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1994-96 Advisory Council Report

 
 Table 19   Comparison of "Moneys Worth" for the OASDI Program for Present Law and
  StdVal       Advisory Council Options With Reduced CPI*
  NoTaxAdj
            Present Value of Expected Benefits                    Cohort 22 in 2019
            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          Composite Workers                           Married, Two Earner Couples
               (TF      -----------------------------------------    -----------------------------------------
               Real      Low      Ave     High      Max              Low/     Ave/     Ave/     High/    High/
 Package       Int)     Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns    Total      Low      Low      Ave      Ave      High
 
 Present Law   (2.3)    85867   147232   187747   207806   142430   101411   146724   167965   206500   222028
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)    85867   147232   187747   207806   142430   101411   146724   167965   206500   222028
 5% PSA-401K   (2.3)   112667   180696   228774   243369   175734   139816   179905   215896   257112   296563
 5% PSA-USBond (2.3)    98991   150638   183985   190903   145658   122809   152425   178212   207893   236093
 1.6% IA-401KAn(2.3)    95883   161773   195160   208137   153070   119144   158950   194718   219866   241481
 1.6% IA-USBond(2.3)    89450   147598   174059   183576   138909   111147   145995   176947   196687   213047
 MB            (4.2)    85824   147146   187677   207709   142359   101360   146640   167869   206418   221956
 MTR           (2.3)    79384   125442   141081   145389   116786    98641   125779   149154   160483   168579
 LTR           (2.3)    70327    87515    90130    81518    82613    87178    94879    98924   104807   109408
 
            Present Value of Expected Pyrl Tax (EE + ER)               Cohort 22 in 2019
            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          Composite Workers                           Married, Two Earner Couples
                        -----------------------------------------    ------------------------------------------
                         Low      Ave     High      Max              Low/     Ave/     Ave/     High/    High/
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns    Total      Low      Low      Ave      Ave      High
 
 Present Law   (2.3)    66737   145433   216855   254833   145794    81988   131180   182194   235858   291512
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)    82330   179388   267463   314194   179822   101148   161776   224776   290916   359642
 5% PSA-401K   (2.3)    74918   163260   243438   286071   163665    92038   147260   204528   264770   327246
 5% PSA-USBond (2.3)    74918   163260   243438   286071   163665    92038   147260   204528   264770   327246
 1.6% IA-401KAn(2.3)    75349   164199   244837   287716   164607    92568   148108   205704   266292   329126
 1.6% IA-USBond(2.3)    75349   164199   244837   287716   164607    92568   148108   205704   266292   329126
 MB            (4.2)    68014   148207   220985   259654   148572    83558   133674   185682   240354   297092
 MTR           (2.3)    66737   145433   216855   254833   145794    81988   131180   182194   235858   291512
 LTR           (2.3)    48007   104619   155998   183315   104878    58978    94366   131064   169668   209702
 
            Present Value of Expected "Net Subsidy"                    Cohort 22 in 2019
            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          Composite Workers                           Married, Two Earner Couples
                        -----------------------------------------    ------------------------------------------
                         Low      Ave     High      Max              Low/     Ave/     Ave/     High/    High/
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns    Total      Low      Low      Ave      Ave      High
 
 Present Law   (2.3)    19130     1799   -29108   -47026    -3364    19423    15544   -14229   -29358   -69484
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)     3537   -32156   -79716  -106387   -37392      263   -15052   -56811   -84416  -137614
 5% PSA-401K   (2.3)    37749    17436   -14664   -42702    12069    47778    32645    11368    -7658   -30683
 5% PSA-USBond (2.3)    24074   -12622   -59453   -95168   -18008    30771     5165   -26316   -56877   -91153
 1.6% IA-401KAn(2.3)    20534    -2426   -49678   -79579   -11537    26576    10842   -10986   -46426   -87645
 1.6% IA-USBond(2.3)    14101   -16601   -70778  -104140   -25698    18579    -2113   -28757   -69605  -116079
 MB            (4.2)    17809    -1061   -33308   -51945    -6213    17802    12966   -17813   -33936   -75136
 MTR           (2.3)    12647   -19991   -75775  -109444   -29008    16653    -5401   -33040   -75375  -122933
 LTR           (2.3)    22320   -17104   -65867  -101796   -22265    28200      513   -32140   -64861  -100294
 
            Moneys Worth Ratio (BenefitsX100/Taxes)                    Cohort 22 in 2019
            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                          Composite Workers                           Married, Two Earner Couples
                        -----------------------------------------    ------------------------------------------
                         Low      Ave     High      Max              Low/     Ave/     Ave/     High/    High/
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns    Total      Low      Low      Ave      Ave      High
 
 Present Law   (2.3)      129      101       87       82       98      124      112       92       88       76
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)      104       82       70       66       79      100       91       75       71       62
 5% PSA-401K   (2.3)      150      111       94       85      107      152      122      106       97       91
 5% PSA-USBond (2.3)      132       92       76       67       89      133      104       87       79       72
 1.6% IA-401KAn(2.3)      127       99       80       72       93      129      107       95       83       73
 1.6% IA-USBond(2.3)      119       90       71       64       84      120       99       86       74       65
 MB            (4.2)      126       99       85       80       96      121      110       90       86       75
 MTR           (2.3)      119       86       65       57       80      120       96       82       68       58
 LTR           (2.3)      146       84       58       44       79      148      101       75       62       52
    
Note: All values based in intermediate assumptions of the 1995 Trustees Report*. All dollar values are present value at age 22, then wage indexed to 1995. * Assuming 0.21% lower COLA starting Dec 97; no change in nominal wage or interest. Office of the Actuary / Social Security Administration July 28, 1996
 
 
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