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Detailed Single Year Tables

Description of Proposed Provision:
Progressive price indexing (30th percentile) of PIA factors beginning with individuals newly eligible for OASI benefits in 2023: Create a new bend point at the 30th percentile of the AIME distribution of newly retired workers. Maintain current-law benefits for earners at the 30th percentile and below. Reduce the 32 and 15 percent factors above the 30th percentile such that the initial benefit for a worker with AIME equal to the taxable maximum grows by inflation rather than the growth in the SSA average wage index. Disabled workers are: (a) not affected prior to normal retirement age; and (b) subject to a proportional reduction in benefits, based on the worker's years of disability, upon conversion to retired-worker beneficiary status.

 

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

 
  Proposal
  Change from Present Law
  Expressed as a percentage of
present-law taxable payroll

Trust fund
ratio as of
January 1
Expressed as a percentage of
present-law taxable payroll
Calendar
year
Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance
201413.9512.67-1.29
320
0.000.000.00
201513.9712.92-1.05
306
0.000.000.00
201613.9712.89-1.08
292
0.000.000.00
201713.9712.91-1.06
277
0.000.000.00
201814.0212.93-1.08
262
0.000.000.00
201914.1512.95-1.20
248
0.000.000.00
202014.3312.96-1.37
233
0.000.000.00
202114.5012.98-1.52
219
0.000.000.00
202214.7413.01-1.73
203
0.000.000.00
202315.0013.03-1.97
187
0.000.000.00
202415.2713.05-2.22
171
0.000.000.00
202515.5413.07-2.46
154
-0.010.000.01
202615.7813.09-2.69
137
-0.010.000.01
202716.0013.10-2.90
120
-0.020.000.02
202816.2113.12-3.09
102
-0.030.000.03
202916.3913.13-3.26
84
-0.050.000.05
203016.5313.14-3.39
65
-0.070.000.07
203116.6513.15-3.50
45
-0.090.000.09
203216.7413.16-3.58
25
-0.12-0.010.12
203316.8013.17-3.63
4
-0.15-0.010.15
203416.8413.17-3.67
----
-0.19-0.010.18
203516.8613.17-3.69
----
-0.23-0.010.22
203616.8613.18-3.68
----
-0.27-0.010.26
203716.8313.18-3.65
----
-0.31-0.020.30
203816.7813.18-3.60
----
-0.36-0.020.34
203916.7113.18-3.53
----
-0.41-0.020.39
204016.6213.17-3.45
----
-0.46-0.020.44
204116.5313.17-3.36
----
-0.52-0.030.49
204216.4413.17-3.27
----
-0.57-0.030.54
204316.3513.16-3.18
----
-0.63-0.030.60
204416.2613.16-3.10
----
-0.70-0.040.66
204516.1813.16-3.02
----
-0.76-0.040.72
204616.1013.16-2.94
----
-0.83-0.040.79
204716.0213.15-2.86
----
-0.90-0.050.85
204815.9313.15-2.78
----
-0.97-0.050.92
204915.8513.15-2.70
----
-1.05-0.060.99
205015.7713.14-2.63
----
-1.12-0.061.06
205115.7013.14-2.56
----
-1.20-0.061.13
205215.6413.14-2.50
----
-1.27-0.071.21
205315.5813.14-2.45
----
-1.35-0.071.28
205415.5413.13-2.40
----
-1.43-0.081.36
205515.5013.13-2.37
----
-1.51-0.081.43
205615.4713.13-2.33
----
-1.60-0.081.51
205715.4313.13-2.30
----
-1.68-0.091.59
205815.4013.13-2.27
----
-1.76-0.091.66
205915.3713.13-2.24
----
-1.84-0.101.74
206015.3413.13-2.21
----
-1.92-0.101.82
206115.3113.13-2.18
----
-2.00-0.111.89
206215.2813.13-2.16
----
-2.07-0.111.96
206315.2513.13-2.13
----
-2.15-0.112.03
206415.2313.12-2.10
----
-2.22-0.122.10
206515.2013.12-2.08
----
-2.30-0.122.17
206615.1813.12-2.05
----
-2.37-0.132.24
206715.1513.12-2.03
----
-2.44-0.132.31
206815.1313.12-2.01
----
-2.52-0.132.38
206915.1013.12-1.98
----
-2.59-0.142.45
207015.0813.12-1.96
----
-2.66-0.142.52
207115.0513.12-1.93
----
-2.73-0.152.59
207215.0113.12-1.90
----
-2.80-0.152.65
207314.9813.11-1.86
----
-2.87-0.152.72
207414.9313.11-1.82
----
-2.93-0.162.78
207514.8813.11-1.77
----
-3.00-0.162.84
207614.8313.11-1.72
----
-3.06-0.162.89
207714.7813.10-1.67
----
-3.12-0.172.95
207814.7213.10-1.62
----
-3.17-0.173.00
207914.6613.10-1.57
----
-3.23-0.173.06
208014.6113.10-1.52
----
-3.29-0.183.11
208114.5713.09-1.47
----
-3.35-0.183.17
208214.5313.09-1.44
----
-3.41-0.183.22
208314.5013.09-1.41
----
-3.47-0.193.28
208414.4713.09-1.38
----
-3.53-0.193.34
208514.4413.09-1.36
----
-3.60-0.193.41
208614.4213.09-1.34
----
-3.67-0.203.47
208714.4013.09-1.32
----
-3.73-0.203.53
208814.3913.08-1.30
----
-3.80-0.203.60
208914.3713.08-1.29
----
-3.87-0.213.66



 

Summarized Estimates

 
  Proposal
  Change from Present Law
Years Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance

Year of reserve
depletion
1

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance
 
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2014 Trustees Report.
2014-2088 15.60% 13.83% -1.77%
2033
-1.17% -0.06% 1.11%
 
1 Under present law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2033.

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Last reviewed or modified September 18, 2014