Skip to content
Social Security Online
Actuarial Publications
Solvency provisions SSA logo: link to Social Security Online home

Detailed Single Year Tables

Description of Proposed Provision:
Progressive indexing (30th percentile) of PIA factors beginning with individuals newly eligible for OASI benefits in 2017, continuing through 2066: Create a new bend point at the 30th percentile of the AIME distribution of newly retired workers. Maintain current-law benefits for earners at the 30th percentile and below. Reduce the 32 and 15 percent factors above the 30th percentile such that the initial benefit for a worker with AIME equal to the taxable maximum is reduced by 1.13 percent per year as compared to current law (for the years that progressive indexing applies). Disabled workers are: (a) not affected prior to normal retirement age; and (b) subject to a proportional reduction in benefits, based on the worker's years of disability, upon conversion to retired-worker beneficiary status.

 

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

 
  Proposal
  Change from Present Law
  Expressed as a percentage of
present-law taxable payroll

Trust fund
ratio as of
January 1
Expressed as a percentage of
present-law taxable payroll
Calendar
year
Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance
201413.9512.67-1.29
320
0.000.000.00
201513.9712.92-1.05
306
0.000.000.00
201613.9712.89-1.08
292
0.000.000.00
201713.9712.91-1.06
277
0.000.000.00
201814.0112.93-1.08
263
0.000.000.00
201914.1412.94-1.20
248
-0.010.000.01
202014.3212.96-1.36
233
-0.010.000.01
202114.4812.98-1.50
219
-0.020.000.02
202214.7013.01-1.69
204
-0.030.000.03
202314.9513.03-1.92
189
-0.050.000.05
202415.2013.05-2.15
173
-0.070.000.07
202515.4413.07-2.38
156
-0.100.000.09
202615.6613.08-2.58
140
-0.13-0.010.12
202715.8713.10-2.77
123
-0.16-0.010.15
202816.0513.11-2.94
106
-0.20-0.010.19
202916.2013.12-3.08
89
-0.24-0.010.22
203016.3313.13-3.19
71
-0.28-0.010.26
203116.4213.14-3.28
52
-0.32-0.020.31
203216.4913.15-3.35
33
-0.37-0.020.35
203316.5313.15-3.38
13
-0.42-0.020.40
203416.5613.16-3.41
----
-0.47-0.020.45
203516.5713.16-3.41
----
-0.52-0.030.50
203616.5513.16-3.39
----
-0.58-0.030.55
203716.5113.16-3.35
----
-0.64-0.030.60
203816.4513.16-3.28
----
-0.69-0.040.66
203916.3713.16-3.21
----
-0.75-0.040.71
204016.2813.16-3.12
----
-0.81-0.040.77
204116.1813.15-3.03
----
-0.87-0.050.82
204216.0813.15-2.93
----
-0.93-0.050.88
204315.9813.15-2.84
----
-1.00-0.050.94
204415.8913.14-2.75
----
-1.06-0.061.01
204515.8113.14-2.67
----
-1.13-0.061.07
204615.7313.14-2.59
----
-1.20-0.061.14
204715.6413.13-2.51
----
-1.27-0.071.21
204815.5613.13-2.43
----
-1.35-0.071.27
204915.4713.13-2.35
----
-1.42-0.071.34
205015.4013.12-2.28
----
-1.49-0.081.41
205115.3313.12-2.21
----
-1.56-0.081.48
205215.2713.12-2.16
----
-1.64-0.091.55
205315.2213.12-2.11
----
-1.71-0.091.62
205415.1813.11-2.07
----
-1.79-0.091.69
205515.1513.11-2.03
----
-1.87-0.101.77
205615.1213.11-2.00
----
-1.94-0.101.84
205715.0913.11-1.98
----
-2.02-0.111.91
205815.0613.11-1.95
----
-2.10-0.111.99
205915.0313.11-1.92
----
-2.18-0.122.06
206015.0113.11-1.90
----
-2.25-0.122.13
206114.9813.11-1.87
----
-2.33-0.122.20
206214.9513.11-1.85
----
-2.40-0.132.27
206314.9313.11-1.82
----
-2.47-0.132.34
206414.9013.11-1.80
----
-2.54-0.142.41
206514.8813.11-1.77
----
-2.62-0.142.48
206614.8613.11-1.75
----
-2.69-0.142.54
206714.8413.10-1.73
----
-2.76-0.152.61
206814.8213.10-1.71
----
-2.83-0.152.68
206914.7913.10-1.69
----
-2.90-0.162.74
207014.7713.10-1.67
----
-2.97-0.162.81
207114.7513.10-1.65
----
-3.03-0.162.87
207214.7213.10-1.62
----
-3.10-0.172.93
207314.6913.10-1.59
----
-3.15-0.172.99
207414.6613.10-1.56
----
-3.21-0.173.04
207514.6213.10-1.53
----
-3.26-0.183.08
207614.5913.09-1.49
----
-3.30-0.183.13
207714.5513.09-1.46
----
-3.35-0.183.17
207814.5113.09-1.42
----
-3.38-0.183.20
207914.4813.09-1.39
----
-3.42-0.183.23
208014.4513.09-1.37
----
-3.45-0.193.26
208114.4313.09-1.35
----
-3.48-0.193.29
208214.4213.09-1.34
----
-3.51-0.193.32
208314.4213.09-1.33
----
-3.55-0.193.35
208414.4213.09-1.34
----
-3.58-0.193.38
208514.4313.09-1.35
----
-3.61-0.193.41
208614.4513.09-1.36
----
-3.64-0.203.44
208714.4713.09-1.38
----
-3.67-0.203.47
208814.5013.09-1.40
----
-3.70-0.203.50
208914.5213.09-1.43
----
-3.72-0.203.52



 

Summarized Estimates

 
  Proposal
  Change from Present Law
Years Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance

Year of reserve
depletion
1

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance
 
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2014 Trustees Report.
2014-2088 15.37% 13.82% -1.56%
2033
-1.40% -0.07% 1.32%
 
1 Under present law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2033.

 Link to USA.gov: U.S. Government portal Privacy Policy  | Website Policies & Other Important Information  | Site Map
Last reviewed or modified September 18, 2014