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1994-96 Advisory Council Report

 
 Table 07m  Comparison of "Moneys Worth" for the OASDI Program for Present Law and
  StdVal       Advisory Council Options With Reduced CPI*
  NoTaxAdj
            Present Value of Expected Benefits                    Cohort 22 in 2007
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           Married, Male Worker Only                  Married, Female Worker Only
               (TF
               Real      Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
 Package       Int)     Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)    83983   139522   184179   221485             76588   126796   167466   201400
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)    83983   139522   184179   221485             76588   126796   167466   201400
 5% PSA-401K   (2.3)    88771   128798   169955   221953             81271   118301   157630   207136
 5% PSA-USBond (2.3)    80262   109890   139701   176642             72888    99673   127825   162497
 1.6% IA-401KAn(2.3)    77050   123823   164795   205706             69751   112065   149735   187689
 1.6% IA-USBond(2.3)    73098   115041   150743   184662             65902   103513   136051   167196
 MB            (4.2)    83944   139432   184111   221382             76549   126707   167398   201297
 MTR           (2.3)    66896   101258   128688   151632             59797    89946   114343   134685
 LTR           (2.3)    62444    70293    76347    81751             55297    60581    65278    68814
 
            Present Value of Expected Pyrl Tax (EE + ER)               Cohort 22 in 2007
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           Married, Male Worker Only                  Married, Female Worker Only
 
                         Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)    40018    88928   142286   213112             41524    92278   147644   221138
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)    45194   100430   160688   240678             47036   104522   167236   250486
 5% PSA-401K   (2.3)    44924    99830   159726   239234             46614   103588   165742   248244
 5% PSA-USBond (2.3)    44924    99830   159726   239234             46614   103588   165742   248244
 1.6% IA-401KAn(2.3)    45182   100402   160644   240610             46882   104184   166694   249672
 1.6% IA-USBond(2.3)    45182   100402   160644   240610             46882   104184   166694   249672
 MB            (4.2)    40196    89326   142920   214064             41724    92722   148354   222202
 MTR           (2.3)    40018    88928   142286   213112             41524    92278   147644   221138
 LTR           (2.3)    28786    63970   102354   153302             29872    66380   106208   159076
 
            Present Value of Expected "Net Subsidy"                    Cohort 22 in 2007
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           Married, Male Worker Only                  Married, Female Worker Only
 
                         Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)    43965    50594    41893     8373             35064    34518    19822   -19738
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)    38789    39092    23491   -19193             29552    22274      230   -49086
 5% PSA-401K   (2.3)    43847    28968    10229   -17281             34657    14713    -8112   -41108
 5% PSA-USBond (2.3)    35338    10060   -20025   -62592             26274    -3915   -37917   -85747
 1.6% IA-401KAn(2.3)    31868    23421     4151   -34904             22869     7881   -16959   -61983
 1.6% IA-USBond(2.3)    27916    14639    -9901   -55948             19020     -671   -30643   -82476
 MB            (4.2)    43748    50106    41191     7318             34825    33985    19044   -20905
 MTR           (2.3)    26878    12330   -13598   -61480             18273    -2332   -33301   -86453
 LTR           (2.3)    33658     6323   -26007   -71551             25425    -5799   -40930   -90262
 
            Moneys Worth Ratio (BenefitsX100/Taxes)                    Cohort 22 in 2007
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           Married, Male Worker Only                  Married, Female Worker Only
 
                         Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)      210      157      129      104               184      137      113       91
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)      186      139      115       92               163      121      100       80
 5% PSA-401K   (2.3)      198      129      106       93               174      114       95       83
 5% PSA-USBond (2.3)      179      110       87       74               156       96       77       65
 1.6% IA-401KAn(2.3)      171      123      103       85               149      108       90       75
 1.6% IA-USBond(2.3)      162      115       94       77               141       99       82       67
 MB            (4.2)      209      156      129      103               183      137      113       91
 MTR           (2.3)      167      114       90       71               144       97       77       61
 LTR           (2.3)      217      110       75       53               185       91       61       43
 
Note: All values based in intermediate assumptions of the 1995 Trustees Report*. All dollar values are present value at age 22, then wage indexed to 1995. * Assuming 0.21% lower COLA starting Dec 97; no change in nominal wage or interest. Office of the Actuary / Social Security Administration July 28, 1996
 
 
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