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Detailed Single Year Tables

Description of Proposed Provision:
Progressive price indexing (30th percentile) of PIA factors beginning with individuals newly eligible for OASI benefits in 2018: Create a new bend point at the 30th percentile of the AIME distribution of newly retired workers. Maintain current-law benefits for earners at the 30th percentile and below. Reduce the 32 and 15 percent factors above the 30th percentile such that the initial benefit for a worker with AIME equal to the taxable maximum grows by inflation rather than the growth in the SSA average wage index. Disabled workers are: (a) not affected prior to normal retirement age; and (b) subject to a proportional reduction in benefits, based on the worker's years of disability, upon conversion to retired-worker beneficiary status. Young survivors (children of deceased workers and surviving spouses with a child in care) are not affected.

 

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

 
  Proposal
  Change from Present Law
  Expressed as a percentage of
present-law taxable payroll

Trust fund
ratio as of
January 1
Expressed as a percentage of
present-law taxable payroll
Calendar
year
Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance
201413.9512.67-1.29
320
0.000.000.00
201513.9712.92-1.05
306
0.000.000.00
201613.9712.89-1.08
292
0.000.000.00
201713.9712.91-1.06
277
0.000.000.00
201814.0212.93-1.08
262
0.000.000.00
201914.1412.94-1.20
248
-0.010.000.01
202014.3112.96-1.36
233
-0.010.000.01
202114.4712.98-1.50
219
-0.030.000.03
202214.6913.01-1.68
204
-0.040.000.04
202314.9313.03-1.91
189
-0.070.000.07
202415.1813.05-2.13
173
-0.100.000.10
202515.4013.06-2.34
157
-0.14-0.010.13
202615.6113.08-2.53
141
-0.18-0.010.17
202715.8013.09-2.71
125
-0.23-0.010.21
202815.9713.11-2.86
108
-0.28-0.010.26
202916.1113.12-2.99
91
-0.33-0.020.31
203016.2213.13-3.09
73
-0.38-0.020.37
203116.3013.13-3.17
55
-0.44-0.020.42
203216.3613.14-3.22
37
-0.50-0.030.48
203316.3913.15-3.24
18
-0.56-0.030.53
203416.4113.15-3.26
----
-0.63-0.030.59
203516.4013.15-3.25
----
-0.69-0.040.65
203616.3713.15-3.22
----
-0.76-0.040.72
203716.3213.15-3.17
----
-0.82-0.040.78
203816.2513.15-3.10
----
-0.89-0.050.84
203916.1613.15-3.02
----
-0.95-0.050.90
204016.0713.15-2.92
----
-1.02-0.050.97
204115.9613.14-2.82
----
-1.09-0.061.03
204215.8513.14-2.72
----
-1.16-0.061.10
204315.7513.13-2.62
----
-1.23-0.061.17
204415.6513.13-2.52
----
-1.30-0.071.24
204515.5613.13-2.44
----
-1.38-0.071.31
204615.4713.12-2.35
----
-1.45-0.081.38
204715.3913.12-2.27
----
-1.53-0.081.45
204815.3013.12-2.18
----
-1.61-0.081.52
204915.2113.11-2.10
----
-1.68-0.091.59
205015.1313.11-2.02
----
-1.76-0.091.66
205115.0613.11-1.96
----
-1.83-0.101.73
205215.0013.10-1.90
----
-1.91-0.101.81
205314.9513.10-1.85
----
-1.98-0.111.88
205414.9113.10-1.81
----
-2.06-0.111.95
205514.8813.10-1.78
----
-2.14-0.112.02
205614.8513.10-1.75
----
-2.21-0.122.10
205714.8213.10-1.72
----
-2.29-0.122.17
205814.7913.10-1.70
----
-2.37-0.132.24
205914.7713.10-1.67
----
-2.44-0.132.31
206014.7413.10-1.65
----
-2.51-0.132.38
206114.7213.10-1.62
----
-2.59-0.142.45
206214.7013.10-1.60
----
-2.66-0.142.52
206314.6713.09-1.58
----
-2.73-0.152.58
206414.6513.09-1.56
----
-2.80-0.152.65
206514.6313.09-1.54
----
-2.87-0.152.71
206614.6113.09-1.52
----
-2.94-0.162.78
206714.5913.09-1.50
----
-3.01-0.162.84
206814.5713.09-1.48
----
-3.07-0.162.91
206914.5513.09-1.46
----
-3.14-0.172.97
207014.5313.09-1.44
----
-3.21-0.173.04
207114.5113.09-1.42
----
-3.27-0.183.10
207214.4813.09-1.39
----
-3.34-0.183.16
207314.4413.09-1.36
----
-3.40-0.183.22
207414.4113.08-1.32
----
-3.46-0.193.27
207514.3613.08-1.28
----
-3.52-0.193.33
207614.3213.08-1.24
----
-3.57-0.193.38
207714.2713.08-1.19
----
-3.63-0.193.43
207814.2213.07-1.14
----
-3.68-0.203.48
207914.1713.07-1.10
----
-3.73-0.203.53
208014.1213.07-1.05
----
-3.78-0.203.57
208114.0813.07-1.02
----
-3.83-0.213.62
208214.0513.07-0.98
----
-3.89-0.213.68
208314.0213.06-0.96
----
-3.94-0.213.73
208414.0013.06-0.94
----
-4.00-0.223.79
208513.9813.06-0.92
----
-4.06-0.223.84
208613.9613.06-0.90
----
-4.13-0.223.90
208713.9513.06-0.89
----
-4.19-0.233.96
208813.9413.06-0.88
----
-4.25-0.234.02
208913.9313.06-0.87
----
-4.32-0.234.08



 

Summarized Estimates

 
  Proposal
  Change from Present Law
Years Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance

Year of reserve
depletion
1

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance
 
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2014 Trustees Report.
2014-2088 15.18% 13.81% -1.38%
2033
-1.59% -0.08% 1.51%
 
1 Under present law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2033.

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Last reviewed or modified September 18, 2014