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Detailed Single Year Tables

Description of Proposed Provision:
Progressive price indexing (50th percentile) of PIA formula factors for individuals newly eligible for OASI benefits in 2018 through 2057: Create a new bend point at the 50th percentile of the AIME distribution of newly retired workers. Maintain current-law benefit credit for earners at the 50th percentile and below. Reduce the 32 and 15 formula factors above the 50th percentile such that the initial benefit for a worker with AIME equal to the taxable maximum grows by inflation rather than the growth in the SSA average wage index. Disabled workers are: (a) not affected prior to normal retirement age; and (b) subject to a proportional reduction in benefits, based on the worker's years of disability, upon conversion to retired-worker beneficiary status.

 

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

 
  Proposal
  Change from Present Law
  Expressed as a percentage of
present-law taxable payroll

Trust fund
ratio as of
January 1
Expressed as a percentage of
present-law taxable payroll
Calendar
year
Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance
201313.9512.69-1.26
330
0.000.000.00
201414.0412.83-1.20
315
0.000.000.00
201513.9712.86-1.10
301
0.000.000.00
201613.9112.88-1.03
286
0.000.000.00
201713.8812.90-0.98
271
0.000.000.00
201813.9112.93-0.98
257
0.000.000.00
201914.0512.95-1.10
244
-0.010.000.00
202014.2412.97-1.28
231
-0.010.000.01
202114.4212.99-1.43
218
-0.020.000.02
202214.6713.02-1.65
204
-0.040.000.03
202314.9113.04-1.87
190
-0.060.000.05
202415.1513.05-2.09
175
-0.080.000.08
202515.3713.07-2.30
160
-0.11-0.010.10
202615.5713.08-2.49
145
-0.14-0.010.13
202715.7513.09-2.66
129
-0.18-0.010.17
202815.9213.10-2.82
113
-0.21-0.010.20
202916.0713.11-2.96
96
-0.25-0.010.24
203016.2013.12-3.08
79
-0.29-0.010.28
203116.3013.12-3.17
61
-0.34-0.020.32
203216.3713.13-3.24
43
-0.38-0.020.36
203316.4313.13-3.30
24
-0.42-0.020.40
203416.4613.14-3.33
4
-0.47-0.020.45
203516.4613.14-3.33
----
-0.52-0.030.49
203616.4513.14-3.31
----
-0.56-0.030.53
203716.4113.14-3.27
----
-0.61-0.030.58
203816.3613.14-3.22
----
-0.66-0.030.63
203916.2913.14-3.15
----
-0.71-0.040.67
204016.2113.13-3.07
----
-0.76-0.040.72
204116.1213.13-2.99
----
-0.81-0.040.76
204216.0413.13-2.91
----
-0.86-0.040.81
204315.9613.12-2.83
----
-0.91-0.050.86
204415.8813.12-2.76
----
-0.96-0.050.91
204515.8113.12-2.70
----
-1.01-0.050.96
204615.7513.11-2.63
----
-1.07-0.051.01
204715.6813.11-2.57
----
-1.12-0.061.07
204815.6213.11-2.51
----
-1.18-0.061.12
204915.5613.11-2.45
----
-1.23-0.061.17
205015.5013.11-2.40
----
-1.28-0.071.22
205115.4613.10-2.35
----
-1.34-0.071.27
205215.4213.10-2.32
----
-1.39-0.071.32
205315.3913.10-2.29
----
-1.44-0.071.37
205415.3713.10-2.27
----
-1.50-0.081.42
205515.3613.10-2.26
----
-1.55-0.081.47
205615.3513.10-2.25
----
-1.61-0.081.53
205715.3413.10-2.24
----
-1.66-0.091.58
205815.3313.10-2.23
----
-1.72-0.091.63
205915.3313.10-2.22
----
-1.77-0.091.68
206015.3213.10-2.22
----
-1.82-0.091.73
206115.3113.10-2.21
----
-1.87-0.101.78
206215.3113.10-2.21
----
-1.92-0.101.82
206315.3013.10-2.20
----
-1.97-0.101.87
206415.3013.10-2.20
----
-2.01-0.101.91
206515.3013.10-2.20
----
-2.05-0.111.95
206615.3113.10-2.21
----
-2.09-0.111.99
206715.3213.10-2.21
----
-2.13-0.112.02
206815.3313.10-2.22
----
-2.17-0.112.06
206915.3413.11-2.23
----
-2.20-0.112.09
207015.3513.11-2.24
----
-2.24-0.122.12
207115.3613.11-2.25
----
-2.27-0.122.15
207215.3613.11-2.26
----
-2.29-0.122.17
207315.3713.11-2.26
----
-2.32-0.122.20
207415.3713.11-2.26
----
-2.34-0.122.22
207515.3613.11-2.25
----
-2.36-0.122.24
207615.3513.11-2.25
----
-2.38-0.122.25
207715.3513.11-2.24
----
-2.39-0.122.27
207815.3413.11-2.23
----
-2.40-0.122.28
207915.3313.11-2.23
----
-2.41-0.122.29
208015.3413.11-2.23
----
-2.42-0.132.30
208115.3413.11-2.24
----
-2.43-0.132.31
208215.3613.11-2.25
----
-2.44-0.132.32
208315.3813.11-2.27
----
-2.45-0.132.33
208415.4113.11-2.30
----
-2.47-0.132.34
208515.4413.11-2.33
----
-2.48-0.132.35
208615.4813.11-2.36
----
-2.49-0.132.36
208715.5213.12-2.40
----
-2.50-0.132.37
208815.5613.12-2.44
----
-2.51-0.132.38



 

Summarized Estimates

 
  Proposal
  Change from Present Law
Years Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance

Year of reserve
depletion
1

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance
 
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2013 Trustees Report.
2013-2087 15.53% 13.82% -1.71%
2034
-1.06% -0.05% 1.01%
 
1 Under present law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2033.

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Last reviewed or modified September 11, 2013