
 
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2017 Trustees Report.
2017-2091 16.15% 13.81% -2.34%
2036
-0.52% -0.03% 0.49%
 
1 Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2034.

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Last reviewed or modified July 13, 2017