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Detailed Single Year Tables

Description of Proposed Provision:
B5.9: Beginning for those newly eligible in 2019, reconfigure the special minimum benefit: (a) A year of coverage is defined as a year in which 4 quarters of coverage are earned. (b) At implementation, set the PIA for 40 years of coverage equal to 125 percent of the monthly Aged Federal poverty level (about $1,200 in 2016). For those with 20 or fewer years of coverage, phase up linearly from 0 percent of the poverty level for 10 years of coverage to 100 percent of the poverty level. For those having between 20 and 40 years of coverage, phase up linearly from 100 percent of the poverty level at 20 years of coverage to 125% of the poverty level for 40 or more years of coverage. (c) For newly eligible workers in 2019 and 2020, index the applicable poverty level using the CPI index, to the year prior to eligibility. Then, for newly eligible workers in 2021 and later, index the PIA per year of coverage by wage growth for successive cohorts. (d) Disabled workers have a somewhat similar minimum benefit, with work requirements scaled based on the number of years of non-disabled potential work. Disabled workers have a somewhat similar minimum benefit amount.

 

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

 
  Proposal
  Change from Current Law
  Expressed as a percentage of
current-law taxable payroll

Trust fund
ratio as of
January 1
Expressed as a percentage of
current-law taxable payroll
Calendar
year
Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance
201713.4113.03-0.38
298
0.000.000.00
201813.4912.93-0.56
287
0.000.000.00
201913.7012.95-0.75
273
0.000.000.00
202013.8512.96-0.89
259
0.000.000.00
202114.0212.99-1.03
245
0.000.000.00
202214.2613.02-1.23
230
0.000.000.00
202314.5413.05-1.50
215
0.000.000.00
202414.8313.08-1.75
199
0.000.000.00
202515.1113.10-2.00
182
0.010.00-0.01
202615.3913.14-2.25
165
0.010.00-0.01
202715.6413.15-2.49
147
0.020.00-0.02
202815.8913.17-2.72
130
0.030.00-0.03
202916.1113.18-2.92
111
0.040.00-0.04
203016.3213.20-3.12
93
0.050.00-0.05
203116.5113.21-3.30
74
0.060.00-0.06
203216.6713.22-3.45
55
0.070.00-0.06
203316.8213.23-3.59
35
0.070.00-0.07
203416.9313.24-3.69
14
0.080.00-0.08
203517.0213.24-3.77
----
0.090.00-0.09
203617.0913.25-3.84
----
0.100.00-0.09
203717.1213.25-3.87
----
0.100.00-0.10
203817.1313.25-3.88
----
0.110.00-0.11
203917.1113.25-3.86
----
0.120.00-0.11
204017.0813.25-3.83
----
0.120.00-0.12
204117.0413.25-3.79
----
0.130.00-0.12
204216.9913.25-3.75
----
0.130.01-0.13
204316.9513.25-3.70
----
0.140.01-0.13
204416.9013.24-3.66
----
0.150.01-0.14
204516.8713.24-3.63
----
0.150.01-0.14
204616.8413.24-3.59
----
0.160.01-0.15
204716.8113.24-3.57
----
0.160.01-0.16
204816.7813.24-3.54
----
0.170.01-0.16
204916.7613.24-3.52
----
0.170.01-0.16
205016.7413.24-3.51
----
0.180.01-0.17
205116.7413.24-3.50
----
0.180.01-0.17
205216.7413.24-3.50
----
0.190.01-0.18
205316.7613.24-3.52
----
0.190.01-0.18
205416.7813.24-3.54
----
0.190.01-0.19
205516.8213.25-3.57
----
0.200.01-0.19
205616.8613.25-3.61
----
0.200.01-0.19
205716.9013.25-3.65
----
0.210.01-0.20
205816.9513.26-3.69
----
0.210.01-0.20
205917.0013.26-3.74
----
0.210.01-0.20
206017.0413.26-3.78
----
0.210.01-0.21
206117.0913.27-3.83
----
0.220.01-0.21
206217.1413.27-3.87
----
0.220.01-0.21
206317.1913.27-3.92
----
0.220.01-0.21
206417.2413.27-3.97
----
0.220.01-0.22
206517.2913.28-4.01
----
0.230.01-0.22
206617.3513.28-4.06
----
0.230.01-0.22
206717.4013.28-4.11
----
0.230.01-0.22
206817.4513.29-4.17
----
0.230.01-0.22
206917.5113.29-4.22
----
0.230.01-0.22
207017.5613.29-4.27
----
0.240.01-0.22
207117.6113.30-4.31
----
0.240.01-0.23
207217.6513.30-4.35
----
0.240.01-0.23
207317.6913.30-4.38
----
0.240.01-0.23
207417.7213.31-4.41
----
0.240.01-0.23
207517.7413.31-4.44
----
0.240.01-0.23
207617.7613.31-4.45
----
0.240.01-0.23
207717.7713.31-4.46
----
0.240.01-0.23
207817.7713.31-4.46
----
0.240.01-0.23
207917.7613.31-4.45
----
0.240.01-0.23
208017.7513.31-4.44
----
0.240.01-0.23
208117.7513.31-4.44
----
0.240.01-0.23
208217.7513.31-4.44
----
0.240.01-0.23
208317.7613.31-4.45
----
0.240.01-0.23
208417.7713.31-4.46
----
0.240.01-0.23
208517.7913.31-4.48
----
0.240.01-0.23
208617.8313.31-4.51
----
0.240.01-0.23
208717.8613.31-4.55
----
0.250.01-0.23
208817.9013.32-4.59
----
0.250.01-0.23
208917.9513.32-4.63
----
0.250.01-0.24
209017.9913.32-4.67
----
0.250.01-0.24
209118.0413.33-4.72
----
0.250.01-0.24
209218.0913.33-4.76
----
0.250.01-0.24



 

Summarized Estimates

 
  Proposal
  Change from Current Law
Years Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance

Year of reserve
depletion
1

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance
 
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2017 Trustees Report.
2017-2091 16.81% 13.84% -2.97%
2034
0.15% 0.01% -0.14%
 
1 Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2034.

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Last reviewed or modified July 13, 2017