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Summary Measures and Graphs

Description of Proposed Provision:
B3.13: For retired worker beneficiaries newly eligible in 2023 (excluding disabled workers), add a new bend point at the wage-indexed equivalent of the 50th percentile of the AIME distribution minus $100 (for 2015 eligibility) and change the PIA factors to 95/32/15/5. Also move the current-law first bend point from the wage-indexed equivalent of $826 in 2015 to $1,050 in 2015. Phase this provision in over 10 years (2023-2032). The phase-in would work on a weighted-average basis: 90% of CL formula + 10% of proposal formula for 2023, 80% of CL formula + 20% of proposal formula for 2024, and so on.

Estimates based on the intermediate assumptions of the 2016 Trustees Report

Summary Measures
Present law
[percent of payroll]
Change from present law
[percent of payroll]
Shortfall eliminated
Long-range
actuarial
balance
Annual
balance in
75th year
Long-range
actuarial
balance
Annual
balance in
75th year
Long-range
actuarial
balance
Annual
balance in
75th year
-2.66 -4.35 0.04 0.10 2% 2%


graph of OASDI cost rates and income rates by year, under
                 present law and provision. click on graph to view underlying
                 data. graph of OASDI trust fund ratio by year, under present law
                 and provision. click on graph to view underlying data.
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Last reviewed or modified October 3, 2016