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Detailed Single Year Tables

Description of Proposed Provision:
Progressive price indexing (30th percentile) of PIA factors beginning with individuals newly eligible for OASI benefits in 2024: Create a new bend point at the 30th percentile of the AIME distribution of newly retired workers. Maintain current-law benefits for earners at the 30th percentile and below. Reduce the 32 and 15 percent factors above the 30th percentile such that the initial benefit for a worker with AIME equal to the taxable maximum grows by inflation rather than the growth in the SSA average wage index. Disabled workers are: (a) not affected prior to normal retirement age; and (b) subject to a proportional reduction in benefits, based on the worker's years of disability, upon conversion to retired-worker beneficiary status.

 

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

 
  Proposal
  Change from Present Law
  Expressed as a percentage of
present-law taxable payroll

Trust fund
ratio as of
January 1
Expressed as a percentage of
present-law taxable payroll
Calendar
year
Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance
201514.1312.82-1.31
308
0.000.000.00
201613.8812.88-1.00
298
0.000.000.00
201713.8912.91-0.98
280
0.000.000.00
201813.9712.94-1.03
264
0.000.000.00
201914.0912.95-1.14
248
0.000.000.00
202014.2312.96-1.26
233
0.000.000.00
202114.3512.98-1.36
219
0.000.000.00
202214.5213.01-1.51
204
0.000.000.00
202314.7213.03-1.69
189
0.000.000.00
202414.9613.06-1.89
173
0.000.000.00
202515.1613.08-2.08
158
0.000.000.00
202615.3613.10-2.26
142
-0.010.000.01
202715.5513.11-2.43
126
-0.010.000.01
202815.7313.13-2.60
110
-0.020.000.02
202915.9013.14-2.76
94
-0.030.000.03
203016.0513.15-2.89
78
-0.050.000.05
203116.1713.16-3.01
61
-0.070.000.07
203216.2813.17-3.11
43
-0.090.000.09
203316.3613.18-3.18
25
-0.12-0.010.12
203416.4013.18-3.21
6
-0.15-0.010.15
203516.4313.19-3.24
----
-0.19-0.010.18
203616.4513.19-3.26
----
-0.23-0.010.22
203716.4513.19-3.25
----
-0.27-0.010.26
203816.4213.19-3.22
----
-0.31-0.020.30
203916.3713.19-3.17
----
-0.36-0.020.34
204016.3013.19-3.11
----
-0.41-0.020.39
204116.2313.19-3.04
----
-0.46-0.030.44
204216.1513.19-2.96
----
-0.52-0.030.49
204316.0613.18-2.88
----
-0.58-0.030.54
204415.9813.18-2.80
----
-0.64-0.030.60
204515.9013.18-2.72
----
-0.70-0.040.66
204615.8113.17-2.64
----
-0.76-0.040.72
204715.7313.17-2.56
----
-0.83-0.050.79
204815.6513.17-2.48
----
-0.90-0.050.85
204915.5713.17-2.40
----
-0.97-0.050.92
205015.5013.16-2.33
----
-1.05-0.060.99
205115.4313.16-2.27
----
-1.12-0.061.06
205215.3813.16-2.22
----
-1.20-0.071.13
205315.3313.16-2.17
----
-1.28-0.071.21
205415.2813.15-2.13
----
-1.36-0.071.28
205515.2513.15-2.10
----
-1.44-0.081.36
205615.2213.15-2.06
----
-1.52-0.081.44
205715.1913.15-2.04
----
-1.61-0.091.52
205815.1613.15-2.01
----
-1.69-0.091.60
205915.1313.15-1.98
----
-1.77-0.101.67
206015.1013.15-1.95
----
-1.85-0.101.75
206115.0713.15-1.92
----
-1.93-0.111.83
206215.0413.15-1.90
----
-2.01-0.111.90
206315.0213.15-1.87
----
-2.09-0.121.97
206414.9913.15-1.85
----
-2.17-0.122.05
206514.9713.15-1.82
----
-2.25-0.122.12
206614.9513.14-1.80
----
-2.32-0.132.19
206714.9313.14-1.79
----
-2.40-0.132.27
206814.9113.14-1.77
----
-2.48-0.142.34
206914.8913.14-1.75
----
-2.56-0.142.41
207014.8713.14-1.73
----
-2.63-0.152.49
207114.8513.14-1.71
----
-2.71-0.152.56
207214.8213.14-1.68
----
-2.78-0.152.63
207314.7813.14-1.64
----
-2.85-0.162.69
207414.7413.14-1.61
----
-2.92-0.162.76
207514.7013.13-1.56
----
-2.99-0.172.82
207614.6513.13-1.51
----
-3.05-0.172.88
207714.5913.13-1.46
----
-3.11-0.172.94
207814.5313.13-1.41
----
-3.17-0.182.99
207914.4813.12-1.36
----
-3.23-0.183.05
208014.4213.12-1.30
----
-3.29-0.183.10
208114.3713.12-1.25
----
-3.34-0.193.16
208214.3313.11-1.21
----
-3.40-0.193.21
208314.2913.11-1.17
----
-3.46-0.193.27
208414.2513.11-1.14
----
-3.52-0.203.33
208514.2213.11-1.11
----
-3.59-0.203.39
208614.1913.11-1.09
----
-3.65-0.203.45
208714.1713.11-1.06
----
-3.72-0.213.51
208814.1413.10-1.04
----
-3.78-0.213.57
208914.1213.10-1.02
----
-3.85-0.223.63
209014.1013.10-1.00
----
-3.91-0.223.70



 

Summarized Estimates

 
  Proposal
  Change from Present Law
Years Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance

Year of reserve
depletion
1

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance
 
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2015 Trustees Report.
2015-2089 15.35% 13.80% -1.55%
2034
-1.20% -0.07% 1.13%
 
1 Under present law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2034.

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Last reviewed or modified September 1, 2015