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Detailed Single Year Tables

Description of Proposed Provision:
Progressive indexing (30th percentile) of PIA factors beginning with individuals newly eligible for OASI benefits in 2017, continuing through 2026, and resuming in 2065: Create a new bend point at the 30th percentile of the AIME distribution of newly retired workers. Maintain current-law benefits for earners at the 30th percentile and below. Reduce the 32 and 15 percent factors above the 30th percentile such that the initial benefit for a worker with AIME equal to the taxable maximum is reduced by 1.13 percent per year as compared to current law (for the years that progressive indexing applies). Disabled workers are: (a) not affected prior to normal retirement age; and (b) subject to a proportional reduction in benefits, based on the worker's years of disability, upon conversion to retired-worker beneficiary status.

 

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

 
  Proposal
  Change from Present Law
  Expressed as a percentage of
present-law taxable payroll

Trust fund
ratio as of
January 1
Expressed as a percentage of
present-law taxable payroll
Calendar
year
Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance
201413.9512.67-1.29
320
0.000.000.00
201513.9712.92-1.05
306
0.000.000.00
201613.9712.89-1.08
292
0.000.000.00
201713.9712.91-1.06
277
0.000.000.00
201814.0112.93-1.08
263
0.000.000.00
201914.1412.94-1.20
248
-0.010.000.01
202014.3212.96-1.36
233
-0.010.000.01
202114.4812.98-1.50
219
-0.020.000.02
202214.7013.01-1.69
204
-0.030.000.03
202314.9513.03-1.92
189
-0.050.000.05
202415.2013.05-2.15
173
-0.070.000.07
202515.4413.07-2.38
156
-0.100.000.09
202615.6613.08-2.58
140
-0.13-0.010.12
202715.8713.10-2.77
123
-0.16-0.010.15
202816.0513.11-2.94
106
-0.19-0.010.19
202916.2113.12-3.08
89
-0.23-0.010.22
203016.3313.13-3.20
71
-0.27-0.010.26
203116.4413.14-3.30
52
-0.31-0.020.29
203216.5213.15-3.37
33
-0.35-0.020.33
203316.5713.15-3.42
13
-0.38-0.020.36
203416.6113.16-3.45
----
-0.42-0.020.40
203516.6413.16-3.47
----
-0.45-0.020.43
203616.6413.17-3.47
----
-0.49-0.030.46
203716.6313.17-3.46
----
-0.52-0.030.49
203816.5913.17-3.42
----
-0.55-0.030.52
203916.5413.17-3.38
----
-0.57-0.030.54
204016.4913.17-3.32
----
-0.60-0.030.57
204116.4313.17-3.26
----
-0.62-0.030.59
204216.3713.16-3.20
----
-0.65-0.030.61
204316.3113.16-3.15
----
-0.67-0.030.63
204416.2713.16-3.11
----
-0.69-0.040.65
204516.2313.16-3.07
----
-0.71-0.040.67
204616.2013.16-3.04
----
-0.73-0.040.69
204716.1713.16-3.01
----
-0.75-0.040.71
204816.1413.16-2.98
----
-0.76-0.040.72
204916.1213.16-2.96
----
-0.78-0.040.74
205016.1013.16-2.94
----
-0.79-0.040.75
205116.0913.16-2.93
----
-0.80-0.040.76
205216.1013.16-2.94
----
-0.81-0.040.77
205316.1213.16-2.95
----
-0.82-0.040.78
205416.1413.17-2.98
----
-0.83-0.040.78
205516.1813.17-3.01
----
-0.84-0.040.79
205616.2213.17-3.05
----
-0.84-0.040.80
205716.2613.17-3.09
----
-0.85-0.050.80
205816.3113.18-3.13
----
-0.85-0.050.81
205916.3513.18-3.17
----
-0.86-0.050.81
206016.4013.18-3.21
----
-0.86-0.050.82
206116.4413.19-3.25
----
-0.87-0.050.82
206216.4913.19-3.29
----
-0.87-0.050.82
206316.5313.19-3.34
----
-0.87-0.050.82
206416.5713.20-3.38
----
-0.87-0.050.83
206516.6213.20-3.42
----
-0.88-0.050.83
206616.6713.20-3.46
----
-0.88-0.050.83
206716.7113.20-3.50
----
-0.89-0.050.84
206816.7513.21-3.54
----
-0.89-0.050.85
206916.7913.21-3.58
----
-0.90-0.050.85
207016.8313.21-3.61
----
-0.91-0.050.86
207116.8513.21-3.64
----
-0.93-0.050.88
207216.8713.22-3.66
----
-0.94-0.050.89
207316.8813.22-3.66
----
-0.96-0.050.91
207416.8813.22-3.66
----
-0.99-0.050.93
207516.8713.22-3.65
----
-1.01-0.050.96
207616.8513.22-3.63
----
-1.04-0.060.99
207716.8213.21-3.60
----
-1.08-0.061.02
207816.7813.21-3.57
----
-1.11-0.061.05
207916.7513.21-3.54
----
-1.15-0.061.09
208016.7113.21-3.50
----
-1.19-0.061.13
208116.6813.21-3.47
----
-1.24-0.071.17
208216.6513.21-3.45
----
-1.28-0.071.22
208316.6313.20-3.42
----
-1.34-0.071.27
208416.6113.20-3.40
----
-1.39-0.071.32
208516.5913.20-3.39
----
-1.45-0.081.37
208616.5713.20-3.37
----
-1.52-0.081.43
208716.5613.20-3.36
----
-1.58-0.091.50
208816.5413.20-3.34
----
-1.65-0.091.56
208916.5213.20-3.32
----
-1.72-0.091.63



 

Summarized Estimates

 
  Proposal
  Change from Present Law
Years Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance

Year of reserve
depletion
1

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance
 
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2014 Trustees Report.
2014-2088 16.16% 13.86% -2.30%
2033
-0.61% -0.03% 0.58%
 
1 Under present law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2033.

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Last reviewed or modified September 18, 2014