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1994-96 Advisory Council Report

 
 Table 19m  Comparison of "Moneys Worth" for the OASDI Program for Present Law and
  StdVal       Advisory Council Options With Reduced CPI*
  NoTaxAdj
            Present Value of Expected Benefits                    Cohort 22 in 2019
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           Married, Male Worker Only                  Married, Female Worker Only
               (TF
               Real      Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
 Package       Int)     Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)    85789   142487   188096   226193             78440   129843   171488   206235
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)    85789   142487   188096   226193             78440   129843   171488   206235
 5% PSA-401K   (2.3)    88768   128904   170221   222474             81179   118325   157806   207557
 5% PSA-USBond (2.3)    80199   109862   139754   176838             72741    99573   127803   162617
 1.6% IA-401KAn(2.3)    77358   123859   164962   205919             69914   112150   149919   188020
 1.6% IA-USBond(2.3)    73302   114847   150541   184320             65973   103392   135906   167032
 MB            (4.2)    85747   142396   188027   226090             78398   129752   171420   206132
 MTR           (2.3)    66994   100830   128111   150727             59775    89619   113868   134023
 LTR           (2.3)    62268    70015    75999    81332             55042    60242    64873    68355
 
            Present Value of Expected Pyrl Tax (EE + ER)               Cohort 22 in 2019
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           Married, Male Worker Only                  Married, Female Worker Only
 
                         Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)    40248    89440   143104   214354             41740    92754   148408   222296
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)    49604   110232   176372   264184             51544   114544   183270   274518
 5% PSA-401K   (2.3)    45182   100404   160646   240630             46856   104124   166600   249546
 5% PSA-USBond (2.3)    45182   100404   160646   240630             46856   104124   166600   249546
 1.6% IA-401KAn(2.3)    45442   100982   161570   242014             47126   104722   167556   250980
 1.6% IA-USBond(2.3)    45442   100982   161570   242014             47126   104722   167556   250980
 MB            (4.2)    41004    91120   145792   218380             42554    94562   151300   226630
 MTR           (2.3)    40248    89440   143104   214354             41740    92754   148408   222296
 LTR           (2.3)    28952    64340   102944   154196             30026    66724   106758   159910
 
            Present Value of Expected "Net Subsidy"                    Cohort 22 in 2019
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           Married, Male Worker Only                  Married, Female Worker Only
 
                         Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)    45541    53047    44992    11839             36700    37089    23080   -16061
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)    36185    32255    11724   -37991             26896    15299   -11782   -68283
 5% PSA-401K   (2.3)    43586    28500     9575   -18156             34323    14201    -8794   -41989
 5% PSA-USBond (2.3)    35017     9458   -20892   -63792             25885    -4551   -38797   -86929
 1.6% IA-401KAn(2.3)    31916    22877     3392   -36095             22788     7428   -17637   -62960
 1.6% IA-USBond(2.3)    27860    13865   -11029   -57694             18847    -1330   -31650   -83948
 MB            (4.2)    44743    51276    42235     7710             35844    35190    20120   -20498
 MTR           (2.3)    26746    11390   -14993   -63627             18035    -3135   -34540   -88273
 LTR           (2.3)    33316     5675   -26945   -72864             25016    -6482   -41885   -91555
 
            Moneys Worth Ratio (BenefitsX100/Taxes)                    Cohort 22 in 2019
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           Married, Male Worker Only                  Married, Female Worker Only
 
                         Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)      213      159      131      106               188      140      116       93
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)      173      129      107       86               152      113       94       75
 5% PSA-401K   (2.3)      196      128      106       92               173      114       95       83
 5% PSA-USBond (2.3)      178      109       87       73               155       96       77       65
 1.6% IA-401KAn(2.3)      170      123      102       85               148      107       89       75
 1.6% IA-USBond(2.3)      161      114       93       76               140       99       81       67
 MB            (4.2)      209      156      129      104               184      137      113       91
 MTR           (2.3)      166      113       90       70               143       97       77       60
 LTR           (2.3)      215      109       74       53               183       90       61       43
Note: All values based in intermediate assumptions of the 1995 Trustees Report*. All dollar values are present value at age 22, then wage indexed to 1995. * Assuming 0.21% lower COLA starting Dec 97; no change in nominal wage or interest. Office of the Actuary / Social Security Administration July 28, 1996
 
 
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