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1994-96 Advisory Council Report

 
 Table 65   Comparison of "Moneys Worth" for the OASDI Program for Present Law and
  StdVal       Advisory Council Options With Reduced CPI*
  NoTaxAdj
            Present Value of Expected Benefits                    Cohort 22 in 1965
            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          Composite Workers                           Married, Two Earner Couples
               (TF      -----------------------------------------    -----------------------------------------
               Real      Low      Ave     High      Max              Low/     Ave/     Ave/     High/    High/
 Package       Int)     Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns    Total      Low      Low      Ave      Ave      High
 
 Present Law   (2.3)    68250   114437   145938   156582   112179    75712   110727   125581   153435   163036
 5% PSA-All Tax(2.3)    71549   117175   146452   152664   114104    80151   112818   130513   154165   169999
 5% PSA-Hi Yld (2.3)    71831   117778   147335   153674   114713    80489   113357   131266   155137   171204
 1.6% IA-Hi Yld(2.3)    68739   114976   143777   149920   111601    77341   111364   127937   152168   166130
 MB+           (4.6)    70462   118049   150231   160157   115569    78112   114136   129528   157869   167729
 MB-PAYGO      (4.2)    68206   114380   145461   154811   111912    75664   110675   125518   152989   162440
 MTR           (2.3)    67572   112481   140126   145753   109083    75941   109134   124826   148151   161152
 LTR           (2.3)    68027   109673   135482   140183   106536    75922   106117   121160   142094   155035
 
            Present Value of Expected Pyrl Tax (EE + ER)               Cohort 22 in 1965
            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          Composite Workers                           Married, Two Earner Couples
                        -----------------------------------------    ------------------------------------------
                         Low      Ave     High      Max              Low/     Ave/     Ave/     High/    High/
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns    Total      Low      Low      Ave      Ave      High
 
 Present Law   (2.3)    64698   138319   195698   199360   135865    77242   123670   171652   216090   262178
 5% PSA-All Tax(2.3)    66446   142039   201134   205725   139630    79334   126980   176296   222064   269610
 5% PSA-Hi Yld (2.3)    65683   140416   198764   202963   137988    78420   125536   174268   219458   266364
 1.6% IA-Hi Yld(2.3)    65735   140526   198926   203154   138100    78482   125634   174406   219636   266586
 MB+           (4.6)    65683   140416   198764   202963   137988    78420   125536   174268   219458   266364
 MB-PAYGO      (4.2)    64698   138319   195698   199360   135865    77242   123670   171652   216090   262178
 MTR           (2.3)    64698   138319   195698   199360   135865    77242   123670   171652   216090   262178
 LTR           (2.3)    62447   133520   188678   191117   131004    74548   119398   165662   208378   252592
 
            Present Value of Expected "Net Subsidy"                    Cohort 22 in 1965
            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          Composite Workers                           Married, Two Earner Couples
                        -----------------------------------------    ------------------------------------------
                         Low      Ave     High      Max              Low/     Ave/     Ave/     High/    High/
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns    Total      Low      Low      Ave      Ave      High
 
 Present Law   (2.3)     3552   -23883   -49760   -42778   -23686    -1530   -12943   -46071   -62655   -99142
 5% PSA-All Tax(2.3)     5103   -24864   -54683   -53061   -25526      817   -14162   -45783   -67899   -99611
 5% PSA-Hi Yld (2.3)     6148   -22637   -51429   -49290   -23275     2069   -12179   -43002   -64321   -95160
 1.6% IA-Hi Yld(2.3)     3004   -25550   -55149   -53234   -26499    -1141   -14270   -46469   -67468  -100456
 MB+           (4.6)     4779   -22367   -48533   -42807   -22419     -308   -11400   -44740   -61589   -98635
 MB-PAYGO      (4.2)     3508   -23939   -50237   -44549   -23953    -1578   -12995   -46134   -63101   -99738
 MTR           (2.3)     2874   -25839   -55572   -53608   -26782    -1301   -14536   -46826   -67939  -101026
 LTR           (2.3)     5581   -23846   -53196   -50934   -24469     1374   -13281   -44502   -66284   -97557
 
            Moneys Worth Ratio (BenefitsX100/Taxes)                    Cohort 22 in 1965
            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          Composite Workers                           Married, Two Earner Couples
                        -----------------------------------------    ------------------------------------------
                         Low      Ave     High      Max              Low/     Ave/     Ave/     High/    High/
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns    Total      Low      Low      Ave      Ave      High
 
 Present Law   (2.3)      105       83       75       79       83       98       90       73       71       62
 5% PSA-All Tax(2.3)      108       82       73       74       82      101       89       74       69       63
 5% PSA-Hi Yld (2.3)      109       84       74       76       83      103       90       75       71       64
 1.6% IA-Hi Yld(2.3)      105       82       72       74       81       99       89       73       69       62
 MB+           (4.6)      107       84       76       79       84      100       91       74       72       63
 MB-PAYGO      (4.2)      105       83       74       78       82       98       89       73       71       62
 MTR           (2.3)      104       81       72       73       80       98       88       73       69       61
 LTR           (2.3)      109       82       72       73       81      102       89       73       68       61
    
Note: All values based in intermediate assumptions of the 1995 Trustees Report*. All dollar values are present value at age 22, then wage indexed to 1995. * Assuming 0.21% lower COLA starting Dec 97; no change in nominal wage or interest. Office of the Actuary / Social Security Administration July 28, 1996
 
 
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