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1994-96 Advisory Council Report

 
 Table 26m  Comparison of "Moneys Worth" for the OASDI Program for Present Law and
  StdVal       Advisory Council Options With Reduced CPI*
  NoTaxAdj
            Present Value of Expected Benefits                    Cohort 22 in 2026
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           Married, Male Worker Only                  Married, Female Worker Only
               (TF
               Real      Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
 Package       Int)     Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)    86547   143726   189736   228162             79249   131173   173246   208347
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)    86547   143726   189736   228162             79249   131173   173246   208347
 5% PSA-401K   (2.3)    88370   128462   169756   221999             80738   117855   157318   207071
 5% PSA-USBond (2.3)    79789   109392   139244   176297             72288    99079   127276   162073
 1.6% IA-401KAn(2.3)    77123   123409   164406   205242             69665   111724   149382   187387
 1.6% IA-USBond(2.3)    73055   114370   149942   183580             65704   102946   135336   166350
 MB            (4.2)    86504   143633   189667   228057             79206   131081   173178   208242
 MTR           (2.3)    66739   100333   127480   149938             59499    89156   113272   133303
 LTR           (2.3)    61845    69518    75445    80735             54577    59720    64302    67747
 
            Present Value of Expected Pyrl Tax (EE + ER)               Cohort 22 in 2026
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           Married, Male Worker Only                  Married, Female Worker Only
 
                         Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)    40268    89486   143178   214460             41748    92756   148438   222342
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)    52338   116308   186094   278744             54308   120686   193098   289236
 5% PSA-401K   (2.3)    45204   100456   160728   240748             46866   104146   166634   249596
 5% PSA-USBond (2.3)    45204   100456   160728   240748             46866   104146   166634   249596
 1.6% IA-401KAn(2.3)    45464   101032   161652   242132             47136   104746   167592   251030
 1.6% IA-USBond(2.3)    45464   101032   161652   242132             47136   104746   167592   251030
 MB            (4.2)    41440    92090   147344   220702             42996    95544   152872   228980
 MTR           (2.3)    40268    89486   143178   214460             41748    92756   148438   222342
 LTR           (2.3)    28968    64372   102996   154272             30032    66738   106780   159942
 
            Present Value of Expected "Net Subsidy"                    Cohort 22 in 2026
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           Married, Male Worker Only                  Married, Female Worker Only
 
                         Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)    46279    54240    46558    13702             37501    38417    24808   -13995
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)    34209    27418     3642   -50582             24941    10487   -19852   -80889
 5% PSA-401K   (2.3)    43166    28006     9028   -18749             33872    13709    -9316   -42525
 5% PSA-USBond (2.3)    34585     8936   -21484   -64451             25422    -5067   -39358   -87523
 1.6% IA-401KAn(2.3)    31659    22377     2754   -36890             22529     6978   -18210   -63643
 1.6% IA-USBond(2.3)    27591    13338   -11710   -58552             18568    -1800   -32256   -84680
 MB            (4.2)    45064    51543    42323     7355             36210    35537    20306   -20738
 MTR           (2.3)    26471    10847   -15698   -64522             17751    -3600   -35166   -89039
 LTR           (2.3)    32877     5146   -27551   -73537             24545    -7018   -42478   -92195
 
            Moneys Worth Ratio (BenefitsX100/Taxes)                    Cohort 22 in 2026
            -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           Married, Male Worker Only                  Married, Female Worker Only
 
                         Low      Ave     High      Max               Low      Ave     High      Max
                        Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns              Erns     Erns     Erns     Erns
 
 Present Law   (2.3)      215      161      133      106               190      141      117       94
 PL PAYGO      (2.3)      165      124      102       82               146      109       90       72
 5% PSA-401K   (2.3)      195      128      106       92               172      113       94       83
 5% PSA-USBond (2.3)      177      109       87       73               154       95       76       65
 1.6% IA-401KAn(2.3)      170      122      102       85               148      107       89       75
 1.6% IA-USBond(2.3)      161      113       93       76               139       98       81       66
 MB            (4.2)      209      156      129      103               184      137      113       91
 MTR           (2.3)      166      112       89       70               143       96       76       60
 LTR           (2.3)      213      108       73       52               182       89       60       42
 
Note: All values based in intermediate assumptions of the 1995 Trustees Report*. All dollar values are present value at age 22, then wage indexed to 1995. * Assuming 0.21% lower COLA starting Dec 97; no change in nominal wage or interest. Office of the Actuary / Social Security Administration July 28, 1996
 
 
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