Detailed Single Year Tables

Payroll Taxes (including maximum taxable)

Description of Proposed Provision:
Eliminate the taxable maximum in years 2021 and later. Phase in elimination by taxing all earnings above the current-law taxable maximum at: 2.48 percent in 2017, 4.96 percent in 2018, and so on, up to 12.40 percent in 2021. Provide benefit credit for earnings above the current-law taxable maximum that are subject to the payroll tax, using a secondary PIA formula. This secondary PIA formula involves: (1) an "AIME+" derived from annual earnings from each year after 2016 that were in excess of that year's current-law taxable maximum; and (2) a formula factor of 5 percent on this newly computed "AIME+".

			Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

	Proposal				Change from Present Law
	Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll			Trust fund ratio as of January 1	Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll
Calendar year	Cost rate	Income rate	Annual balance	Trust fund ratio as of January 1	Cost rate	Income rate	Annual balance
2015	14.13	12.82	-1.31	308	0.00	0.00	0.00
2016	13.88	12.88	-1.00	298	0.00	0.00	0.00
2017	13.89	13.41	-0.48	280	0.00	0.50	0.50
2018	13.97	13.94	-0.03	267	0.00	1.00	1.00
2019	14.09	14.43	0.35	259	0.00	1.48	1.48
2020	14.22	14.90	0.67	253	0.00	1.93	1.93
2021	14.34	15.35	1.00	251	0.00	2.36	2.36
2022	14.52	15.38	0.86	251	0.00	2.37	2.37
2023	14.72	15.37	0.65	251	0.00	2.34	2.34
2024	14.96	15.38	0.42	249	0.00	2.31	2.31
2025	15.17	15.40	0.23	247	0.01	2.31	2.31
2026	15.37	15.41	0.04	245	0.01	2.32	2.31
2027	15.57	15.43	-0.14	243	0.01	2.32	2.30
2028	15.77	15.45	-0.32	241	0.02	2.32	2.30
2029	15.95	15.46	-0.49	239	0.02	2.32	2.30
2030	16.12	15.48	-0.65	236	0.03	2.32	2.29
2031	16.27	15.49	-0.79	233	0.03	2.32	2.29
2032	16.41	15.50	-0.91	230	0.04	2.32	2.29
2033	16.52	15.51	-1.01	226	0.04	2.32	2.28
2034	16.60	15.52	-1.08	222	0.05	2.33	2.28
2035	16.67	15.53	-1.15	218	0.05	2.33	2.27
2036	16.74	15.53	-1.20	213	0.06	2.33	2.27
2037	16.78	15.54	-1.24	208	0.06	2.33	2.27
2038	16.80	15.54	-1.26	203	0.07	2.33	2.26
2039	16.80	15.55	-1.26	198	0.08	2.33	2.26
2040	16.79	15.55	-1.24	193	0.08	2.33	2.25
2041	16.77	15.55	-1.22	189	0.09	2.34	2.25
2042	16.76	15.55	-1.20	184	0.09	2.34	2.24
2043	16.74	15.55	-1.18	179	0.10	2.34	2.24
2044	16.72	15.56	-1.16	175	0.10	2.34	2.24
2045	16.71	15.56	-1.15	170	0.11	2.34	2.23
2046	16.69	15.56	-1.13	166	0.11	2.34	2.23
2047	16.68	15.56	-1.12	161	0.12	2.34	2.22
2048	16.67	15.56	-1.11	157	0.13	2.34	2.22
2049	16.67	15.56	-1.11	152	0.13	2.35	2.22
2050	16.68	15.57	-1.11	148	0.14	2.35	2.21
2051	16.69	15.57	-1.12	143	0.14	2.35	2.21
2052	16.72	15.57	-1.15	138	0.15	2.35	2.20
2053	16.76	15.58	-1.18	133	0.15	2.35	2.20
2054	16.80	15.58	-1.22	127	0.16	2.35	2.20
2055	16.85	15.59	-1.26	122	0.16	2.35	2.19
2056	16.91	15.59	-1.31	116	0.17	2.36	2.19
2057	16.97	15.60	-1.37	109	0.17	2.36	2.18
2058	17.02	15.60	-1.42	102	0.18	2.36	2.18
2059	17.08	15.61	-1.47	95	0.18	2.36	2.18
2060	17.14	15.61	-1.53	88	0.19	2.36	2.17
2061	17.20	15.62	-1.58	80	0.19	2.36	2.17
2062	17.25	15.62	-1.63	72	0.20	2.36	2.17
2063	17.31	15.63	-1.68	64	0.20	2.37	2.17
2064	17.37	15.63	-1.73	55	0.20	2.37	2.16
2065	17.42	15.64	-1.78	46	0.21	2.37	2.16
2066	17.48	15.64	-1.84	36	0.21	2.37	2.16
2067	17.54	15.65	-1.89	26	0.21	2.37	2.16
2068	17.61	15.66	-1.95	16	0.22	2.37	2.16
2069	17.67	15.66	-2.01	6	0.22	2.38	2.16
2070	17.72	15.67	-2.06	----	0.22	2.38	2.15
2071	17.78	15.67	-2.11	----	0.22	2.38	2.15
2072	17.82	15.67	-2.15	----	0.23	2.38	2.15
2073	17.86	15.68	-2.18	----	0.23	2.38	2.15
2074	17.89	15.68	-2.21	----	0.23	2.38	2.15
2075	17.92	15.69	-2.23	----	0.23	2.38	2.15
2076	17.93	15.69	-2.24	----	0.23	2.39	2.15
2077	17.94	15.69	-2.25	----	0.23	2.39	2.15
2078	17.94	15.69	-2.25	----	0.24	2.39	2.15
2079	17.94	15.69	-2.25	----	0.24	2.39	2.15
2080	17.95	15.69	-2.25	----	0.24	2.39	2.15
2081	17.95	15.70	-2.26	----	0.24	2.39	2.15
2082	17.97	15.70	-2.27	----	0.24	2.39	2.16
2083	17.99	15.70	-2.29	----	0.24	2.40	2.16
2084	18.02	15.70	-2.31	----	0.24	2.40	2.16
2085	18.05	15.71	-2.34	----	0.24	2.40	2.16
2086	18.09	15.71	-2.38	----	0.24	2.40	2.16
2087	18.13	15.71	-2.42	----	0.24	2.40	2.16
2088	18.17	15.72	-2.46	----	0.24	2.40	2.16
2089	18.22	15.72	-2.50	----	0.25	2.40	2.16
2090	18.26	15.73	-2.54	----	0.25	2.40	2.16

				Summarized Estimates

	Proposal				Change from Present Law
Years	Cost rate	Income rate	Actuarial balance	Year of reserve depletion¹	Cost rate	Income rate	Actuarial balance

Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2015 Trustees Report.
2015-2089	16.66%	16.07%	-0.59%	2069	0.11%	2.21%	2.09%

¹ Under present law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2034.


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Detailed Single Year Tables

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

Summarized Estimates